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Existing Account Fraud – a topic of interest at the CFCA conference held last week
Financial ServicesThe Communications Fraud Control Association’s annual meeting and educational event was held last week (June 14 – 16) at the Allerton hotel in Chicago, IL. The Communications Fraud Control Association is made up of communications and security professionals, fraud investigators, analysts, and managers, law enforcement, those in risk management, and many others. As an organization, they started out as a small group of communications professionals from the major long distance carriers who were looking for a better and more collaborative way to address communications fraud. Now, almost 30 years later, they’ve got over 60 members – a great representation of the industry yet still a nimble size. From what I hear, this makes for a specialized but quite effective “working” conference. Unfortunately I was not able to attend the conference but my colleague, Kennis Wong, attended and presented on the topic of Account Takeover and existing account fraud. It’s an area of fraud and compliance that Experian has spent some R&D on recently, with some interesting findings. In the past, we’ve been more focused on helping clients prevent new account and application fraud. It might seem like an interesting time to expand into this area, with some studies citing large drops in existing account fraud (2011 Identity Fraud Survey Report by Javelin). BUT…consumer costs in this area are way UP, not to mention the headline-grabbing news stories about small business account takeover. Which means it’s still a large pain point for financial institutions. Experian’s research and development in existing account fraud, combined with our expertise in fraud scores and identity theft detection, has resulted in a new product which is launching at the end of this month: Precise ID for Customer Management. Stay tuned for more exciting details.
Corporate account takeover is a serious fraud risk; but good resources are available
Financial ServicesWhether you call it small business, commercial, or corporate account takeover, this form of existing account fraud has been in the headlines lately and seems to be on the rise. While account takeover happens to individual consumers quite frequently, it’s the sensational loss amounts and the legal battles between companies and their banks that are causing this form of commercial fraud to make the news. A recent BankInfoSecurity.com article, Fraud Verdict: Opinions Vary, is about a court opinion on a high profile ACH fraud case – Experi-Metal Inc. vs. Comerica Bank – that cites a number of examples of corporate account takeover cases with substantial losses: · Village View Escrow of Redondo Beach, Calif.: lost $465,000 to an online hack · Hillary Machinery: settled with its bank for undisclosed terms in 2010. · The Catholic Diocese of Des Moines, Iowa: lost $600,000 in fraudulent ACH transactions. I was curious what information was out there and publicly available to help businesses protect themselves and minimize fraud losses / risk. NACHA, the electronics payment association, had some of the best resources on their website. Labeled the “Corporate Account Takeover Resource Center”, it has a wide variety of briefs, papers, and recommendations documents including prevention practices for companies, financial institutions, and third-party service providers. There’s even a podcast on how to fight ACH fraud! One thing was interesting to note, though. NACHA makes a point to distinguish between ACH fraud and corporate account takeover in this statement at the top of the web page: Corporate Account Takeover is a form of corporate identity theft where a business’ online credentials are stolen by malware. Criminal entities can then initiate fraudulent banking activity. Corporate Account Takeover involves compromised identity credentials and is not about compromises to the wire system or ACH Network. ACH fraud and wire fraud, terms mistakenly used to describe this type of criminal activity, are a misnomer. The ACH Network is safe and secure. Mostly I agree –the ACH Network is safe and secure. But from an F.I.’s or company’s perspective, corporate account takeover and ACH Fraud often go hand in hand.
High-profile data breaches are back in the headlines as businesses—including many in the communications sector—fall prey to a growing number of cyberattacks. So far this year, 251 public notifications of data breaches have been reported according to the Privacy Rights Clearinghouse. The latest attack comes on the heels of the Obama administration’s recent proposal to replace conflicting state laws with a uniform standard. The idea is not a new one—national breach notification legislation has been in discussion on Capitol Hill since 2007. With the addition of the White House proposal, three data breach notification bills are now under consideration. But rather than waiting for passage of a new law, communications companies and businesses in general should be aware of the issues and take steps to prepare. Replacing 48 laws with one Currently, notification standards differ on a state-by-state basis: 46 states, plus the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico each enforce their own standards. The many varying laws make compliance confusing and expensive. While getting to a single standard sounds like a good idea, finding a single solution becomes difficult when there are 48 different laws to reconcile. The challenge is to craft a uniform national law that preempts state laws, while providing adequate consumer protection. Five things to look for in a National Breach Notification Law Passing a single law will be an uphill battle. In the meantime, these are some of the issues that will need to be resolved before a national breach standard can be enacted: What types of personal information should be protected? First and last name + other info (e.g. bank account number) What should be classified as “personal” information? Email addresses and user names Health and medical information (California now includes this) What qualifies as a breach and what are the triggers for notification? What information should be included in a breach notice? How soon after a breach should notification be sent? Some states require notices be sent within a set number of days, others ASAP. Potential penalties What could happen if a company doesn’t comply with the proposed laws? Under the White House bill, fines would be limited to $1,000/day, with a $1 million cap. The two bills in House would impose penalties of $11,000/day, maxing out at $5 million. How to prepare before a national standard is passed Although the timing for passage is uncertain, communications companies need not wait for a national law to pass before taking action. Put a plan in place instead of sorting through 48 different laws. Preparation can be as simple as making a phone call to your Experian rep about our data breach protection services. Having managed over 2,300 data breach events, Experian can help you effectively mitigate loss. In addition to following updates on this page, you can also stay informed about the progress of pending data breach legislation by following the Data Breach Blog. Share your thoughts and concerns on the current proposals by leaving a comment. For further reading on this subject: Experian Data Breach Blog State Security Breach Notification Laws Obama Administration Proposal: Law Enforcement Provisions Related to Computer Security (pdf of the full bill) Obama national breach notification proposal: Good news, bad news for firms 2011 Data Breach Investigations Report (PDF)
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With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.
The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.
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