2020 is finally over – been there, done that. And while it seems safe to say most everyone is all too eager to kick off a new calendar year, the reality is we’re still reeling – and will continue to reel – through the economic impacts of the COVID-19 global pandemic. As we inch closer to the one year marker of when many businesses were sent home – across all industries, including those tech-inclined and those less so – the understatement of the year is that the world has since changed as have consumer communication preferences, how businesses and customers interact, tweaked definitions of privacy, and new (heightened) expectations of evolving a positive customer experience with minimal friction and maximum security. While last year’s predictions of entering a new set of Roaring 20’s may not have panned out the way we had initially imagined, many of the trends thought to evolve over the last 365 days did. As we all look toward a post-pandemic world, here are six top trends to keep tabs on throughout 2021. 1. Data Data as a commodity and as a business differentiating factor has reached an all-time high. It’s doing more across the entire customer lifecycle and can elevate businesses to best prep for growth, especially as consumers begin to look for more financial products (whether looking for financial assistance as the CARES Act accommodation period ends, or to take advantage of the booming mortgage industry, etc.). Data can also give more insights into consumers than ever before. Far beyond just credit scores and financial data, today’s data sets can reveal consumers’ lifestyle preferences, their preferred communication channels, their rental histories, and so much more. With alternative credit data and non-traditional data (including consumer-permissioned data), businesses can get a holistic picture of their customers’ payment behaviors. That streaming media service monthly payment may seem minimal, but now could increase your credit score through Experian Boost. Experian is still making big strides in all efforts to use data for good. As of December 31, 2020, Experian Boost has “boosted” Americans’ credit scores nearly 47 million points. Additionally, throughout 2020, Experian worked with financial institutions and credit furnishers to continue to put consumers first and serve as the consumer’s bureau. Coming up in 2021? Using data for differentiation, which can ultimately drive business growth. From instant prescreens to identifying your best customers (and offering them cross-sell and upsell opportunities to increase retention and customer loyalty) to helping customers that may be on the brink of financial distress and connecting them with management solutions to help them get back on their feet, data can help businesses – and their customers – get there. 2. Fraud and Friction (And the Reduction of Both) With the pandemic, fraud saw increases across the board. Here are just some quick stats: 200% increase in first-time online banking usage immediately following shelter-in-place orders (Aite Group, “Workplace Distancing: Adapting Fraud and AML Operations to COVID-19,” April 2020) 652% year-over-year increase in records found on the dark web (Experian CyberAgent technology) 50% increase in human farming – real people being hired for purposes of fraud – month-over-month in March 2020 (Arkose Labs) And, unsurprisingly, consumer and business sentiments toward fraud are also evolving with these increasing trends. For example, according to Experian’s North America Trends Report, half of consumers continue to site security as the most important factor of their online experience. Additionally, there’s been an increase in the percentage of businesses who have recently increased or are planning to increase fraud budget from 76% in 2019 to 89% as of Sept. 2020. More complex phishing schemes and increased fraudster activity is due in part to numerous industries having to shift to online processes and business transactions overnight. Adoption for mobile wallets has jumped 11% since July 2020, according to the 2020 Global Insights Report. Systems and technology that were not ready or not armed with the necessary infrastructure left critical access points open that could be exploited by fraudsters. Fraud exists across the customer lifecycle, at every access point. And while fraud is complex, with Experian as your partner, solving it isn’t. Innovative technology enables businesses to prevent fraud by identifying credible customers and applying the correct treatment to the riskiest consumer and business accounts. We can help you develop a layered risk management strategy so you can focus resources on growing and protecting your customer relationships. 3. A New Administration – Changing of the Guards on the Regulatory Front With the new year enters the inauguration of a new president and administration. Though there is still much to be determined, certain areas are drawing a lot of attention with this changing of the guards. The highlights? The CFPB. Priorities and leadership could change. With COVID-19 top of mind, it is likely there will be aggressive agendas put forth to help protect the millions of consumers who have suffered economic distress and harm as a result of the pandemic. Data Portability. With an increased consumer appetite to port their data, questions and concerns around data security – and how to verify for a third party asking for the data – are also on the rise. There are a number of issues facing financial institutions around data portability, one of the largest being defining the line between consumer account information and proprietary data. All things privacy – state vs. national bills. The debate continues on how to move forward (whether privacy legislation will be handled by the states or at the national level), but for now it seems there is more progress at the state level. California was the first state to push through state-level privacy legislation in the form of the California Consumer Privacy Act of 2018. Twenty-four states are considering legislation that would require consent before collecting or disclosing personal information with third parties. 4. Analytics + Digitalization – Smarter, Better, Faster COVID-19 accelerated digital transformation for many. Some companies were ready, having already started making the headway in years prior, while others struggled – and some continue to struggle. The pandemic – and its corresponding recovery – is reason now, more than ever, to get some of your digital transformation priorities checked off of your list. Your customers demand it and your business needs it. Tackling analytics and digitalization not only brings your business up to speed, but improves your decisioning, enhances your offerings, and enables better platforms and data usage. In addition to digitalization, artificial intelligence for credit decisioning and personalized banking can also be expected to be a top trend, especially AI that is ethical and explainable, as will the increasing adoption and implementation of cloud computing. As consumer experience continues to reign supreme, any and all technology to enhance and improve that experience – think chatbots and virtual assistants – will also likely increase in presence. 5. Verification & Identity Identity has been a trending topic over the last few years, brought on by increasingly digital lifestyles and the intersection of personalization, frictionless transactions and adequate security. Identity verification and verification of other information such as income, employment and the like are increasingly needed in a today’s pandemic and tomorrow’s post-pandemic world. Leveraged across the lifecycle and during critical customer interactions, the need is especially heightened for insights, data accuracy, and diversification of data sets – to name a few. And while it was already established that identity verification is not just for marketing services, there are now even greater needs for financial institutions to be able to confidently know that their customers are who they say they are. Some areas to keep your eye on in 2021? Identity, income, assets and employment. 6. Redefining the Modern Mortgage As has been a common trend, spurred by the disruption caused by COVID-19, the mortgage industry is one of the many to have a magnifying glass brought to its areas for improvement. Some of those areas include operational efficiency, digital adoption and transparency. In line with the better and faster needs that lenders are continually trying to pace with, the need for speed is hitting mortgage originations, with an ideal situation outlined as closing in 30 days or less. Creating operational efficiencies through faster, fresher data can be the key for lenders to more accurately assess a borrower’s ability to pay upfront. Additionally, now, as most mortgage lenders are breaking previous origination records by a landslide (thanks pandemic), there’s new focus on other performance indicators. With such impetus, the modern mortgage is constantly evolving, incorporating customer-centric facets including a seamless digital process, providing meaningful customer experiences and leveraging the latest and greatest technology to better future-proof the industry through scalable technology, while aiming to reduce costs. For all your needs in 2021 and beyond, Experian has you covered. Learn More
While things aren't quite back to normal in Q3 2020, there were a number of positive trends that demonstrates the automotive industry's resilience.
According to research, only 15% of American consumers have swapped out their go-to credit card in the past year and spend more money both online and offline with the card they designate as “top of wallet.” With over 470 million existing credit card accounts, here are four ways to keep your card top of mind: Go digital In today’s digital world, the rules of customer engagement are changing – and card issuers must develop their digital capabilities to keep pace. Cardholders enjoy (and expect) the convenience of being able to apply for credit, track their purchases, make payments and view their monthly statements on-the-go. Another popular phenomenon? Digital wallets. Also known as e-wallets, these house digital versions of credit or debit cards and are stored in an app or a mobile device. Digital wallets can be used in conjunction with mobile payment systems, allowing customers to store digital coupons and pay for purchases with their smartphones. Financial institutions that digitally transform and adapt to these new dynamics can more efficiently service and retain their customers. Prioritize fraud prevention As customers’ passion for e-commerce rises and cyberthieves grow smarter and more sophisticated, card issuers must improve their security measures and increase their focus on fraud prevention. Not only should you be familiar with the many ways that criminals steal customer payment information, but you should ensure customers that you have multiple lines of defense against cyber threats. Many financial institutions have added digital “on/off switches,” allowing customers to remotely turn off their credit or debit card should they have misplaced it or suspect that they’re a victim of identity theft. With credit card fraud being the most prevalent in identity theft cases, failing to properly safeguard your customers impacts not only their experience but also your ability to grow revenue. Create a single customer view A single customer view is a consolidated, consistent and holistic representation of the data known by an organization about its customers. And according to Experian research, 68% of businesses are currently attempting to implement this type of strategy. By achieving a consolidated customer view, you can attain better consumer insight and fully understand your cardmembers’ needs and buying preferences. Careful tracking of all customer interactions enables you to target more accurately and implement effective marketing strategies. Provide incentives According to Experian research, 58% of consumers select credit cards based on rewards. The top incentives when selecting a rewards card include cashback, gas rewards and retail gift cards. Rewarding loyalty with ongoing benefits goes a long way to encourage customers to keep your credit card top of wallet but it’s also important to figure out what works – and what doesn’t. With Experian’s advanced analytic algorithms that examine consumers’ total annual plastic spend, you can better understand how your existing product offers influence your customers’ card preferences. In today’s competitive marketplace, getting your credit card top of wallet isn’t easy. That’s why we’re here to help. Experian’s comprehensive view of consumer credit data and best-in-class account management solutions help you target higher-spending customers and promote top-of-wallet use. Learn more
Article written by Melanie Smith, Senior Copywriter, Experian Clarity Services, Inc. It’s been almost a decade since the Great Recession in the United States ended, but consumers continue to feel its effects. During the recession, millions of Americans lost their jobs, retirement savings decreased, real estate reduced in value and credit scores plummeted. Consumers that found themselves impacted by the financial crisis often turned to alternative financial services (AFS). Since the end of the recession, customer loyalty and retention has been a focus for lenders, given that there are more options than ever before for AFS borrowers. To determine what this looks like in the current climate, we examined today’s non-prime consumers, what their traditional scores look like and if they are migrating to traditional lending. What are alternative financial services (AFS)? Alternative financial services (AFS) is a term often used to describe the array of financial services offered by providers that operate outside of traditional financial institutions. In contrast to traditional banks and credit unions, alternative service providers often make it easier for consumers to apply and qualify for lines of credit but may charge higher interest rates and fees. More than 50% of new online AFS borrowers were first seen in 2018 To determine customer loyalty and fluidity, we looked extensively at the borrowing behavior of AFS consumers in the online marketplace. We found half of all online borrowers were new to the space as of 2018, which could be happening for a few different reasons. Over the last five years, there has been a growing preference to the online space over storefront. For example, in our trends report from 2018, we found that 17% of new online customers migrated from the storefront single pay channel in 2017, with more than one-third of these borrowers from 2013 and 2014 moving to online overall. There was also an increase in AFS utilization by all generations in 2018. Additionally, customers who used AFS in previous years are now moving towards traditional credit sources. 2017 AFS borrowers are migrating to traditional credit As we examined the borrowing behavior of AFS consumers in relation to customer loyalty, we found less than half of consumers who used AFS in 2017 borrowed from an AFS lender again in 2018. Looking into this further, about 35% applied for a loan but did not move forward with securing the loan and nearly 24% had no AFS activity in 2018. We furthered our research to determine why these consumers dropped off. After analyzing the national credit database to see if any of these consumers were borrowing in the traditional credit space, we found that 34% of 2017 borrowers who had no AFS activity in 2018 used traditional credit services, meaning 7% of 2017 borrowers migrated to traditional lending in 2018. Traditional credit scores of non-prime borrowers are growing After discovering that 7% of 2017 online borrowers used traditional credit services in 2018 instead of AFS, we wanted to find out if there had also been an improvement in their credit scores. Historically, if someone is considered non-prime, they don’t have the same access to traditional credit services as their prime counterparts. A traditional credit score for non-prime consumers is less than 600. Using VantageScore 3.0, we examined the credit scores of consumers who used and did not use AFS in 2018. We found about 23% of consumers who switched to traditional lending had a near-prime credit score, while only 8% of those who continued in the AFS space were classified as near-prime. Close to 10% of consumers who switched to traditional lending in 2018 were classified in the prime category. Considering it takes much longer to improve a traditional credit rating, it’s likely that some of these borrowers may have been directly impacted by the recession and improved their scores enough to utilize traditional credit sources again. Key takeaways AFS remains a viable option for consumers who do not use traditional credit or have a credit score that doesn’t allow them to utilize traditional credit services. New AFS borrowers continue to appear even though some borrowers from previous years have improved their credit scores enough to migrate to traditional credit services. Customers who are considered non-prime still use AFS, as well as some near-prime and prime customers, which indicates customer loyalty and retention in this space. For more information about customer loyalty and other recently identified trends, download our recent reports. State of Alternative Data 2019 Lending Report
Today is National Fintech Day – a day that recognizes the ever-important role that fintech companies play in revolutionizing the customer experience and altering the financial services landscape. Fintech. The word itself has become synonymous with constant innovation, agile technology structures and being on the cusp of the future of finance. Fintech challengers are disrupting existing financial models by leveraging data, advanced analytics and technology – both inspiring traditional financial institutions in their digital transformation strategies and giving consumers access to a variety of innovative financial products and services. But to us at Experian, National Fintech Day means more than just financial disruption. National Fintech Day represents the partnerships we have carefully fostered with our fintech clients to drive financial inclusion for millions of people around the globe and provide consumers with greater control and more opportunities to access the quality credit they deserve. “We are actively seeking out unresolved problems and creating products and technologies that will help transform the way businesses operate and consumers thrive in our society. But we know we can’t do it alone,” said Experian North American CEO, Craig Boundy in a recent blog article on Experian’s fintech partnerships. “That’s why over the last year, we have built out an entire team of account executives and other support staff that are fully dedicated to developing and supporting partnerships with leading fintech companies. We’ve made significant strides that will help us pave the way for the next generation of lending while improving the financial health of people around the world.” At Experian, we understand the challenges fintechs face – and our real-world solutions help fintech clients stay ahead of constantly changing market conditions and demands. “Experian’s pace of innovation is very impressive – we are helping both lenders and consumers by delivering technological solutions that make the lending ecosystem more efficient,” said Experian Senior Account Executive Warren Linde. “Financial technology is arguably the most important type of tech out there, it is an honor to be a part of Experian’s fintech team and help to create a better tomorrow.” If you’d like to learn more about Experian’s fintech solutions, visit us at Experian.com/Fintech.
Earlier this month, Experian joined FinovateSpring in San Francisco, CA to demonstrate innovations impacting financial health to over 1,000 attendees. The Finovate conference promotes real-world solutions while highlighting short-form demos and key insights from thought-leaders on digital lending, banking, payments, artificial intelligence and the customer experience. With more than 100 million Americans lacking fair access to credit, it's more important than ever for companies to work to improve the financial health of consumers. In addition to the show's abundance of fintech-centered content, Experian hosted an exclusive, cutting-edge breakout series demonstrating innovations that are positively impacting the financial health of consumers across the nation. Finovate Day One Overview While fintechs, banks, venture capitalist, entrepreneurs and industry analysts ascended on the general conference floor for a fast-paced day of demos, a select subset gathered for a luncheon presented by Experian North America CEO, Craig Boundy, and Group President, Alex Lintner. Attendees were given an in-depth look at new, alternative credit data streams and tools that are helping to increase financial access. Demos included: Experian Boost™: a free, groundbreaking online platform that allows consumers to instantly boost their credit scores by adding telecommunications and utility bill payments to their credit file. More than half a million consumers have leveraged Experian Boost, increasing their score by an average of 13 points. Cumulatively, Experian Boost has helped add more than 2.8 million points to consumers’ credit scores. Ascend Analytical Sandbox™: A first-of-its-kind data and analytics platform that gives companies instant access to more than 17 years of depersonalized credit data on more than 220 million U.S. consumers. It has been the most successful product launch in Experian’s history and recently earned the title of “Best Overall Analytics Platform” at this year’s Fintech Breakthrough Awards. Alternative Credit Data: Comprised of data from alternative credit sources, this data helps lenders make smarter and more informed lending decisions. Additionally, Experian’s Clear Data Platform is next-level credit data that adds supplemental FCRA-compliant credit data to enrich decisions across the entire credit spectrum. This new platform features alternative credit data, rental data, public records, consumer-permissioned data and more Upon conclusion of the luncheon, Alpa Lally, Experian’s Vice President of Data Business at Consumer Information Services, was interviewed for the HousingWire Podcast with Jacob Gaffney, HousingWire Editor in Chief, to discuss how new forms of data streams are helping improve consumers’ access to credit by giving lenders a clearer picture of their creditworthiness and risk. “Alternative credit data is different than traditional credit data and helps us paint a fuller picture of the consumer in terms of their ability to pay, willingness to pay and stability. It helps consumers get better access overall to the credit they deserve so that they can actively participate in the economy,” said Lally. Finovate Day Two Overview On the last day of the conference, expert speakers took to the main stage to analyze the latest fintech trends, opportunities and challenges. Alex Lintner and Sandeep Bhandari, Chief Strategy Officer and Chief Risk Officer at Affirm, participated in a fireside chat titled “Improving the Financial Health of America’s 100 Million Credit Underserved Consumers.” Moderated by David Penn, Finovate Analyst, the session explored the latest innovations, trends and technologies – from machine learning to alternative data – that are making a difference in positively impacting the financial health of Americans and expanding financial opportunities for underserved consumers. The panel discussed the efforts made to put financial health at the center of their business and the impact it’s had on their organizations. Following the fireside chat, Experian hosted a second lunch briefing, presented by Vijay Mehta, Chief Innovation Officer, and Greg Wright, EVP Chief Product Officer. The lunch included exclusive table discussions and open conversations to help attendees leave with a better understanding of the importance of prioritizing financial health to build trust, reach new customers and ultimately grow their business. "We are actively seeking out unresolved problems and creating products and technologies that will help transform the way businesses operate and consumers thrive in our society. But we know we can't do it alone," Experian North American CEO, Craig Boundy said in a recent blog post on Experian's fintech partnerships and Finovate participation. "That's why over the last year, we have built out an entire time of account executives and other support staff that are fully dedicated to developing and supporting partnerships with leading fintech companies. We've made significant strides that will help us pave the way for the next generation of lending while improving the financial health of more people around the world." For more information on how Experian is partnering with fintechs, visit experian.com/fintech or read our recent blog article on consumer-permissioned data for an in-depth discussion on Experian BoostTM.
Consumer credit trends and markets are constantly evolving, particularly when it comes to originations and delinquencies on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans. According to Experian research, over 2.7 million out of 89 million active automotive loans and leases are either 30 or 60 days delinquent. Triggers that signal a greater likelihood of consumers falling delinquent on loans, mortgages and credit card payments, include high-interest rates, a high utilization rate and recent derogatory trades. By tracking and forecasting consumer trends over time, you can more easily predict consumer behavior and better prepare for potential issues within each market. Join Gavin Harding, Experian Senior Business Consultant, and Alan Ikemura, Experian Data Analytics Senior Product Manager, during our live Quarterly Credit Trends webinar on May 30 at 2:00 p.m. ET. Our expert speakers will provide a view of the real estate market and share insights on the latest consumer credit trends. Highlights include: 2019 economic drivers Q1 2019 origination and delinquency trends Mortgage Home equity Bankcard Auto Register now
Experian’s 38th annual Vision Conference kicks off on Sunday, May 5 in San Antonio, Texas. The sold-out thought leadership conference, is known for driving discussions on the industry’s hard-hitting topics as well as introducing the latest and greatest in technology, innovation and data science. “For 38 years, Experian’s Vision Conference has connected business leaders to new ideas and solutions through cutting edge data and insights. Our goal is to power opportunities for you to target new markets, grow existing customer bases, improve response rates, reduce fraud and increase profits by using our data, analytics and technology. The intimate setting of the conference allows for unique networking opportunities with the industry’s most sought-after thought leaders,” said Klaudette Christensen, Experian’s Chief Operations Officer. A few spotlight sessions include: Several sessions about machine learning and artificial intelligence, highlighting opportunities related to best practices, underwriting and fraud detection A deep dive into the modern mortgage, leveraging insights on home equity and how to leverage data and analytics to redefine the process as it’s known today Sessions on credit delinquency, collections and the Great Recession Marketing analytics and the latest releases from Experian’s Ascend Platform Sessions on advanced analytics and integrated decisioning as they relate to commercial and consumer insights The event, which runs through Tuesday evening, continues its tradition of featuring several noteworthy keynote speakers. On Monday, Gary D. Cohn, American business leader, philanthropist and former Director of the U.S. National Economic Council, will kick off the event. On Tuesday, Aimée Mullins will take the stage discussing what is “possible” by drawing from her experiences as a record-breaking Olympic athlete, model and actress. The closing keynote will feature five-time NBA Champion and two-time Olympic Gold Medalist, Kobe Bryant. The event will also include a Tech Showcase, featuring hands-on demos for attendees to experience. Stay tuned for additional highlights and insights on our social media platforms throughout the course of the conference. Follow Experian Insights on Twitter and LinkedIn and check out #ExperianVision.
“We don’t know what we don’t know.” It’s a truth that seems to be on the minds of just about every financial institution these days. The market, not-to-mention the customer base, seems to be evolving more quickly now than ever before. Mergers, acquisitions and partnerships, along with new competitors entering the space, are a daily headline. Customers expect the same seamless user experience and instant gratification they’ve come to expect from companies like Amazon in just about every interaction they have, including with their financial institutions. Broadly, financial institutions have been slow to respond both in the products they offer their customers and prospects, and in how they present those products. Not surprisingly, only 26% of customers feel like their financial institutions understand and appreciate their needs. So, it’s not hard to see why there might be uncertainty as to how a financial institution should respond or what they should do next. But what if you could know what you don’t know about your customer and industry data? Sound too good to be true? It’s not—it’s exactly what Experian’s Ascend Analytical Sandbox was built to do. “At OneMain we’ve used Sandbox for a lot of exploratory analysis and feature development,” said Ryland Ely, a modeler at Experian partner client, OneMain Financial and a Sandbox user. For example, “we’ve used a loan amount model built on Sandbox data to try and flag applications where we might be comfortable with the assigned risk grade but we’re concerned we might be extending too much or too little credit,” he said. The first product built on Experian’s big data platform, Ascend, the Analytical Sandbox is an analytics environment that can have enterprise-wide impact. It provides users instant access to near real-time customer data, actionable analytics and intelligence tools, along with a network of industry and support experts to drive the most value out of their data and analytics. Developed with scalability, flexibility, efficiency and security at top-of-mind, the Sandbox is a hybrid-cloud system that leverages the high availability and security of Amazon Web Services. This eliminates the need, time and infrastructure costs associated with creating an internally hosted environment. Additionally, our web-based interface speeds access to data and tools in your dedicated Sandbox all behind the protection of Experian’s firewall. In addition to being supported by a revolutionized tech stack backed by an $825 million annual investment, Sandbox enables use of industry-leading business intelligence tools like SAS, RStudio, H2O, Python, Hue and Tableau. Where the Ascend Sandbox really shines is in the amount and quality of the data that’s put into it. As the largest, global information services provider, the Sandbox brings the full power of Experian’s 17+ years of full-file historical tradeline data, boasting a data accuracy rate of 99.9%. The Sandbox also allows users the option to incorporate additional data sets including commercial small business data and soon real estate data, among others. Alternative data assets add to the 50 million consumers who use some sort of financial service, in addition to rental and utility payments. In addition to including Experian’s data on the 220+ million credit-active consumers, small business and other data sets, the Sandbox also allows companies to integrate their own customer data into the system. All data is depersonalized and pinned to allow companies to fully leverage the value of Experian’s patented attributes and scores and models. Ascend Sandbox allows companies to mine the data for business intelligence to define strategy and translate those findings into data visualizations to communicate and win buy-in throughout their organization. But here is where customers are really identifying the value in this big data solution, taking those business intelligence insights and being able to take the resulting models and strategies from the Sandbox directly into a production environment. After all, amassing data is worthless unless you’re able to use it. That’s why 15 of the top financial institutions globally are using the Experian Ascend Sandbox for more than just benchmarking and data visualization but also risk modeling, score migration, share of wallet, market entry, cross-sell and much more. Moreover, clients are seeing time-savings, deeper insights and reduced compliance concerns as a result of consolidating their production data and development platform inside Sandbox. “Sandbox is often presented as a tool for visualization or reporting, sort of creating summary statistics of what’s going on in the market. But as a modeler, my perspective is that it has application beyond just those things,” said Ely. To learn more about the Experian Ascend Analytical Sandbox and hear more about how OneMain Financial is getting value out of the Sandbox, watch this on-demand webinar.
With credit card openings and usage increasing, now is the time to make sure your financial institution is optimizing its credit card portfolio. Here are some insights on credit card trends: 51% of consumers obtained a credit card application via a digital channel. 42% of credit card applications were completed on a mobile device. The top incentives when selecting a rewards card are cash back (81%), gas rewards (74%) and retail gift cards (71%). Understanding and having a full view of your customers’ activity, behaviors and preferences can help maximize your wallet share. More credit card insight>
Lower income-earners, which make up 60% of Americans, are the vehicle driving the U.S.’s booming economy. While the top 40% of earners usually direct U.S. consumption growth, “2016-2017 was the first two-year span in at least two decades that the bottom 60% accounted for the majority,” according to a recent study by Reuters. The trend continued in the first quarter of 2018. As wages remain flat and borrowing costs increase, some economists worry that this majority may contribute to increased credit card delinquency should the economy become less favorable; however, statistics suggest otherwise. According to an Experian study on lower income consumers, low income does not mean low credit scores. 67% of lower income consumers (defined as those with income totaling less than $35,000 per year) have access to credit, with 39% holding prime scores and 21% holding near prime scores. Some analysts have brought attention to recent spikes in credit card delinquencies and charge-off rates at smaller commercial banks during the first quarter. However, when combined with the largest 100 commercial banks, the national credit card delinquency rate in Q1 was 2.48%, which is lower than 15-year averages. Consumers with lower credit scores, including those who are also lower income, are looking to build creditworthiness, according to data collected during an Experian-sponsored credit card survey last year. This suggests there is a need for lenders who meet the needs of consumers of all kinds, spanning from first-time lenders to long-time credit-holders, regardless of income. Successful acquisitions begin with powerful growth strategies during prospecting. By watching where the majority of spending is taking place, or rather who is conducting that spending, new opportunities are apparent. Effective prospecting tools can help you optimize your channel mix and clearly identify credit worthy consumers. These items assist in determining the right start for your acquisition process, and deliver better program results.
The economy remains steady, maintaining a positive outlook even though the GDP growth slowed in the first quarter. Real estate is holding ground even as rates rise. We’ve reached a 7-year high in 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, which could have a longer-term effect on this market. Bankcard may be reaching its limit — outstanding balances hit $764 billion and delinquency rates continue to rise. While auto originations were flat in Q1, performance is improving as focus moves away from subprime lending. The economy remains steady as we transition from 2017. Keep an eye on inflation and interest rates in regard to their possible short-term economic impact. Learn more about these and other economic trends with the on-demand recording of the webinar. Watch now
In 2017, a meaningful jump in consumer sentiment bolstered spending, and caused the spread between disposable personal income and consumer spending to reach an all-time high. This increase in spread was mostly financed through consumer debt, which according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has brought total consumer debt to a new peak of $12.8 Trillion surpassing the prior peak in 2008. The Experian eighth annual State of Credit report greatly supported the consumer behavior trends observed for the past year. Spanning the generations It is no surprise that generation Z (the “Great Recession Generation”) is conservative and prudent in their approach to credit because they are the most familiar with the post financial crisis economy. Results showed Millennials experienced a drop in overall debt, and an increase in mortgage debt reflects the national homeownership affordability challenge facing this generation. As first time homebuyers, millennials have to relatively tighten their spending as they dedicate an ever-growing portion of their income to housing. On the other end of the spectrum, the results of the study showed that Baby Boomers’ had sizable debt (including mortgage debt), which reflects the generation’s intent to stay active in their communities and in their homes much longer than prior generations have done. A recent Harvard study reported that by 2035, one out of three American households will be headed by an individual 65 years of age or older, compared to current ratio of one out of five households. What’s on the horizon? It is reasonable to assume that these trends may continue into 2018, as the underlying conditions continue to persist. A closer eye should be kept on student and auto loans due to the significant increase in portfolio size and increasing default rates compare to other debt. Editor’s note: This post was written by Fadel N. Lawandy, Director of the C. Larry Hoag Center for Real Estate and Finance and the Janes Financial Center at the George L. Argyros School of Business and Economics, Chapman University. Fadel joined the George L. Argyors School of Business and Economics, Chapman University after retiring as a Portfolio Manager from Morgan Stanly Smith Barney in 2009. He has two decades of experience in the financial industry with banking, credit management, commercial/residential real estate acquisition and financing, corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions, quantitative and qualitative analysis and research, and portfolio management. Fadel currently serves as the Chairman of the Board and President of CFA Society Orange County, and is an active member of the CFA Institute.
The average number of retail trades per consumer has been trending down since 2007. But the average consumer retail debt is trending up, roughly $73 year-over-year. When analyzing single-store credit card debt by state in 2017, we found: States with the highest retail debt: Texas ($2,198) Alaska ($2,170) Arkansas ($2,067) States with the lowest amount of retail debt: Wisconsin ($1,374) Minnesota ($1,440) Hawaii ($1,442) Whether you’re a retailer, credit union or financial institution, stay ahead of the competition by using advanced analytics to target the right customers and increase profitability. More credit trends
Credit card balances grew to $786.6 billion at the end of 2017, a 6.7% increase to the previous year and the largest outstanding balance in over a decade. And while the delinquency rate increased slightly to 2.26%, it is significantly lower than the 4.73% delinquency rate in 2008 when outstanding balances were $737 billion. The increase in credit card balances combined with the slight growth in delinquencies points to a positive credit environment. Stay up to date on the latest credit trends to maximize your lending strategies and capitalize on areas of opportunity. Get more credit trends and insights at our webinar on March 8. Register here