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The Fed finally made their long-awaited rate cut. Hooray! The industry is saved! Brush off the dust everyone, it’s time to start originating mortgages like it’s 2006 again! Not so fast. While it's true that there are opportunities to take advantage of now that rates have declined, there remain open questions: How much further will rates decline? So far, only this single drop has been signaled. How many customers will realize benefit from a rate & term refinance offer given the rate drop(s)? What does this rate drop mean for the purchase market given that home prices remain at all-time highs? To put it simply, there are lending opportunities for home lenders (mortgage and home equity), but only for those with the ability to effectively leverage data and analytical strategies to identify and execute on the pockets of opportunity. By “pockets of opportunity,” we mean the following categories of consumers will benefit from specific mortgage or home equity offers. Rate & term refi: According to Experian research, over 83% of mortgages have an interest rate below 6.5%. This means that only the loans originated in the past couple of years (including one held by your author) will be eligible for a rate & term refi. The dollar amount on these loans will be high along with the interest rates, so even a minor savings on the interest rate will translate to potentially hundreds of thousands of dollars in lifetime interest savings for the borrowers. Being able to accurately identify which borrowers have an interest rate that is higher than the rate you can offer them is key to efficiently targeting and originating rate & term refinances. Cashout refi: Equity levels exploded over the past several years for homeowners. Home prices show no sign of slowing down and home equity continues to be a significant, and in many cases untapped, financial resource for borrowers. A cashout refi is an excellent option for those consumers with high amounts of available equity in their homes. Some borrowers may choose to originate a cashout refinance loan even if the interest rate is similar to their existing rate, such is the value of partially liquidating their equity position. Having the consumer-level data to identify what equity positions are and the current interest rate is crucial to crafting personalized, effective marketing offers. The ability to target qualified customers with a personalized offer is critical given that in August 2024, over 2.9 million cashout direct mail offers were mailed to consumers.1 Streamlined refi: The VA and FHA have streamlined refinance programs that minimize the consumer lift to refinance their loan. Additionally, there are also non-VA and FHA loans that could benefit from what is called an “Express Title,” which removes the need for a full title workup and expedites the originations process. Borrowers that meet the criteria for these streamlined refinance offers can be identified using credit data. Since these refinances are easier for consumers, they will be more likely to respond and book a refinance offer, which means more ROI for your marketing spend. Home equity lines/loans: Similar to cashout refi, home equity products are an option for consumers to access the equity they have in their price-appreciated homes. Although this is no mystery to most lenders, many lenders do not leverage adequate data or analytics to identify the needle in the haystack of customers that still remain to be targeted. Experian data shows over $25B in monthly HELOC originations as of August 2024. Understanding which consumers have a second lien position available, how much equity they have by leveraging trade-level mortgage data and Automated Valuation Model (AVM) data, and other methods can help your home equity products stand out from the sea of offers in the mail and online. At Experian, we help our clients target and originate all four categories of borrowers: rate & term refinancers, cashout refinancers, streamlined refinancers, and home equity borrowers. Crafting a marketing strategy with the accurate data to precisely identify which consumers qualify for which product is crucial to making the most of your marketing spend. Without the guidance of such data and the personalized offers they enable, your marketing message is liable to be lost among all of the other direct mail and email blasts. Market with confidence Crafting an effective holistic marketing strategy across these segments is crucial to campaign success. Consider these borrower situations and prepare to respond with confidence: Does the consumer have a high interest rate? Would the consumer benefit from a quick rate & term refi? If yes, ship the offer out. Does the consumer have a significant equity position and outstanding revolving debt balances, but not qualify for a rate & term due to a relatively low rate? If yes, ship them a cashout refi offer with language about using their equity to pay off revolving debt. Does the consumer meet the criteria for a streamlined refi, and would they benefit financially from such an offer? If yes, ship them a VA IRRRL (Interest Rate Reduction Refinance Loan), FHA streamline, or an offer to cover their refi title expenses if they qualify for an express title. Does the consumer have an open second lien on their primary residence, but not qualify for either kind of refi? If yes, ship them a home equity offer. By creating this kind of specialized marketing waterfall, lenders can ensure they have valuable offers for all borrowers, not just for a specialized market. Such strategies allow you to target your existing portfolio or a prospect population to facilitate portfolio growth and prevent portfolio attrition. Be sure to join our upcoming webinar, "Return of the Refi: Top Lending Strategies for Becoming a Refi Master." Register now and learn more about how Experian can help you win more mortgage and home equity customers in this declining rate environment. Register now Learn more 1 Mintel data

In this article…Understanding the scope of fintech fraudThe importance of fintech fraud preventionSynthetic identity (ID) fraud: A growing threatHow fintech fraud detection and prevention are evolvingGet started today The integration of technology with traditional financial services has unlocked unprecedented convenience and opportunities for consumers and businesses alike. However, this digital shift has opened the door for more sophisticated fraud tactics. With fraudsters continuously refining their methods, fintech companies must invest in advanced fintech fraud detection and prevention solutions. Understanding the scope of fintech fraud As fintech platforms expand, they also attract the attention of cybercriminals. The accessibility of digital financial services can create vulnerabilities that fraudsters exploit, executing everything from personal account takeovers to larger-scale breaches involving synthetic identities.  Source: Experian’s 2024 U.S. Identity & Fraud Report To counter these threats, fintech companies must deploy innovative fraud management solutions powered by artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and advanced analytics. Unlike traditional methods that often rely on static rules and manual reviews, these solutions can process vast amounts of data, learn from historical patterns, and detect anomalies in real-time. This allows organizations to identify suspicious activities before they lead to significant losses. The importance of fintech fraud prevention While detecting fraud is crucial, preventing it from occurring in the first place is even more important. Fraud prevention solutions aim to create robust systems that stop fraudsters in their tracks before they can cause damage. With the rise of digital financial services, the need for proactive fraud prevention measures has never been greater. These solutions protect both consumers and businesses from financial harm, reducing the risk of financial loss and reputational damage. Advanced fraud prevention solutions employ multi-layered strategies, combining AI-driven fraud detection tools with methods such as multifactor authentication and biometric identity verification. These tools create an extra layer of security, making it difficult for fraudsters to access sensitive data or execute fraudulent transactions. Experian’s fraud prevention solutions offer businesses a comprehensive suite of tools designed to prevent various types of fraud. From real-time transaction monitoring to sophisticated user authentication methods, these solutions provide the protection businesses need to stay ahead of evolving fraud tactics. Synthetic identity (ID) fraud: A growing threat One of the most concerning forms of fraud that fintech companies face is synthetic ID fraud. This type of fraud involves the creation of a fake identity using a combination of real and fabricated information. Fraudsters often steal pieces of personal data—such as Social Security numbers or addresses—and then combine them with fictional information to create a new, synthetic identity. These synthetic identities can be used to open bank accounts, apply for credit cards, or take out loans, leaving businesses and consumers vulnerable to significant financial losses. Synthetic ID fraud is particularly difficult to detect because the synthetic identity often looks legitimate to traditional verification systems. As a result, fintech companies must deploy sophisticated fraud detection systems that can identify synthetic identities before they’re used to commit fraud. Machine learning algorithms, for instance, can analyze behavioral data, detecting discrepancies that may indicate a synthetic identity. Experian is ranked #1 by the Center for Financial Professionals (CeFPro®) for Identity and Fraud. The ranking appeared in CeFPro’s Fintech Leaders Report, a comprehensive annual study of the fintech industry. How fintech fraud detection and prevention are evolving As fraudsters continue to evolve their tactics, fintech companies must remain one step ahead by investing in cutting-edge fraud detection and prevention technologies. Real-time monitoring, predictive analytics, and biometrics are just a few of the technologies shaping the future of fraud detection. By integrating these technologies into their fraud management processes, fintech companies can offer a more secure and seamless experience for their users. With the acquisition of NeuroID, an industry leader in behavioral analytics, Experian has amplified its fraud risk suite by providing a new layer of insight into digital behavioral signals and analytics. Available through our fraud solutions on the Experian Ascend Technology PlatformTM, clients can proactively monitor and analyze a user’s real-time digital behavior, allowing them to confidently navigate the online landscape and provide frictionless customer experiences. Get started today As the fraud landscape continues to evolve, fintech companies must adopt comprehensive solutions to stay ahead of emerging threats. By doing so, they can protect themselves and their customers, ensuring the continued success of digital financial services in the years to come. To learn more, check out our fraud management and fintech solutions. Fraud management solutions Fintech solutions This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information. In this article…

Online fraud has increased exponentially over the past few years, with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) data showing that consumers reported losing more than $10 billion to fraud in 2023. This marks the first time that fraud losses have reached that benchmark, and it’s a 14% increase over reported losses in 2022. As a result, e-commerce merchants and retailers have reacted by adding friction to e-commerce interactions.   The risk is that a legitimate user may be denied a purchase because they have incorrectly been labeled a fraudster — a “false decline.” Now, as the holiday shopping season approaches, e-commerce merchants expect a surge in online spending and transactions, which in turn creates concern for an uptick in false declines.   In a recent webinar, Experian experts Senior Vice President of Business Development and eCommerce Dave Tiezzi and Senior Director of Product Management Jose Pallares explored strategies for how e-commerce merchants can determine the risk level of a transaction and ensure that they do not miss out on genuine purchases and good customers. Below are a few key perspectives from our speakers:  What are the biggest challenges posed by online card transactions?  DT: One of the biggest issues merchants face is false declines. In the report, The E-Commerce Fraud Enigma: The Quest to Maximize Revenue While Minimizing Fraud Experian and Aite-Novarica Group (now Datos Insights) found that 1.16% of all sales are unnecessarily rejected by merchants. While this percentage may seem small, it represents significant revenue loss during the high-volume holiday shopping season. The report also highlights that 16% of all attempted online transactions encounter some form of friction due to suspected fraud. Alarmingly, 70% of that friction is unnecessary, meaning it’s not preventing fraud but instead disrupting the purchasing process for legitimate customers. This friction translates into a poor online shopping experience, often resulting in cart abandonment, lost sales and a decline in customer loyalty.  What are the key consumer trends and expectations for the upcoming holiday season?  DT: Experian's 2024 Holiday Spending Trends and Insights Report reveals that while 35% of holiday shopping in 2023 occurred in December, peaking at 9% the week before Christmas, Cyber Week in November also represented 8% of total holiday sales. This highlights the importance for merchants to be prepared well before the holiday rush begins in November and extends through December. As they gear up for this high-volume season, merchants must also prioritize meeting consumer expectations for speed, ease and security—which are top-of-mind for consumers. According to our 2024 U.S. Identity & Fraud Report, 63% of consumers consider it extremely or very important for businesses to recognize them online, while 81% say they’re more trusting of businesses that can accomplish easy and accurate identification. They’re also wary of fraud, ranking identity theft (84%) and stolen credit card information (80%) as their top online security concerns. Considering these trends, it’s important for merchants to ensure seamless and secure transactions this holiday season.   False declines are a persistent problem for e-commerce merchants, especially during the holidays. How can merchants minimize these declines while protecting consumers from fraud? What best practices can merchants adopt to address these risks?  JP: False declines often result from overly cautious fraud detection systems that flag legitimate transactions as suspicious. While it’s essential to prevent fraud, turning away legitimate customers can severely impact both revenue and customer satisfaction. To minimize false declines, merchants should leverage advanced fraud prevention tools that combine multiple data points and behavioral insights. This approach goes beyond basic fraud detection by using attributes such as customer behavior, transaction patterns and real-time data analysis. Solutions incorporating NeuroID’s behavioral analytics and signals can also better assess whether a transaction is genuine based on the user’s interaction patterns, helping merchants filter out bad actors and make more informed decisions without disrupting the customer experience. What actionable strategies should e-commerce brands or merchants implement now to reduce cart abandonment and ensure a successful holiday season?  JP: One of the most effective tools we offer is Experian Link™, a credit card owner verification solution designed to reduce false declines while protecting against fraud. Experian Link helps e-commerce merchants and additional retailers accurately assess transaction risk by answering a key question: Does this consumer own the credit card they presented for payment? This ensures that legitimate customers aren’t mistakenly turned away while suspicious transactions are properly flagged for further review. By adopting a multilayered identity and fraud prevention strategy, merchants can significantly reduce false declines, offer a frictionless checkout experience and maintain robust fraud defenses—all of which are essential for a successful holiday shopping season.   Are there any examples of a retailer successfully leveraging credit card owner verification solutions? What were the results?  JP: Yes. We recently partnered with a leading U.S. retailer with a significant online presence. Their primary goals were to reduce customer friction, increase conversion and identify their customers accurately. By leveraging Experian Link and its positive signals, the retailer could refine, test and optimize their auto-approval strategies. As a result, the retailer saw an additional $8 million in monthly revenue from transactions that would have otherwise been declined. They also achieved a 10% increase in auto-approvals, reducing operating expenses and customer friction. By streamlining backend processes, they delivered a more seamless shopping experience for their customers.   Stay ahead this holiday season  For more expert insights on boosting conversions and enhancing customer loyalty, watch our on-demand webinar, Friction-Free Festivities: Strategies to Maximize Conversion and Reduce False Declines, hosted by the Merchant Risk Council (MRC). Additionally, visit us online to learn more about how Experian Link can transform your business strategy. Watch on-demand webinar Visit us The webinar is available to MRC members. If you’re already a member, you can access this resource here. Not a member? Our team would be happy to schedule a demo on Experian Link and discuss strategies to help your business grow. Get in touch today.