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As Car Prices Hit the Roof, Shoppers Hope to Keep Payments at Ground Level

Published: September 10, 2015 by Jordan Takeyama

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Financing my first car was a bittersweet feeling. I was thrilled at the thought of purchasing a new vehicle, yet I was dreading haggling the price with the dealer. As a millennial, I feared the rising prices for new cars, and knew that I needed to find a way to make the vehicle more affordable. That said, I decided to look at used cars.

Clearly, I’m not the only car shopper going through this experience. Many consumers are exploring new options to keep their monthly payments down, whether it’s extending the length of their loan, or turning to leases. Sometimes it’s both.

According to Experian Automotive’s Q2 2015 State of the Automotive Finance Market report, the average loan amount for a new vehicle reached $28,524, while the average loan amount for a used vehicle hit $18,671, a second quarter high and an all-time high, respectively. Subsequently, the increasing loan amounts also caused the average monthly payment for new ($483) and used ($361) vehicles to increase. Interestingly, the $122 difference in average monthly payment was also a second quarter high, furthering the need to make car payments affordable.

As such, consumers continued to take out leases. During the second quarter, leasing accounted for 26.9 percent of all new vehicle transactions, reaching an all-time high. While leasing continues to be a popular option among car shoppers to keep monthly payments down, we’re beginning to see these consumers take it a step further. Sure 36-month term leases are still the most popular, however the percentage of leases extending past the 36 months into the 37- to 48-month range has increased by 18 percent. Furthermore, the average lease payment dropped $13 from a year ago, reaching $394.

Findings from the report also showed that consumers continued to lengthen their loan terms, especially for used vehicles. The percentage of used vehicles financed for 73- to 84-months increased by 14.8 percent from Q2 2014 to reach 16.1 percent – the highest percentage of record. New vehicles financed for the same term length climbed 19.7 percent from the previous year to reach 28.8 percent.

If the trend continues, we can only expect vehicles to become more expensive and harder to keep within budget. That said there are ways to keep monthly payments within reason. Just as I did, consumers will need to explore the different options available and work with the financing tool that best meets their needs. If they can do that, it will just be the sweet feeling of purchasing a car.

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Driven by a range of appealing factors including lower monthly payments and a wider array of models—due to the continuous rise in new vehicle inventory—leasing has reappeared as an optimal choice for consumers who are in the market for a vehicle. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2024, leasing increased to 25.35%, up from 21.14% in Q2 2023 and 19.30% the year prior. While the average monthly payment and interest rate for a new loan modestly increased year-over-year, leasing is increasingly becoming a more attractive option for those leaning towards flexibility and affordability. For example, the average monthly payment on a leased vehicle was $148 less than a loan this quarter. What’s more, it seems consumers are leaning towards larger vehicles. For instance, the Honda CR-V (2.98%) continued to lead the top leased models in Q2 2024, and it was followed closely by the Tesla Model Y (2.61%). Rounding out the top five were the Honda Civic (2.29%), Ford F-150 (2.02%), and Chevrolet Silverado 1500 (1.86%). Prime financing grows and lease payments decline across all segments When looking at risk distribution trends in Q2 2024, prime consumers accounted for nearly 70% of the total finance market—with prime coming in at 37.82%, down from 39.84% last year and super prime increasing from 28.98% to 31.59% year-over-year. Subprime also saw a slight increase, going from 13% to 13.06% during the same period. It’s notable that all risk segments experienced a decrease in average monthly payments for leased vehicles, as super prime went from $601 in Q2 2023 to $586 in Q2 2024, prime declined to $583 this quarter, from $596 last year, and subprime was at $597, from $611. With the average monthly payments declining year-over-year for majority of shoppers, it can potentially create a more competitive market and drive more consumers towards this finance option—something automotive professionals should keep a close eye on. New and used vehicle finance market overview Data in Q2 2024 found that new vehicle loan amounts increased slightly, reaching $40,927, up from $40,743 last year, and the average interest rate went from 6.78% to 6.84% year-over-year. Despite the increases, the average monthly payment for a new vehicle only experienced a $1 growth to $734 this quarter. On the used side, the average loan amount declined from $27,316 Q2 2023 to $26,248 in Q2 2024, and the average rate grew from 11.47% to 12.01% in the same time frame. Though, the average monthly payment declined to $525 this quarter, from $536 last year. As the automotive industry continues to adapt to the changing market conditions and consumer preferences, it’s important for professionals to leverage the most current data—this will allow them to effectively assist consumers by meeting their financial needs with the available options. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q2 2024 presentation on demand.

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Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2022 found that the year-over-year (YOY) average new loan amount increased 4.04%, a smaller growth rate compared to 12.46% YOY in Q4 2021

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