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of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry’s standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum
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What do movie actors Adam Sandler and Hugh Grant, jazz singer Michael Bublé, Russian literary giant Leo Tolstoy, and Colonel Sanders, the founder of KFC, have in common? Hint, it’s not a Nobel Prize for Literature, a Golden Globe, a Grammy Award, a trademark goatee, or a “finger-lickin’ good” bucket of chicken. Instead, they were all born on September 9, the most common birth date in the U.S. Baby Boom According to real birth data compiled from 20 years of American births, September is the most popular month to give birth to a child in America – and December, the most popular time to make one. With nine of the top 10 days to give birth falling between September 9 and September 20, one may wonder why the birth month is so common. Here are some theories: Those who get to choose their child’s birthday due to induced and elective births tend to stay away from the hospital during understaffed holiday periods and may plan their birth date around the start of the school year. Several of the most common birth dates in September correspond with average conception periods around the holidays, where couples likely have more time to spend together. Some studies within the scientific community suggest that our bodies may actually be biologically disposed to winter conceptions. While you may not be feeling that special if you were born in September, the actual differences in birth numbers between common and less common birthdays are often within just a few thousand babies. For example, September 10, the fifth most common birthday of the year, has an average birth rate of 12,143 babies. Meanwhile, April 20, the 328th most common birthday, has an average birth rate of 10,714 newborns. Surprisingly, the least common birthdays fall on Christmas Eve, Christmas Day and New Year’s Day, with Thanksgiving and Independence Day also ranking low on the list. Time to Celebrate – but Watch out! Statistically, there’s a pretty good chance that someone reading this article will soon be celebrating their birthday. And while you should be getting ready to party, you should also be on the lookout for fraudsters attempting to ruin your big day. It’s a well-known fact that cybercriminals can use your birth date as a piece of the puzzle to capture your identity and commit identity theft – which becomes a lot easier when it’s being advertised all over social media. It’s also important for employers to safeguard their organization from fraudsters who may use this information to break into corporate accounts. While sharing your birthday with a lot of people could be a good or bad thing depending on how much undivided attention you enjoy – you’re in great company! Not only can you plan a joint party with Michelle Williams, Afrojack, Cam from Modern Family, four people I went to high school with on Facebook and a handful of YouTube stars that I’m too old to know anything about, but there will be more people ringing in your birthday than any other day of the year! And that’s pretty cool.
The pickup truck could be considered an American staple. With it, consumers can tow their trailers, launch their boats, transport all their children’s dorm supplies to college, use it for business and still be the most intimidating light-duty vehicle on the road. Pickups boast strong popularity nationwide – they are the most common vehicles in operation (VIO) at 20% share today and hold 16.5% of new vehicle registrations in the market as of the first quarter of 2019, third behind cross-overs (CUVs) and sedans. Pickup owner demographics show that they are a common choice across various household value levels, which could be due to their relatively inexpensive cost compared to newer, luxury CUVs on the market. In order, the top household values for the buyers of new pickups across the U.S. are: $250k – $350k $200k – $250k $160k – $200k $450k – $750k Texas – The True Leader of Pickup Truck Volume? Examining the data at a state level tells a different story. States that have a smaller total amount of new registered pickup vehicles outpace Texas’ statewide market share of 25%. In fact, North Dakota and Wyoming both have over 41% statewide market share of new vehicle purchases that are pickups, the largest in the country. Other states with statewide new vehicle market share of pickups larger than Texas’ include Montana, Idaho, South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, Vermont and Alaska. (Experian new vehicle registrations in Q1 2019 – pickups) A closer look at popular pickup brands within states reveals further diversification within this segment. Among the states with the greatest share of newly registered pickups (see chart below), brands like Nissan, Honda and GMC are competing against the leaders of Ford, Chevrolet, Toyota and Ram for a share of the market. Overall, the most popular new pickup models include Ford’s F150, the Ram 1500, the Chevrolet Silverado 1500 and the Toyota Tacoma. (Experian new vehicle registrations in Q1 2019 – pickups. St = pickup % of a state’s VIO; US= pickup % of the entire United States VIO) The Future of Pickup Popularity While a popular choice among consumers, pickups still compete against other vehicle segments for market share. CUVs are rising in popularity and have a larger new vehicle market share than pickups – 36.1% in 2015 and 49.2% as of Q1 2019. Looking ahead, automotive manufacturing trends could also impact the market share for pickups. Automakers are increasingly narrowing the scope of the car models they offer, often producing smaller cars or different sized CUVs to meet market demand. Some automakers are shifting their production strategies to focus on extended mobility technologies instead of vehicle design updates. However, the data doesn’t lie – the new vehicle market share for pickups continues to increase year-over-year, rising from 14.7% in 2015 to 16.7% as of Q1 2019. Whether a consumer is looking for a basic model or a luxury vehicle, there will be ample opportunity for them to find the perfect pickup.
Many companies rely on attributes for decisioning but lack the resources needed to invest in developing, managing, and updating the attributes themselves. Experian is there to guide you every step of the way with our Attribute Toolbox – our source independent solution that provides maximum flexibility and multiple data sources you can use in the calculation and management of attributes. To create and manage our attributes, Experian has established development principles and created a set methodology to ensure that our attribute management system works across the attribute life cycle. Here’s how it works: Develop Attributes The attribute development process includes: discovery, exploratory data analysis, filter leveling, and the development of attributes. When we create attributes, Experian takes great care to ensure that we: Analyze the available data elements and how they are populated (the frequencies of fields). Determine a “sensible” definition of the attribute. Evaluate attribute frequencies. Review consumer credit reports, where possible. Refine the definition and assess more frequencies and examples. Test Attributes Before implementing, Experian performs an internal audit of filters and attributes. Defining, coding and auditing filters is 80% of the attribute development process. The main objective of the auditing process is to ensure both programming and logical accuracy. This involves electronic and manual auditing and requires a thorough review of all data elements used in development. Deploy Attributes Deployment is very similar to attribute testing. However, in this case, the primary objective of the deployment audit is to ensure both the programming and logical accuracy of the output is executing correctly on various platforms. We aim to maintain consistency among various business lines and products, between batch and online environments across the life cycle, and wherever your models are deployed: on premises, in the cloud, and off-site in your partners’ systems. Govern Attributes Experian places a robust attribute governance process in place to ensure that our attributes remains up-to-date and on track with internal and external compliance regulations and audits. New learnings, industry and regulatory changes can lead to updated attributes or new attributes over time. Because attributes are ever-changing, we take great care to expand, update and add new attributes over time based on three types of external changes: economic, bureau, and reporting changes. Fetch Data While we gather the data, we ensure that you can integrate a variety of external data sources, including: consumer bureau, business, fraud, and other data sources. Attributes need to be: Highly accurate. Suitable for use across the Customer Life Cycle. Suitable for use in credit decisioning and model development. Available and consistent across multiple platforms. Supportive and adaptable to ever-evolving regulatory considerations. Thoroughly documented and monitored. Monitor Performance We generate attribute distribution reports and can perform custom validations using data from credit reporting agencies (CRAs) and other data providers. This is based on monthly monitoring to ensure continued integrity and stability to stand up to regulatory scrutiny and compliance regulations. Variations that exceed predetermined thresholds are identified, quantified, and explained. If new fields or data values within existing fields are announced, we assess the impact and important of these values on attributes – to determine if revisions are needed. Maintain Attributes Credit bureau data updates, new attributes in response to market needs, compliance requirements, corrections in logic where errors are identified or improvements to logic often lead to new version releases of attributes. With each new version release, Experian takes care to conduct thorough analyses comparing the previous and current set of attributes. We also make sure to create detailed documentation on what’s changed between versions, the rationale for changes and the impact on existing attributes. Experian Attributes are the key to unlocking consistent, enhanced and more profitable decisions. Our data analysts and statisticians have helped hundreds of clients build custom attributes and custom models to solve their business problems. Our Attribute Toolbox makes it easier to deploy and manage attributes across the customer lifecycle. We give companies the power to code, manage, test, and deploy all types of attributes, including: Premier AttributesSM, Trended 3DTM, and custom attributes – without relying on a third-party. We do the heavy lifting so that you don’t have to. Learn More
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With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.
The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.
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