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of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry’s standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum
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Many desktop publishing packages and web page editors now use Lorem Ipsum as their default model text, and a search for ‘lorem ipsum’ will uncover many web sites still in their infancy.
There are a number of people within the industry heralding the death of knowledge based authentication. To those people I would say, “In my humble opinion you are as wrong as those recent tweets proclaiming the death of Bill Cosby.” Before anyone’s head spins around, let me explain. When I talk about knowledge based authentication and out of wallet questions, I mean it in the truest sense, a la dynamic questions presented as a pop quiz and not the secret questions you answered when you set-up an account. Dynamic knowledge based authentication presents questions are generated from information known about the consumer, concerning things the true consumer would know and a fraudster wouldn’t. The key to success, and the key to good questions, is the data, which I have said many, many times before. The truth is every tool will let some fraud through; otherwise, you’re keeping too many good customers away. But if knowledge based authentication truly fails, there are two places to look: Data: There are knowledge based authentication providers who rely solely on public record data for their KBA solutions. In my opinion, that data is a higher data risk segment for compromise. Experian’s knowledge based authentication practice is disciplined and includes a mix of data. Our research has shown us that a question set should, ideally, include questions that are proprietary, non-credit, credit and innovative. Yes, it may make sense to include some public record data in a question set, but should it be the basis for the entire question set? Providers who can rely on their own data, or a strategic combination of data sources, rather than purchasing it from one of the large data aggregators are, in my opinion, at an advantage because fraudsters would need to compromise multiple sources in order to “game the system.” Actual KBA use: Knowledge based authentication works best as part of a risk management strategy where risk based authentication is a component within the framework and not the single, determining factor for passing a consumer. Our research has shown that clients who combine fraud analytics and a score with knowledge based authentication can increase authentication performance from 20% – 30% or more, depending on the portfolio and type of fraud (ID Fraud vs. First Party, etc.)… and adding a score has the obvious benefit of increasing fraud detection, but it also allows organizations to prioritize review rates efficiently while protecting the consumer experience. So before we write the obituary of KBA, let’s challenge those who tinker with out of wallet products, building lists of meaningless questions that a 5th grader could answer. Embrace optimized decisions with risk based authentication and employ fraud best practices in your use of KBA.
A few days ago I saw an article about hackers working from Russia, while committing check fraud in the United States. In what those investigating are calling a brilliant operation, the fraudsters compromised companies that archive and store records of check images or checks themselves. They then downloaded those check images and all available information. By printing new checks and using an old Internet “money mule” scheme, the fraudsters were able to send the bogus checks to ”the mule”, often as a payment, and have the check cashed at the mule’s bank to get the balance of the funds wired to an off-shore bank account. That article made me think about new breakthroughs in technology. What if those fraudsters had been a little savvier? What if they had the most recent smart phone application installed and didn’t need a mule to wire the money? They could have simply written checks and uploaded them for deposit to an account to which they had gained access with the hottest application du jour – deposit via photo image uploaded from a smart phone. That application would have allowed the fraudsters to cash the bogus check, gain access to the funds and move them to the next account at will. Or would it? Given the move toward mobile banking, it isn’t really a stretch to see this kind of thing happening. Probably not, but if organizations offering this kind of service use a risk based authentication approach it is more likely they use fraud models and decisioning strategies to minimize fraud and protect consumers while pushing out the latest technology. For those reasons, risk management solutions and enterprise fraud vendors need to not only keep pace with technology but also stay ahead of the curve in order to provide optimized decisions and the most relevant fraud analytics. Considering recent fraud trends and my love affair with mobile everything, I know I want the organizations I do business with to do everything they can to prevent fraud…and I’m positive I want my smart phone to be as smart as possible.
By: Kari Michel What are your acquisition strategies to increase consumer lending and gain market share? This blog will discuss new approaches to create segment-based targeting campaigns and the ability to precisely time the offer delivery with consumer needs. The most aggressive and successful banks are using need and attitudinal segmentation, coupled with models that identify consumers in the market for loan products. The return on marketing investment from these refined marketing efforts often exceed 350%, measured on a net of control basis, after all marketing costs. Here is a case study, using Experian tools, showing how one marketer used segment-based targeting, tailoring and timing to increase their response rate 145% over a competitor’s product. In the highly competitive credit card arena, a new business model is emerging that is dependent on acquiring new accounts from consumers that are grouped into specific behavior segments (Credit Hungry Card Switchers and Case Oriented Skeptics) and looking at consumers that were in the market, as well as had the highest likelihood of opening a bankcard account within the next 1 – 4 months. Test Results Total Competitor Experian Experian lift Quantity 624,000 623,953 Response Rate % 2.09% 3.03% 145% Actual Responses 13,035 18,902 Booked Rate % 1.64% 2.24% 137% Actual Booked 10,208 13,989 Approval Rate % 78.30% 74.01% 95% In addition to a 145% lift in response rate, over 3,700 more accounts were booked over the competition. These same tools, “In The Market Models” (developed using credit bureau data) and “Financial Personalities®”, can help your organization have a greater return on your direct marketing investment by increasing acquisition rates.
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With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.
The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.
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typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.