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Published: August 11, 2025 by joseph.rodriguez@experian.com

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Report: State of the Economy, April 2024

This series will dive into our monthly State of the Economy report, providing a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for those in financial services to proactively shape their business strategies. During their March meeting, the Federal Reserve announced no change in the federal funds rate and released their updated Summary of Economic Projects for the remainder of 2024 and 2025. In response to slow but steady cooling inflation, they maintained projections for three rate cuts by the end of 2024. Additionally, they upgraded their growth projections and lowered their unemployment projections, signaling more optimism toward the U.S. economic trajectory. In this month's report, we dive into the data developments that are contributing to this economic story. Data highlights from this month's report include: The Federal Reserve held rates steady and maintained projections for three rate cuts by the end of the year. Inflation progress slowed, with annual headline inflation flat and annual core inflation ticking up from 3.2% to 3.5%. The median rent-to-income ratio increased 4.1% year-over-year to 37.9% nationally. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of April's data, including the latest trends in income, originations, and job creation. To have a holistic view of our current environment, we must understand our economic past, present, and future. Check out our annual chartbook for a comprehensive view of the past year and register for our upcoming macroeconomic forecasting webinar for a look at the year ahead. Download April's State of the Economy report  Register for webinar For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

May 01,2024 by Josee Farmer

The High Cost of Fake IDs: How Identity Fraud is Draining Auto Dealerships

For auto dealerships, the roar of engines and the clink of deals used to be the only sounds associated with financial risk. But in today's world, a silent threat lurks in every showroom: identity fraud. This insidious crime is costing dealerships millions, leaving a trail of financial and reputational wreckage in its wake. The Numbers Don't Lie: Reports of the impact of identity fraud on auto dealerships are becoming more common as the industry leans more heavily on digital retailing. According to the Federal Trade Commission, nearly 80,000 cars were stolen in 2023 via fraud. Who's Behind the Wheel? The perpetrators of fraud come in all shapes and sizes. While classic ID theft with stolen documents still exists, the real menace lies in synthetic identities: Frankenstein accounts cobbled together from stolen data and fake documents. These sophisticated creations can fool even the most vigilant dealership, resulting in high-value car loans taken out on non-existent people. The Ripple Effect: The consequences of identity fraud extend far beyond lost cars. Dealerships face: Financial losses: Wrecked credit and repossessions add up quickly. Operational headaches: Investigations and legal proceedings are time-consuming and costly. Reputational damage: News of fraud breaches trust and scares away potential customers. So, What Can Dealerships Do? Arming themselves with the right tools and practices is crucial. Here are some key steps: Invest in identity verification technology: Advanced document scanning, and facial recognition can crack down on fake licenses. Experian's Fraud ProtectTM leverages cutting-edge technology to compare licenses to selfies to confirm consumers are who they say they are AND their license is valid. Train staff on fraud detection: Fraud Protect takes the challenge out of identifying fraud in a very simple way. There is no hardware or extensive training. It is as simple as sharing a URL and reading the results in your CRM. Implement stringent verification procedures: Fraud Protect allows dealers to implement fraud identification measures in a frictionless manner. As simple as one-time passcodes, selfies, and taking pictures, the consumer experience is very smooth.  For automotive dealers, the results are returned to their CRM within a few moments including all the information they need for proper decisioning. Fighting Back, One Mile at a Time: Identity fraud is a growing problem, but auto dealerships are not powerless. By raising awareness, investing in security, and embracing vigilance, dealers can protect themselves and drive this silent threat off the road. With Fraud Protect, dealers can verify documents and identity in a frictionless manner that does not interrupt the sales process. Learn more about auto fraud prevention solutions available or contact us to get started.   *This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

Apr 30,2024 by Kelly Lawson

What Is Open Banking?

Open banking is revolutionizing the financial services industry by encouraging a shift from a closed model to one with greater transparency, competition, and innovation. But what does this mean for financial institutions, and how can you adapt to this new landscape, balancing opportunity against risk? In this article, we will define open banking, illustrate how it operates, and weigh the challenges and benefits for financial institutions. What is open banking? Open banking stands at the forefront of financial innovation, embodying a shift toward a more inclusive, transparent, and consumer-empowered system. At its core, open banking relies on a simple yet powerful premise: it uses consumer-permissioned data to create a networked banking ecosystem that benefits both financial institutions and consumers alike.  By having secure, standardized access to consumer financial data — granted willingly by the customers themselves — lenders can gain incredibly accurate insights into consumer behavior, enabling them to personalize services and offers like never before. How does open banking work? Open banking is driven by Application Programming Interfaces (APIs), which are sets of protocols that allow different software components to communicate with each other and share data seamlessly and securely. In the context of open banking, these APIs enable: Account Information Services (AIS): These services allow third-party providers (TPPs) to access account information from financial institutions (with customer consent) to provide budgeting and financial planning services. Payment Initiation Services (PIS): These services permit TPPs to initiate payments on behalf of customers, often offering alternative, faster, or cheaper payment solutions compared to traditional banking methods. Financial institutions must develop and maintain robust and secure APIs that TPPs can integrate with. This requires significant investment in technology and cybersecurity to protect customer data and financial assets. There must also be clear customer consent procedures and data-sharing agreements between financial institutions and TPPs. Benefits of open banking Open banking is poised to create a wave of innovation in the financial sector. One of the most significant benefits is the ability to gain a more comprehensive view of a consumer’s financial situation. With a deeper view of consumer cashflow data and access to actionable insights, you can improve your underwriting strategy, optimize account management and make smarter decisions to safely grow your portfolio.  Additionally, open banking promotes financial inclusion by enabling financial institutions to offer more tailored products that suit the needs of previously underserved or unbanked populations. This inclusivity can help bridge the gap in financial services, making them accessible to a broader segment of the population. Furthermore, open banking fosters competition among financial institutions and fintech companies, leading to the development of better products, services, and competitive pricing. This competitive environment not only benefits consumers but also challenges banks to innovate, improve their services, and operate more efficiently. The collaborative nature of open banking encourages an ecosystem where traditional banks and fintech startups co-create innovative open banking solutions. This synergy can accelerate the pace of digital transformation within the banking sector, leading to the development of cutting-edge technologies and platforms that address specific market gaps or consumer demands.  Challenges of open banking While open banking presents a plethora of opportunities, its adoption is not without challenges. Financial institutions must grapple with several hurdles to fully leverage the benefits open banking offers. One of the most significant challenges is fraud detection in banking and ensuring data security and privacy. The sharing of financial data through APIs necessitates robust cybersecurity measures to protect sensitive information from breaches and fraud. Banks and TPPs alike must invest in advanced security technologies and protocols to safeguard customer data. Additionally, regulatory compliance poses a considerable challenge. Open banking regulations vary widely across different jurisdictions, requiring banks to adapt their operations to comply with diverse legal frameworks. Staying abreast of evolving regulations and ensuring compliance can be resource-intensive and complex. Furthermore, customer trust and awareness are crucial to the success of open banking. Many consumers are hesitant to share their financial data due to privacy concerns. Educating customers on the benefits of open banking and the measures taken to ensure their data’s security is essential to overcoming this obstacle. Despite these challenges, the strategic implementation of open banking can unlock remarkable opportunities for innovation, efficiency, and service enhancement in the financial sector. Banks that can successfully navigate these hurdles and capitalize on the advantages of open banking are likely to emerge as leaders in the new era of financial services. Our open banking strategy Our newly introduced open banking solution, Cashflow Attributes, powered by Experian’s proprietary data from millions of U.S. consumers, offers unrivaled categorization and valuable consumer insights. The combination of credit and cashflow data empowers lenders with a deeper understanding of consumers. Furthermore, it harnesses our advanced capabilities to categorize 99% of transaction Demand Deposit Account (DDA) and credit card data, guaranteeing dependable inputs for robust risk assessment, targeted marketing and proactive fraud detection.  Watch open banking webinar Learn more about Cashflow Attributes

Apr 25,2024 by Laura Burrows

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Mar 01,2025 by Jon Mostajo, test user

Used Car Special Report: Millennials Maintain Lead in the Used Vehicle Market

With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.

Jan 21,2025 by Kirsten Von Busch

Special Report: Inside the Used Vehicle Finance Market

The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.

Jan 21,2025 by Melinda Zabritski

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typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.