For the last several months, Experian has participated as the only credit bureau in the pilot of the electronic Consent Based Social Security Number (SSN) Verification (eCBSV) service. As we move forward to general rollout and expanded availability later this year, it’s time to review the benefits of eCBSV and how it helps businesses prevent synthetic identity fraud. Service and program overview The eCBSV service combats synthetic identity fraud by comparing data provided electronically by approved financial institutions against the Social Security Administration’s (SSA) database in real time. This service helps financial institutions verify SSNs more efficiently and enables improved experiences for identifying legitimate or possibly synthetic identities applying for your products. The verification process begins with consent from the SSN holder – and with eCBSV this consent is provided electronically rather than via a wet signature. Then, the SSN is checked against the SSA database to validate the SSN, name, and date of birth combination are or are not a match. The verification will also indicate if the SSN is listed as deceased with the SSA. Together, these factors can help flag whether or not an identity is synthetic. By managing this process electronically, it is faster, more secure, and more efficient than before, offering an improved experience for consumers and the financial institutions that service them. Layering solutions While eCBSV is an excellent step forward in the fight against the rising threat of synthetic identity fraud, a layered fraud mitigation strategy is still necessary. It’s only by layering solutions that financial institutions can accurately identify different types of fraud and provide them with the correct treatment, which is especially important when it comes to rooting out fraud when it’s already embedded in a portfolio. To learn more about how Experian is helping to combat synthetic identity fraud and how eCBSV can benefit your financial institution, request a call. Request a call
Preventing fraud losses requires an understanding of each individual fraud type—including third-party, first-party, synthetic identity, and account takeover fraud—and how they differ from one another. It’s only with a multi-layered fraud strategy that businesses can adequately detect and treat each type of fraud while maintaining the customer experience. When’s the last time you reviewed your existing fraud strategy? Download infographic Review your fraud strategy
Since 2002, lenders have been aware of the importance of Know Your Customer (KYC) and the associated Customer Identification Program (CIP) requirements. As COVID-19 has changed procedures and priorities for businesses and consumers across the board, it’s more important than ever for institutions to ensure their CIP process includes ongoing monitoring of identity risk. What is CIP? Standard KYC programs include a Customer Identification Program to verify and validate identities along with due diligence to assess the risks associated with each identity. CIP defines the process by which a business collects data to establish a reasonable belief that the identity is valid, and that the individual is eligible to participate in our financial system. While this process works in conjunction with other fraud mitigation tactics, they serve different purposes. A good CIP program emphasizes the customer experience, regulatory compliance, cost control, and smart growth. Fraud mitigation focuses on ensuring that an eligible identity is being presented by its true owner, rather than as part of a scheme to acquire goods and services with intent to default on repayment obligations. Businesses who focus on solely on fraud mitigation rather than complying with KYC and CIP regulations run the risk of potential harm to business reputation, and of course, financial penalties. Fenergo found that as of the end of 2019, global penalties for AML and KYC non-compliance totaled $36 billion. CIP vs. Fraud Mitigation Many financial institutions equate a CIP program with efforts to mitigate fraud. It’s understandable, as both processes include emphasis on the accuracy of an identity as it’s presented by a consumer. It is assumed that only the true owner of the identity would possess the detailed information necessary to meet CIP requirements and therefore would not likely be committing fraud. There was a time—prior to large scale thefts of stored information, personal details shared through social media and other behavior changes that made personal information very public—when this would have been true. Unfortunately, those days have passed and even an amateur criminal with limited experience and resources could find current, accurate identity information for sale online, information good enough to pass the CIP test and be considered a legitimate consumer. The real challenge is that when they go through CIP, many real consumers may inadvertently provide true information that doesn’t meet the verification standard. This is a result of consumer lifestyle changes outpacing the sources of data used to verify the information they’ve provided. It makes sense; in most years roughly 13% of American adults change their address. New homes, job changes and changes in marital status impact a large number of people every day. Adding to the confusion—it’s life’s changes that prompt people to borrow and purchase. The result is that many of the people that are more likely to fail CIP verification are the very people trying to legitimately access financial services. The result is that CIP verification often isn’t a challenge for those intending to commit fraud, but it can be for genuine consumers. The challenges of CIP In a recent internal study, Experian reviewed the ability to pass a standard CIP strategy that assessed the accuracy of the name, current address, date of birth and Social Security number provided by a large sample of consumers. We then compared legitimate consumers to those later confirmed to have been identity thieves impersonating a victim. Consistently, the identity thieves were at least as proficient at passing CIP as their true-consumer counterparts. In a second step, we applied a fraud score that looked for identity theft by assessing the past uses of the identities, their consistency, velocity and many other characteristics unrelated to the accuracy of the data. The difference between CIP verification and a fraud risk assessment was striking. Across the entire range of fraud risk, the percentage of records that passed CIP verification remained the same. That said, CIP still plays a very important role in risk mitigation. In fact, CIP and fraud prevention are inextricable in financial services. Just as a CIP verified identity can still be fraud, a record that may appear to be low fraud risk may not pass CIP. Since both processes have existed side by side for nearly two decades, each presumes that the other is in place and both are necessary to detect and prevent fraud. Striking a balance CIP verification and fraud mitigation strategies are both necessary and important to protecting assets and the broader financial system from fraud. It’s important to leverage a layered approach where both eligibility and risk are assessed, and next steps for verification include resolution of identity discrepancies alongside verification that ensures an identity is not being misused for fraud. Experian can help you confidently verify customer identities, understand and anticipate customer activities, and implement ongoing monitoring. If you’d like to set up a review of your current strategy or learn more about how we can help you with CIP and fraud mitigation to strengthen your ability to know your customer compliantly, let us know. Contact us
According to Experian’s latest Global Insights Report, 38% of consumers expect to increase their online activity in the next 12 months. The report also found that consumers continue to have high expectations for their online experience, and businesses are re-imagining the customer journey to reflect that need. This January, Experian surveyed 3,000 consumers and 900 businesses to explore the changes in consumer behavior and business strategy pre- and post-COVID-19. As consumers have embraced life online, they’ve continued to emphasize their feelings regarding the importance of protecting their information. More than half of consumers still consider security to be the most important factor in their digital experience – the same experience they have such high expectations of. Business are acting in turn, with more than half investing in fraud detection methods or software to reduce friction in the customer experience. Digital transformation is also highlighting the need to: Manage regulatory compliance Integrate security measures Ensure access to AI models Attract and manage customers Integrate automation solutions Download the report to get all the latest insights into consumer desires and business behaviors, and keep visiting the Insights blog for a deeper dive into US-specific findings. Download report
Previously, we discussed the risks of account takeover and how a Defense in Depth strategy can protect your business. Before implementation it’s important to understand the financial benefits of the strategy. There are a few key steps to assessing and quantifying the value of Defense in Depth. Transaction risk assessment: This requires taking inventory of all possible transactions. Session-level risk analysis: With the transactions categorized by risk level, the next step is to review session history based on the highest risk activity within the session. Quantify the cost of a challenge: There are multiple costs associated with challenging a user using step-up authentication. Consider both direct and indirect costs – failure rate, contact center operational cost, and attrition rate following failed challenges (consider lifetime value of account) Quantify the expected challenge rate: This can be done by comparing the Defense in Depth approach to a traditional approach. Below is a calculator that will help determine the cost of the reduced challenges associated with a Defense in Depth strategy versus a traditional strategy. initIframe(\'5f039d2e4c508b1b0aafa4bd\'); In addition to the quantitative benefits, it is important to consider some of the qualitative benefits of this approach: Challenging at moments that matter: Customers appreciate and expect protection in online banking, especially when moving money externally or updating contact information. This is a great way to achieve both convenience and security. Improved fraud management: By staging the risk decision at the transaction level, the business can balance the type of challenge with the transaction risk. There are incremental cost considerations to include in the business case as well. For instance, there is an increase in transaction calls for a risk assessment at the medium/high risk transactions – about 10% in the example above. Generally, the increased transaction cost is more than offset by the reduction in cost of challenges alone. A Defense in Depth strategy can help businesses manage fraud risk and prevent account takeover in online banking without sacrificing user experience. If you are interested in assistance with building your business case and understanding the strategies to implement a successful Defense in Depth strategy, contact us today. Contact us 1Identity Fraud in the Digital Age, Javelin Strategy & Research, September 2020
Preventing account takeover (ATO) fraud is paramount in today’s increasingly digital world. In this two-part series, we’ll explore the benefits and considerations of a Defense in Depth strategy for stopping ATO. The challenges with preventing account takeover Historically, managing fraud and identity risk in online banking has been a trade-off between customer experience and the effectiveness of fraud controls. The basic control structure relies on a lock on the front door of online banking front door—login—as the primary authentication control to defend against ATO. Within this structure, there are two choices. The first is tightening the lock, which equals a higher rate of step-up authentication challenges and lower fraud losses. The second is loosening the lock, which results in a lower challenge rate and higher fraud loses. Businesses can layer in more controls to reduce the false positives, but that only allows marginal efficiency increases and usually represents a significant expense in both time and budget to add in new controls. Now is the perfect time for businesses reassess their online banking authentication strategy for a multitude of reasons: ATO is on the rise: According to Javelin Strategy & Research, ATO increased 72% in 2019.1 Users’ identities and credentials are at more risk than ever before: Spear phishing and data breaches are now a fact of life leading to reduced effectiveness of traditional authentication controls. Online banking enrollments are on the rise: According to BioCatch, in the months following initial shelter-in-place orders across the country, banks have seen a massive spike in first time online banking access. Users expect security in online banking: Half of consumers continue to cite security as the most important factor in their online experience. Businesses who reassess the control structure for their online banking will increase the effectiveness of their tools and reduce the number of customers challenged at the same time – giving them Defense in Depth. What is Defense in Depth? Defense in Depth refers to a strategy in which a series of defense mechanisms are layered in order to protect data and information. The basic assumptions underlying the value of a Defense in Depth strategy are: Different types of transactions within online banking have different levels of inherent risk (e.g., external money movement is considerably higher risk compared to viewing recent credit card transactions) At login, the overall transaction risk associated with the session risk is unknown The risk associated with online banking is concentrated in relatively small populations – the vast majority of digital transactions are low risk This is the Pareto principle at play – i.e., about 80% of online banking risk is concentrated within about 20% of sessions. Experian research shows that risk is even more concentrated – closer to >90% of the risk is concentrated in <10% of transactions. This is relatively intuitive, as the most common activities within online banking consist of users checking their balance or reviewing recent transactions. It is much less common for customers to engage in higher risk transaction. The challenge is that businesses cannot know the session risk at the time of challenge, thus their efficiency is destined to be sub-optimal. The benefits of Defense in Depth A Defense in Depth strategy can really change the economics of an online banking security program. Adopting a strategy that continuously assesses the overall session risk as a user navigates through their session allows more efficient risk decisions at moments that matter most to the user. With that increased efficiency, businesses are better set up to prevent fraud without frustrating legitimate users. Defense in Depth allows businesses to intelligently layer security protocols to protect against vulnerability – helping to prevent theft and reputational losses and minimize end-user frustration. In addition to these benefits, a continuous risk-based approach can have lower overall operational costs than a traditional security approach. The second part of this series will explore the cost considerations associated with the Defense in Depth strategy explored above. In the meantime, feel free to reach out to discuss options. Contact us 1Identity Fraud in the Digital Age, Javelin Strategy & Research, September 2020
It’s clear that the digital transformation we experienced this year is here to stay. While there are many positives associated with this transformation – innovation, new ways to work, and greater online connectedness – it’s important that we review the risks associated with these trends as well. In late 2019 and throughout 2020, Experian surveyed consumers and businesses. We asked about online habits, expectations for information security and plans for future spending. Unsurprisingly, about half of consumers think they’ll continue to spend more online in the coming year. Those same consumers now have a higher expectation for their online experience than before the onset of COVID-19. Hand-in-hand with the online activity trends come increased risks associated with identity theft and fraud as criminals find new chances to steal information. In response to both of these trends, businesses and consumers want a balance between security and convenience. Our latest trends report dives into the new opportunities 2020 has created for fraud, and the opportunities to prevent identity theft or manipulation and the associated losses while building stronger relationships. Download the full North America Trends Report for a look into North American trends over the last year and to learn how fraud prevention and positive customer relationships are actually two sides of the same coin. North America Trends Report
A few weeks ago, I shared the first in a series of articles about understanding the different types of fraud and how to solve for them. In that article, I likened the fraud problem to baking. Continuing that theme, I’m going to explore first-party fraud by comparing it to biting into a cookie you think is chocolate chip, only to find that it’s filled with raisins. The raisins in the cookie were hiding in plain sight, indistinguishable from chocolate chips without a closer look, much like first-party fraudsters. What is first-party fraud? First-party fraud refers to instances when an individual makes a promise of future repayments in exchange for goods or services without the intent to repay. The fraudster might accomplish this by applying for a loan or credit card they won’t pay back, or misrepresenting their financial situation to get a more favorable rate. First-party fraud sometimes presents via “mules” or consumers who are persuaded to use their own information to obtain credit or merchandise on behalf of a larger fraud ring. This type of fraud has become especially prevalent in 2020 due to the increases in online activity for both work and purchasing. Mule activity has increased by 41% in 2020 in comparison to attack rates prior to the pandemic. – Julie Conroy, Research Director, Aite Group First-party fraud is often miscategorized as credit loss and written off as bad debt, which causes problems when businesses later try to determine how much they’ve lost to fraud versus credit risk, and then make future lending decisions. How does first-party fraud impact me? Firstly, there are often substantial losses associated with first-party fraud. According to Payments Journal, 60% of financial institutions report first-party fraud as the prominent source of fraud losses. The ranks of those who commission the attacks, as well as the mules who provide logistical support, will continue to increase at the same pace, if not more quickly, as economic conditions remain suppressed. The result will be an increase in the volume of attacks in general but with a particular emphasis on the kinds of fraud that typically accompany prolonged recessions, most notably first-party fraud.1 – Trace Fooshee, Senior Analyst, Aite Group An imperfect first-party fraud solution can also strain relationships with good customers and hinder growth. When lenders have to interpret actions and behavior to assess customers, there’s a lot of room for error and losses. Those same losses hinder growth when, as mentioned before, businesses anticipate credit losses that aren’t actually credit losses. This type of fraud isn’t a single-time event, and it doesn’t occur at just one point in the customer lifecycle. It occurs when good customers develop fraudulent intent, when new applicants who have positive history with other lenders have recently changed circumstances, or when seemingly good applicants have manipulated their identities to mask previous defaults. Finally, first-party fraud impacts how your organization categorizes and manages risk – and that’s something that touches every department. Solving the first-party fraud problem Preventing first-party fraud requires a change in how we think about the fraud problem. It starts with the ability to separate first- and third-party fraud to treat them differently. Because first-party fraud doesn’t have a victim, you can’t work with the person whose information was stolen to confirm the fraud. Instead, you’ll have to work implement a consistent monitoring system and make a determination internally when fraud is suspected. As we’ve already discussed, the fraud problem is complex. However with a partner like Experian, you have the tools required to perform a closer examination and the ability to differentiate between the types of fraud so you can determine the best course of action moving forward. In the coming weeks, I’ll continue my exploration of this topic with a dive into synthetic identity and account takeover fraud, and how a layered fraud management strategy can help you minimize customer friction to improve and deepen your relationships while preventing fraud. Contact us if you’d like to learn more about how Experian is using our identity expertise, data, and analytics to detect and prevent all types of fraud. Contact us 1Key Trends Driving Fraud Transformation in 2021 and Beyond, December 2020
Fraud – it’s a word that comes up in conversations across every industry. While there’s a general awareness that fraud is on the rise and is constantly evolving, for many the full impact of fraud is misunderstood and underestimated. At the heart of this challenge is the tendency to lump different types of fraud together into one big problem, and then look for a single solution that addresses it. It’s as if we’re trying to figure out how to un-bake a terrible cake instead of thinking about the ingredients and the process needed to put them together in the first place. This is the first of a series of articles in which we’ll look at some of the key ingredients that create different types of fraud, including first party, third party, synthetic identity, and account takeover. We’ll talk about why they’re unique and why we need to approach each one differently. At the end of the series, we’ll get a result that’s easier to digest. I had second thoughts about the cake metaphor, but in truth it really works. Creating a good fraud management process is a lot like baking. We need to know the ingredients and some tried-and-true methods to get the best result. With that foundation in place, we can look for ways to improve the outcome every time. Let’s start with a look at the best known type of fraud, third party. What is third-party fraud? Third-party fraud – generally known as identity theft – occurs when a malicious actor uses another person’s identifying information to open new accounts without the knowledge of the individual whose information is being used. This type of fraud is unique from first party or synthetic identity fraud because it involves an identifiable victim that’s willing to collaborate in the investigation and resolution, for the simple reason that they don’t want to be responsible for the obligation made under their name. Third-party fraud is often the only type of activity that’s classified as fraud by financial institutions. The presence of an identifiable victim creates a high level of certainty that fraud has indeed occurred. That certainty enables financial institutions to properly categorize the losses. Since there is a victim associated with it, third party fraud tends to have a shorter lifespan than other types. When victims become aware of what’s happening, they generally take steps to protect themselves and intervene where they know their identity has been potentially misused. As a result, the timeline for third-party fraud is shorter, with fraudsters acting quickly to maximize the funds they’re able to amass before busting out. How does third-party fraud impact me? As the digital transformation continues, more and more personally identifiable information (PII) is available on the dark web due to data breaches and phishing scams. Given that half of consumers anticipate increasing their online spending in the coming year, we anticipate that the amount of PII readily available to criminals will only continue to grow. All of this will lead to identity theft and increase the risk of third-party fraud. Third-party fraud has been on businesses\' radar throughout 2020, with account takeover and account opening fraud representing high opportunities for risk. While we don’t yet know the full financial impact of COVID-19, it’s clear that it has created both opportunity—increased online presence and interaction—and need—in the form of financial distress for businesses and consumers—when it comes to third-party fraud. Solving the third-party fraud problem We’ve examined one part of the fraud problem, and it is a complex one. With Experian as your partner, solving for it isn’t. Continuing my cake metaphor, by following the right steps and including the right ingredients, businesses can detect and prevent fraud. Preventing third-party fraud involves two distinct steps. Analytics: Driven by extensive data that captures the ways in which people present their identity—plus artificial intelligence and machine learning—good analytics can detect inconsistencies, and patterns of usage that are out of character for the person, or similar to past instances of known fraud. Verification: The advantage of dealing with third-party fraud is the availability of a victim that will confirm when fraud is happening. The verification step refers to the process of making contact with the identity owner to obtain that confirmation. It does require some thought and discipline to make sure that the contact information used leads to the identity owner—and not to the fraudster. Over the coming weeks, I’ll be exploring first-party fraud, synthetic identity fraud, and account takeover fraud and how a layered fraud management strategy can help keep your business and customers safe from all types. Let us know if you’d like to learn more about how Experian is using our identity expertise, data, and analytics to detect and prevent fraud. Contact us
Enterprise Security Magazine recently named Experian a Top 10 Fraud and Breach Protection Solutions Provider for 2020. Accelerating trends in the digital economy--stemming from stay-at-home orders and rapid increases in e-commerce and government funding--have created an attractive environment for fraudsters. At the same time, there’s been an uptick in the amount of personally identifiable information (PII) available on the dark web. This combination makes innovative fraud and breach solutions more crucial than ever. Enterprise Security Magazine met with Kathleen Peters, Experian’s Chief Innovation Officer, and Michael Bruemmer, Vice President of Global Data Breach and Consumer Protection, to discuss COVID-19 digital trends, the need for robust fraud protection, and how Experian’s end-to-end breach protection services help businesses protect consumers from fraud. According to the magazine, “With Experian’s best in class analytics, clients can rapidly respond to ever-changing environments by utilizing offerings such as CrossCore® and Sure ProfileTM to identify and prevent fraud.” In addition to our commitment to develop new products to combat the rising threat of fraud, Experian is focused on helping businesses minimize the consequences of a data breach. The magazine noted that, “To serve as a one-stop-shop for data breach protection, Experian offers a wide range of auxiliary services such as incident management, data breach notification, identity protection, and call center support.” We are continuously working to create and integrate innovative and robust solutions to prevent and manage different types of data breaches and fraud. Read the full article Contact us
The shift created by the COVID-19 pandemic is still being realized. One thing that we know for sure is that North American consumers’ expectations continue to rise, with a focus on online security and their digital experience. In mid-September of this year, Experian surveyed 3,000 consumers and 900 businesses worldwide—with 300 consumers and 90 businesses in the U.S.—to explore the shifts in consumer behavior and business strategy pre- and post-COVID-19. More than half of consumers surveyed continue to expect more security steps when online, including more visible security measures in place on websites and more knowledge about how their data is being protected and stored. However, those same consumers aren’t willing to wait more than 60 seconds to complete an online transaction making it more important than ever to align your security and experience strategies. While U.S. consumers are optimistic about the economy’s recovery, they are still dealing with financial challenges and their behaviors have changed. Future business plans should take into account consumers’: High expectations of their online experience Increases in online spending Difficulty paying bills Reduction in discretionary spending Moving forward, businesses are focusing on use of AI, online security, and digital engagement. They are emphasizing revenue generation while looking into the future of online security. Nearly 70% of businesses also plan to increase their fraud management budgets in the next 6 months. Download the full North America Insights Report to get all of the insights into North American business and consumer needs and priorities and keep visiting the Insights blog in the coming weeks for a look at how trends have changed from early in the pandemic. North America Insights Report Global Insights Report
Synthetic identity fraud, otherwise known as SID fraud, is reportedly the fastest-growing type of financial crime. One reason for its rapid growth is the fact that it’s so hard to detect, and thus prevent. This allows the SIDs to embed within business portfolios, building up lines of credit to run up charges or take large loans before “busting out” or disappearing with the funds. In Experian’s recent perspective paper, Preventing synthetic identity fraud, we explore how SID differs from other types of fraud, and the unique steps required to prevent it. The paper also examines the financial risks of SID, including: $15,000 is the average charge-off balance per SID attack Up to 15% of credit card losses are due to SID 18% - the increase in global card losses every year since 2013 SID is unlike any other type of fraud and standard fraud protection isn’t sufficient. Download the paper to learn more about Experian’s new toolset in the fight against SID. Download the paper
The CU Times recently reported on a nationwide synthetic identity fraud ring impacting several major credit unions and banks. Investigators for the Federal and New York governments charged 13 people and three businesses in connection to the nationwide scheme. The members of the crime ring were able to fraudulently obtain more than $1 million in loans and credit cards from 10 credit unions and nine banks. Synthetic Identity Fraud Can’t Be Ignored Fraud was on an upward trend before the pandemic and does not show signs of slowing. Opportunistic criminals have taken advantage of the shift to digital interactions, loosening of some controls in online transactions, and the desire of financial institutions to maintain their portfolios – seeking new ways to perpetrate fraud. At the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, many financial institutions shifted their attention from existing plans for the year. In some cases they deprioritized plans to review and revise their fraud prevention strategy. Over the last several months, the focus swung to moving processes online, maintaining portfolios, easing customer friction, and dealing with IT resource constraints. While these shifts made sense due to rapidly changing conditions, they may have created a more enticing environment for fraudsters. This recent synthetic identity fraud ring was in place long before COVID-19. That said, it still highlights the need to have a prevention and detection plan in place. Financial institutions want to maintain their portfolios and their customer or member experience. However, they can’t afford to table fraud plans in the meantime. “72% of FI executives surveyed believe synthetic identity fraud to be more challenging than identity theft. This is due to the fact that it is harder to detect—either crime rings nurture accounts for months or years before busting out with six-figure losses, or they are misconstrued as credit losses, and valuable agent time is spent trying to collect from someone who doesn’t exist,” says Julie Conroy, Research Director at Aite Group. Prevention and Detection Putting the fraud strategy discussion on hold—even in the short term—could open up a financial institution to potential risk at time when cost control and portfolio maintenance are watch words. Canny fraudsters are on the lookout for financial institutions with fewer protections. Waiting to implement or update a fraud strategy could open a business up to increased fraud losses. Now is the time to review your synthetic identity fraud prevention and detection strategies, and Experian can help. Our innovative new tool in the fight against synthetic identity fraud helps financial institutions stop fraudsters at the door. Learn more
Changing consumer behaviors caused by the COVID-19 pandemic have made it difficult for businesses to make good lending decisions. Maintaining a consistent lending portfolio and differentiating good customers who are facing financial struggles from bad actors with criminal intent is getting more difficult, highlighting the need for effective decisioning tools. As part of our ongoing Q&A perspective series, Jim Bander, Experian’s Market Lead, Analytics and Optimization, discusses the importance of automated decisions in today’s uncertain lending environment. Check out what he had to say: Q: What trends and challenges have emerged in the decisioning space since March? JB: In the age of COVID-19, many businesses are facing several challenges simultaneously. First, customers have moved online, and there is a critical need to provide a seamless digital-first experience. Second, there are operational challenges as employees have moved to work from home; IT departments in particular have to place increase priority on agility, security, and cost-control. Note that all of these priorities are well-served by a cloud-first approach to decisioning. Third, the pandemic has led to changes in customer behavior and credit reporting practices. Q: Are automated decisioning tools still effective, given the changes in consumer behaviors and spending? JB: Many businesses are finding automated decisioning tools more important than ever. For example, there are up-sell and cross-sell opportunities when an at-home bank employee speaks with a customer over the phone that simply were not happening in the branch environment. Automated prequalification and instant credit decisions empower these employees to meet consumer needs. Some financial institutions are ready to attract new customers but they have tight marketing budgets. They can make the most of their budget by combining predictive models with automated prescreen decisioning to provide the right customers with the right offers. And, of course, decisioning is a key part of a debt management strategy. As consumers show signs of distress and become delinquent on some of their accounts, lenders need data-driven decisioning systems to treat those customers fairly and effectively. Q: How does automated decisioning differentiate customers who may have missed a payment due to COVID-19 from those with a history of missed payments? JB: Using a variety of credit attributes in an automated decision is the key to understanding a consumer’s financial situation. We have been helping businesses understand that during a downturn, it is important for a decisioning system to look at a consumer through several different lenses to identify financially stressed consumers with early-warning indicators, respond quickly to change, predict future customer behavior, and deliver the best treatment at the right time based on customer specific situations or behaviors. In addition to traditional credit attributes that reflect a consumer’s credit behavior at a single point in time, trended attributes can highlight changes in a consumer’s behavior. Furthermore, Experian was the first lender to release new attributes specifically created to address new challenges that have arisen since the onset of COVID. These attributes help lenders gain a broader view of each consumer in the current environment to better support them. For example, lenders can use decisioning to proactively identify consumers who may need assistance. Q: What should financial institutions do next? JB: Financial institutions have rarely faced so much uncertainty, but they are generally rising to the occasion. Some had already adopted the CECL accounting standard, and all financial institutions were planning for it. That regulation has encouraged them to set aside loss reserves so they will be in better financial shape during and after the COVID-19 Recession than they were during the Great Recession. The best lenders are making smart investments now—in cloud technology, automated decisioning, and even Ethical and Explainable Artificial Intelligence—that will allow them to survive the COVID Recession and to be even more competitive during an eventual recovery. Financial institutions should also look for tools like Experian’s In the Market Model and Trended 3D Attributes to maximize efficiency and decisioning tactics – helping good customers remain that way while protecting the bottom line. In the Market Models Trended 3D Attributes About our Expert: [avatar user=\"jim.bander\" /] Jim Bander, PhD, Market Lead, Analytics and Optimization, Experian Decision Analytics Jim joined Experian in April 2018 and is responsible for solutions and value propositions applying analytics for financial institutions and other Experian business-to-business clients throughout North America. He has over 20 years of analytics, software, engineering and risk management experience across a variety of industries and disciplines. Jim has applied decision science to many industries, including banking, transportation and the public sector.
Since the start of the COVID-19 health crisis, gross domestic product (GDP) has continued to fall in the U.S. In fact, the GDP collapsed at a 32.9% annualized rate last quarter, which is the deepest decline since 1947. But as some states throughout the U.S. begin to relax their stay-at-home orders and start to reopen businesses, economists are taking note of how this will affect the nation’s recovery as a whole. When it comes to tracking the nation’s economic recovery, economists and policymakers need to account for all of the factors that will influence the outcome. This includes tracking the performance of individual states and understanding each state’s trajectory and recovery prospects. There are many factors that will impact each state’s trajectory for recovery. One example, in particular, can be seen in a state’s preparedness level and rainy day fund that’s set aside for emergencies. At the onset of the pandemic, many states were unprepared for the financial crisis. The Government Finance Officers Association recommends that states set aside at least two months of operating expenses in their rainy day funds – or roughly 16% of their general fund. However, although some states had set aside some budget to prepare for a recession, it was simply not enough. Only a few states were able to fulfill this requirement. Other factors that will impact each state’s recovery include: the efficiency of its unemployment program, state lockdown measures, and the concentration of jobs in vulnerable industries. Our new white paper, featuring key insights from Joseph Mayans, Principal Economist with Advantage Economics, provides a deep dive on: The economic landscape at the onset of the pandemic Statewide discrepancies for unemployment programs, lockdown measures, and labor markets Underlying factors that determine a state’s recovery prospects Why tracking state-level economies is critical for national recovery Listen in as he describes the importance of having a different perspective when tracking the national economy and download the white paper for greater insights. Download White Paper Now
