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Published: August 11, 2025 by joseph.rodriguez@experian.com

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Underwater homeowners – what keeps them in their homes?

By: Staci Baker As more people have become underwater on their mortgage, the decision to stay or not stay in their home has evolved to consider a number of influences that impact consumer credit decisions.  Research is revealing that much of an individual’s decision to meet his credit obligations is based on his trust in the economy, moral obligation, and his attitude about delinquency and the effect it will have on his credit score. Recent findings suggest that moral obligation keeps the majority of homeowners from walking away from their homes.  According to the 2009 Fannie Mae National Housing Survey (i) – “Nearly nine in ten Americans (88%), including seven in ten who are delinquent on their own mortgages, do not believe it is acceptable for people to stop making payments on an underwater mortgage, while 8% believe it is acceptable.”  It appears that there is a sense of owning up to one’s responsibilities; having signed a contract and the presumed stigma of walking away from that obligation. Maintaining strong creditworthiness by continuing to make payments on an underwater mortgage is motivation to sustain mortgage payments.  “Approximately 74% of homeowners believe it is very important to maintain good credit and this can be a factor in encouraging them not to walk away (ii).”  Once a homeowner defaults on their mortgage, their credit score can drop 150 to 250 points (iii), and the cost of credit in the future becomes much higher via increased interest rates once credit scores trend down. Although consumers expect to keep investing in the housing market (70% said buying a home continues to be one of the safest investments available (iv)) they will surely continue optimizing decisions that consider both the moral and credit implications of their decisions. i     December, 2009, Fannie Mae National Housing Survey ii  4/30/10, Financial Trust Index at 23% While Strategic Defaults Continue to Rise, The Chicago Booth/Kellogg School Financial Trust Index iii  http://www.creditcards.com/credit-card-news/mortgage-default-credit-scores-1270.php iv  December, 2009, Fannie Mae National Housing Survey    

May 27,2010 by

Are you missing out on the benefits of using income estimation models?

By: Kari Michel The Federal Reserve’s decision to permit card issuers to use income estimation models to meet the Accountability, Responsibility, and Disclosure (CARD) Act requirements to assess a borrower’s ability to repay a loan makes good sense. But are income estimation models useful for anything other than supporting compliance with this new regulation? Yes; in fact these types of models offer many advantages and uses for the financial industry. They provide a range of benefits including better fraud mitigation, stronger risk management, and responsible provision of credit. Using income estimation models to understand your customers’ complete financial picture is valuable in all phases of the customer lifecycle, including: • Loan Origination – use as a best practice for determining income capacity • Prospecting – target customers within a specific income range • Acquisitions – set line assignments for approved customers • Account Management – assess repayment ability before approving line increases • Collections – optimize valuation and recovery efforts One of the key benefits of income estimation models is they validate consumer income in real time and can be easily integrated into current processes to reduce expensive manual verification procedures and increase your ROI. But not all scoring models are created equal. When considering an income estimation model, it’s important to consider the source of the income data upon which the model was developed. The best models rely on verified income data and cover all income sources, including wages, rent, alimony, and Social Security. To lean more about how income estimation models can help with risk management strategies, please join the following webinar: Ability to pay:  Going beyond the Credit CARD on June 8, 2010. http://www.bulldogsolutions.net/ExperianConsumerInfo/EXC1001/frmRegistration.aspx?bdls=24143    

May 25,2010 by

June 1, 2010 Red Flags Rule Deadline is Just the Beginning

Well, here we are about two weeks from the Federal Trade Commission’s June 1, 2010 Red Flags Rule enforcement date.  While this date has been a bit of a moving target for the past year or so, I believe this one will stick.  It appears that the new reality is one in which individual trade associations and advocacy groups will, one by one, seek relief from enforcement and related penalties post-June 1.  Here’s why I say that: The American Bar Association has already file suit against the FTC, and in October, 2009, The U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia ruled that the Red Flags Rule is not applicable to attorneys engaged in the practice of law.  While an appeal of this case is still pending, in mid-March, the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia issued another order declaring that the FTC should postpone enforcement of the Red Flags Rule “with respect to members of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants” engaged in practice for 90 days after the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia renders an opinion in the American Bar Association’s case against the FTC.” Slippery slope here.  Is this what we can expect for the foreseeable future? A rather ambiguous guideline that leaves openings for specific categories of “covered entities” to seek exemption?  The seemingly innocuous element to the definition of “creditor” that includes “businesses or organizations that regularly defer payment for goods or services or provide goods or services and bill customers later” is causing havoc among peripheral industries like healthcare and other professional services. Those of you in banking are locked in for sure, but it ought to be an interesting year as the outliers fight to make sense of it all while they figure out what their identity theft prevention programs should or shouldn’t be.  

May 13,2010 by

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Mar 01,2025 by Jon Mostajo, test user

Used Car Special Report: Millennials Maintain Lead in the Used Vehicle Market

With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.

Jan 21,2025 by Kirsten Von Busch

Special Report: Inside the Used Vehicle Finance Market

The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.

Jan 21,2025 by Melinda Zabritski

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typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.