Tag: consumer credit trends

Bankcard origination volumes reached $97.5 billion in Q4 2015, the highest level on record since Q3 2008 and an increase of 22% over the same quarter in 2014. The 60–89-days-past-due bankcard delinquency rate came in at .53% for Q4 2015 — significantly lower than the 1.22% delinquency rate back in Q3 2008. The increase in bankcard originations combined with lower delinquencies points to a positive credit environment. Lenders should stay abreast of the latest bankcard trends in order to adjust lending strategies and capitalize on areas of opportunity. >> Key steps to designing a profitable bankcard campaign

Consumer credit card debt reached $650 billion in Q3 2015 — the highest level since Q4 2009.

Millennials, now the largest generation in the United States, are taking longer to establish credit than earlier generations of young people.

According to the latest State of the Automotive Finance Market report, a record 55.5% of all used vehicles were financed in Q2 2015, compared to 53.8% the previous year.

While auto delinquencies declined slightly year over year (3.01% for accounts 30 days past due or greater in Q2 2015 versus 3.03% a year earlier), it is interesting to note the variance in delinquency by lender channel.

According to VantageScore® Solutions' annual validation study, VantageScore 3.0 scores 36 million incremental consumers considered unscoreable by conventional credit scoring models.

According to a recent Experian analysis, bankcard balances increased 6% year over year to $629 billion in Q1 2015, while delinquencies remained low with 60–89 day-past-due delinquencies declining 8%.

Mortgage originations kicked off Q1 2015 with a 25% year over year increase to $315 billion.

The housing market continues to recover, with mortgage originations increasing 12 percent year over year, moving from $508 billion to $570 billion.

While VantageScore® credit score super-prime consumers carried the lowest average credit card balance of all credit tiers in Q4 2012 ($2,581), this group experienced the greatest average balance increase (6 percent) when compared with the previous quarter. All other credit tiers had little or no change to their average credit card balance.

The most recent release of the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices showed national credit default rates decreased in February. The national composite* moved from 1.63 percent in January to 1.55 percent in February. First mortgage and bankcard default rates followed a similar pattern. These trends are consistent with other economic news, such as improvements in employment and continuing gains in housing.

Roughly 70 percent of credit scores change by up to 20 points in any given 90-day window. Most consumers experience a score improvement rather than a score drop, with 56 percent of consumers shifting higher, 34 percent shifting lower and 10 percent staying the same.

A vintage analysis comparing 60 or more days past due (DPD) delinquency performance at the one-year mark for mortgages originated between 2002 and 2010 shows that 2010 outperformed previous years, with a delinquency rate of 0.37 percent. The worst- performing vintage was 2006, with a 60 or more DPD delinquency rate of 3.84 percent – more than 10 times the delinquency rate of 2010. Listen to our recorded Webinar for a detailed look at the current state of strategic default in mortgage and an update on consumer credit trends. Source: Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Reports

A recent Experian study showed that strategic defaults accounted for 23 percent of all mortgage defaults 60 days past due or greater in Q4 2011. Other findings included the following: Prime and super-prime consumers (VantageScore® credit score A and B tiers) have the highest incidence of strategic default Average outstanding mortgage balances for strategic defaulters are nearly 36 percent higher than their nonstrategic default counterparts. Listen to our recorded Webinar for a detailed look at the current state of strategic default in mortgage and an update on consumer credit trends. Source: Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Reports and strategic default studies. VantageScore® is owned by VantageScore Solutions, LLC.  

Even as interest rates remain at near-record lows, mortgage originations declined for the second quarter in a row in Q2 2011 to $268 billion, a 19 percent decline over the previous quarter. Refinance activity that spurred originations in 2010 has not been as prevalent this year. Listen to our recent Webinar on consumer credit trends and retail spending. Source: Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Reports.