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of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry’s standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum
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Juniper Research recently recognized Experian as a Fraud Detection and Prevention Market Leader in its Online Payment Fraud Whitepaper. Juniper also shared important market insights in the report. The transactional value of card-not-present fraud is estimated to reach $19.3 billion in 2022. Online payment fraud is anticipated to grow 13.7% annually from 2017 to 2022. Digital banking fraud should reach $7.9 billion by 2022. $50.9 billion is expected to be spent on fraud detection and prevention software between 2017 and 2022. Fraud’s not going away anytime soon. Protecting your organization and customers is the new cost of doing business. Don’t wait until 2022 to start protecting yourself. Read the report>
The data to create synthetic identities is available. And the marketplace to exchange and monetize that data is expanding rapidly. The fact that hundreds of millions of names, addresses, dates of birth, and Social Security numbers (SSNs) have been breached in the last year alone, provides an easy path for criminals to surgically target new combinations of data. Armed with an understanding of the actual associations of these personally identifiable information (PII) elements, fraudsters can better navigate the path to perpetrate identity theft, identity manipulation, or synthetic identity fraud schemes on a grand scale. Using information such as birth dates and addresses in combination with Social Security numbers, criminals can target new combinations of data to yield better results with lower risk of detection. Some examples of this would be: identity theft, existing account takeovers, or the deconstruction and reconstruction of those PII elements to better create effective synthetic identities. Experian has continued to evolve and innovate against fraud risks and attacks with an understanding of attack rates, vectors, and the shifting landscape in data availability and security. In doing so, we’ve historically operated under the assumption that all PII is already compromised in some way or is easily done so. Because of this, we employ a layered approach, providing a more holistic view of an identity and the devices that are used over time by that identity. Relying solely on PII to validate and verify an identity is simply unwise and ineffective in this era of data compromise. We strive to continuously cultivate the broadest and most in-depth set of traditional, innovative and alternative data assets available. To do this, we must enable the integration of diverse identity attributes and intelligence to balance risk, while maintaining a positive customer experience. It’s been quite some time since the use of basic PII verification alone has been predictive of identity risk or confidence. Instead, validation and verification is founded in the ongoing definition and association of identities, the devices commonly used by those individuals, and the historical trends in their behavior. Download our newest White Paper, Synthetic Identities: Getting real with customers, for an in-depth Experian perspective on this increasingly significant fraud risk.
If someone asked you for stats on your retail card portfolio, would you respond with the number of accounts? Average spend per month? Or maybe you know the average revolving balance and profitability. Notice something about that list? Too many lenders think of their portfolio and customers as numbers when in reality these are individuals expressing themselves through their transactions. In an age where consumers increasingly expect customized experiences, marketing to account #5496115149251 is likely to fall on deaf ears. Credit card transaction data including bankcard, retail, and debit cards holds a wealth of information about your consumers' tastes and preferences. Think about all the purchases you made using a credit card this past month. Did you shop at high-end retail stores or discount stores? Expensive restaurants or fast food? Did you buy new clothes for your kids? Maybe you went to the movies, or met friends at a bar. How you use your card paints a picture of who you are. The trick is turning all those numbers into insights. You may have been swept up in all the excitement around Apple’s announcement of the iPhone X in August. However, you may have overlooked the incorporation of Neural Embedding, or machine learning, as one of the most powerful features of the new phone. Experian DataLabs has developed an innovative approach to analyzing transaction data using similar techniques. Unstructured machine learning is applied and patterns begin to emerge around customer spending. The patterns are highly intuitive and give personality to what was previously an indecipherable stream of data. For example, one group may be more likely to spend on children’s clothing, child care services, and theme parks while another spends on expensive restaurants, airlines, and golf courses. If these two consumers happened to spend approximately the same each month on your card, you’d probably treat them as category. But understanding one is a young family and their other is jet setter allows you to tailor messaging, offers, and terms to their needs and use of your products. Further, you can ensure they have the best product based on their lifestyle to minimize silent attrition as their needs evolve. But it’s not just about marketing. When your latest attrition dashboard is updated, what period are you measuring? Do you analyze account closures from the previous month? Maybe a few months back? Understanding churn is important, but it’s inherently reactive and backward looking. You wouldn’t drive a car looking in the rearview mirror, would you? Experian enables clients to actively monitor the portfolio for attrition risk by analyzing usage patterns and predicting future spend. Transactions are then monitored up to daily and, when spend doesn’t occur as expected, an alert is sent so you can proactively attempt to save the account before it closes. These algorithms are finely tuned to reduce false positives that can come from seasonality or predictable gaps in spend such as only using a card at certain times during the week. Most importantly, it gives you an opportunity to manage each account and address changing customer needs instead of waiting for customers to call to cancel. So how well do you know your customers? If you’re still looking at them as numbers, it may be time to explore new capabilities that allow you to act small, no matter how large your portfolio. Transaction Data Insights brings cutting-edge machine learning capabilities to lenders of all sizes. By digging into behavioral segments and having tools to monitor and send alerts when a consumer is showing signs of attrition risk, card portfolios can suddenly treat customers like people, providing the customized experience they increasingly expect.
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With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.
The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.
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typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.