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Published: August 11, 2025 by joseph.rodriguez@experian.com

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Future of Fraud Forecast: Digital Elder Abuse Fraud Will Rise

What is elder abuse fraud? Financial abuse is reportedly the fastest-growing form of elder abuse, leaving many Americans vulnerable to theft scams, and putting businesses and other organizations on the frontlines to provide protection and help prevent fraud losses.   Financial elder abuse fraud occurs when someone illegally uses a senior’s money or other property. This can be someone they know, or a third party – like fraudsters who are perpetrating romance scams Older consumers and other vulnerable digital newbies were prime targets for this type of abuse during the start of the pandemic when many of them became active online for the first time or started transacting in new ways. This made them especially attractive targets for social engineering (when a fraudster manipulates a person to divulge confidential or private information) and account takeover fraud. While most of us have become used to life online (in fact, there’s been a 25% increase in online activity since the start of the pandemic), some seniors still have risky habits such as poor password maintenance, that can make them more attractive targets for fraudsters. What is the impact of elder abuse fraud? According to the FBI’s Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3), elder abuse fraud cost Americans over the age of 60 more than $966 million in 2020. In addition to the direct cost to consumers, elder abuse fraud can leave organizations vulnerable to the fallout from data breaches via account takeover, and lost time and money spent helping seniors and other vulnerable Americans recoup their losses, reset accounts, and more. Further, the victim may associate the fraud with the bank, healthcare provider, or other businesses where the account was taken over and decide to stop utilizing that entity all together. How can organizations prevent elder abuse fraud? Preventing elder abuse fraud can take many forms. Organizations should start with a robust fraud management solution that can help prevent account takeover, first-party, synthetic identity fraud, and more. This platform should also include the ability to use data analysis to detect and flag sudden changes in financial behavior, online activities, and transaction locations that could indicate abuse or takeover of the account. With the right fraud strategy in place, organizations can help prevent fraud and build trust with older generations. Given that 95% of Baby Boomers cite security as the most important aspect of their online experience, this step is too important to miss.   To learn more about how Experian is helping organizations develop and maintain effective fraud and identity solutions, be sure to visit us or request a call. Contact us  

Sep 15,2022 by Guest Contributor

Fraudsters Playing the Long Game with Synthetic Identity Fraud

Between social unrest across the globe, the lingering pandemic, and the digital transformation brought on by the health crisis, the fraud landscape has expanded dramatically for businesses and consumers alike. According to Experian’s latest global identity and fraud report, 93% of U.S. companies have mid-to-high concern for fraud, and 81% say that their worries about fraud have increased over the past 12 months. Monitoring unused or dormant accounts for fraud is often a warning directed at consumers. However, it’s now advice an increasing number of businesses are wishing they’d followed, as growing synthetic identity (SID) fraud is fueling a dramatic increase in losses—SID related charge-offs ballooned to $20 billion in 2021 alone, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. The threat of SIDs SIDs are made to look like an actual consumer, combining both real and fake data to form a new composite identity. They typically evolve using a combination of tactics that include: Identifying and creating relationships with businesses that have a high tolerance for identity discrepancies. These include businesses whose products expose the business to low fraud risk and/or products offered to market segments where identity verification is expected to be challenging. Either of these enable an SID to be planted among consumer data sources. Attaching the SID to existing accounts and relationships that belong to other consumers. Often these existing accounts were established by collusive criminals or by using other SIDs, but there are also ways for legitimate consumers to collect ‘rent’ in exchange for adding other consumers to existing accounts. Either approach improves the SID’s appearance of credit worthiness. Progressively building the SID’s independent ability to access larger and larger amounts of credit until they spend quickly and default on all obligations, leaving no one for the victimized businesses to pursue. “They’re difficult to identify because of the combination of real and fake data and because there’s no actual victim reporting an identity theft. As a result, businesses typically have trouble separating SID losses from credit losses,” said Chris Ryan, Experian’s go-to-market lead for fraud and identity. “SID fraud isn’t committed haphazardly.  It’s carefully planned and executed—and it adapts to policy changes. Some businesses change their underwriting policy or focus on early-lifecycle account activity like purchases, payments, and requests for additional credit to reduce SID losses that occur immediately after an account is opened. SIDs can adapt to this. If six months of responsible account behavior earns a credit line increase or the ability to spend large amounts in a single billing cycle, the perpetrators are willing to wait,” Ryan said. “It’s something businesses and lenders need to be on guard for, especially with the fast-paced holiday shopping season ahead,” he said. Addressing SIDs Solving the increasingly complex problem of SID fraud requires a thoughtful approach. The institutions seeing success at preventing multi-faceted fraud are using a layered approach to identifying and mitigating fraud. Here are three steps lenders can take today to prevent SID fraud across your portfolio: Use data and analytics that extend beyond credit to evaluate identities and their histories more completely. Apply those analytics across the lifecycle from marketing and origination to portfolio management recognizing that SID risk is not restricted to a single lifecycle stage. Have a rigorous verification process that escalates to document verification or the Social Security Administrations Electronic Consent Based SSN Verification (eCBSV) process For more information on how you can leverage a multi-layered approach to fraud in your business, visit our fraud and identity solutions hub or request a call to discuss customizing a solution for your company.

Sep 14,2022 by Jesse Hoggard

Leasing Continues to Decline in Q2 2022 Amid Inventory Shortages

Leasing has long been a popular choice among consumers who want to enjoy the latest vehicle models, but at a lower monthly payment. In fact, the average monthly lease payment was $127 less than a loan payment in Q2 2022. However, in recent quarters, we’ve seen leasing availability decline due to current market conditions. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2022, leasing declined from 27.82% to 19.65% year-over-year, marking the lowest drop in quite some time. When analyzing previous data, leasing comprised 30.41% of all new vehicles in Q2 2018, decreasing to 30.04% in Q2 2019 and 26.58% in Q2 2020. There are likely a number of factors contributing to the decline of leasing over recent years, including the ongoing inventory shortages and OEMs not offering as many incentives, which may result in leasing opportunities becoming less common. Other scenarios can be consumers choosing to extend their lease, or purchase the vehicle once their lease has expired. In Q2 2022, the average monthly lease payment increased to $540, from $475 in Q2 2021. Though, the average monthly loan payment for a new vehicle surpassed $600 this quarter—coming in at $667, an $85 year-over-year increase. As automotive professionals continue to navigate through the inventory shortages and subsequent vehicle price increases, understanding the landscape and what options are available for consumers will be critical. One way to keep on top of the trends is analyzing the pricing options for the most popular leased models, which will enable more informed decisions in the months to come. Average monthly payment for top leased models As previously mentioned, there was an average payment difference of $127 between a lease and a loan in Q2 2022. However, that’s just an average, and these numbers can vary based on the vehicle type. For example, the average monthly lease payment for a Honda Civic was $363 in Q2 2022, as opposed to the average monthly loan payment of $476. In comparison, the average monthly lease payment for a Ford F-150 came in at $516 this quarter, compared to the average monthly loan payment of $832. While a pickup truck may typically have a higher average monthly lease payment than a sedan, consumers are continuing to choose larger vehicles, overall. In Q2 2022, there was only one sedan that made up the top leased vehicles—with the Ford F-150 having the highest leasing registration volume, comprising 2.3% this quarter. Rounding out the top five were Chevrolet Equinox (2.27%), Honda CR-V (2.16%), Honda Civic (2.09%), and Ram 1500 (1.81%). Despite the overall decline in leasing over the past year, it continues to be a financing option that consumers can consider amid vehicle prices increasing. Knowing what vehicles are most prevalent as well as their price points will allow professionals to create strategies that cater to the most current consumer financing preferences during their search for a vehicle that fits their needs. To learn more about leasing and other automotive finance trends, watch the entire State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q2 2022 presentation on demand.

Sep 07,2022 by Melinda Zabritski

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Mar 01,2025 by Jon Mostajo, test user

Used Car Special Report: Millennials Maintain Lead in the Used Vehicle Market

With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.

Jan 21,2025 by Kirsten Von Busch

Special Report: Inside the Used Vehicle Finance Market

The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.

Jan 21,2025 by Melinda Zabritski

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typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.