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As we reflect on the challenges the pandemic forced on the automotive finance market, there is no doubt the industry remained resilient, all things considered. That’s not to say there weren’t some impacts, which become even more noticeable as we look at Q2 2021 data. Because of the industry's quick pivot to ensure forward momentum, we know the year was somewhat of an anomaly. One example was manufacturer incentives to bring people back into showrooms, which caused interest rates, loan terms and consumer preferences to shift significantly. Now, we see these things leveling out, so rather than comparing directly to an anomalous quarter, it’s helpful to compare to Q2 2019 to provide better context. For example, the average new vehicle loan amount dropped year-over-year, which isn’t something we typically see. However, we know that last year, in Q2 2020 we saw consumers finance more full-size pickup trucks, likely due to strong incentives, which drove up the average loan amount. In Q2 2021, the average new vehicle loan amount was $35,163, down from $36,121 in Q2 2020, and up from Q2 2019, when the average new vehicle loan amount was $32,345. We see a similar trend in average new vehicle loan terms, which was 69.36 months in Q2 2021, down from 71.31 in Q2 2020, but still up slightly from Q2 2019, when the average was 68.84 months. Average interest rate saw a significant drop last year as well, from Q2 2019 to Q2 2020, from 5.7% to 3.95% year-over-year. In Q2 2021, we see it come back up slightly, at 4.09%. Ultimately, the decrease in average term and increase in average loan rate drove average payments up slightly year-over-year, which clocked in at $575 in Q2 2021, up from $570 in Q2 2020 and $555 in Q2 2019. Loan term distribution is another area we’re seeing return to a more normal range. In Q2 2020, as part of incentive packages, we saw a notable increase in the percentage of loans falling into the 73-84 month category, with these terms making up 33.77% of new vehicle loans, compared to 30.28% in Q2 2019. We saw this level back out, coming in at 31.72% of loans in Q2 2021. While the industry proved resilient at navigating last year’s challenges, it is encouraging to see things begin to level out to pre-pandemic levels. As we continue to manage current challenges, like the microchip shortage, understanding the full context of data will likely require comparisons that go beyond year-over-year for a more useful baseline of market performance. To learn more, and see deeper comparisons to 2019, watch the full webinar: State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q2 2021.

The collections landscape is changing as a result of new and upcoming legislation and increased expectations from consumers. Because of this, businesses are looking to create more effective, consumer-focused collections processes while remaining within regulatory guidelines. Our latest tip sheet has insights that can help businesses and agencies optimize their collections efforts and remain compliant, including: Start with the best data Keep pace with changing regulations Focus on agility Pick the right partner Download the tip sheet to learn how to maximize your collections efforts while reducing costs, avoiding reputational damage and fines, and improving overall engagement. Download tip sheet

As last year’s high-volume mortgage environment wanes, lenders are shifting focus to address another set of challenges. Continued economic uncertainty lingers as consumers navigate towards recovery. As such, mortgage lenders have less clarity than normal to assess risk and measure performance in their servicing portfolios. On top of that, more lenders are struggling with customer retention than ever before, due to a historically low rate environment in 2020. These combined factors create a new set of challenges servicers will face in the coming months. We explore a few of these challenges below. An incomplete picture of risk The CARES Act accommodation reporting structure has made it challenging for servicing teams to fully understand the impact of forbearance in their portfolios. If looking only at a CARES Act accommodated borrower’s credit profile, there is no indication whether that consumer would otherwise be delinquent or headed towards default. In turn, lenders cannot model out risk based on this information alone. Borrowers’ financial situations can still change rapidly, and some are still struggling to regain their financial footing. Property data also plays a part in a holistic view of risk. Partly due to lack of housing inventory, home equity continues to rise in many areas of the country, yet there is still uncertainty around whether prices are overinflated, whether the market will correct itself and by how much, and the impact the foreclosure moratorium may have on one’s portfolio. And property dynamics continue to change due to consumer migration stemming from the onset of virtual or hybrid work environments, where homeowners are less bound geographically to a place of work. Being able to have insight into a holistic view of risk is critical to navigating the upcoming months in mortgage servicing. Low borrower retention 2020’s prevailing low-rate environment continues to persist well into 2021 creating a big challenge for mortgage servicers in terms of borrower retention. Borrowers continue to be incentivized to refinance, and in some instances multiple times, to capture the savings throughout the life of their mortgage. Every time a borrower refinances, the lender who’s servicing the loan risks losing the borrower to another lender. This portfolio runoff can create losses for the lender; high portfolio run off rates have shown to negatively impact portfolio performance and investor credibility while increasing marketing cost for new customer acquisition. In our Mortgage in 2021 webinar, we point to the sheer magnitude of this – at the end of 2020, a whopping 33% of first mortgages were less than a year old. Additionally, with the uptick in the number of fintech mortgage lenders and aggregation websites, it has become increasingly easy for consumers to shop for alternative options. Being able to predict the consumers likely to refinance can help servicers retain existing customers and reduce losses. Lack of operational efficiency Lenders and servicers had to increase the capacity of their systems, oftentimes at the turn of a dime, due to last year’s record-breaking origination volumes. This led to massive growing pains while simultaneously stress-testing a company’s systems and processes. As a result, the overall cost to produce a mortgage has risen. Borrower data hygiene poses a challenge for many servicers as well. There was a lot of movement in 2020 in terms of mergers and acquisitions which may also affect servicers’ operational efficiency. Marrying several disparate data points during such events can lead to borrower data inconsistencies and duplicates across loan origination systems. And as consumers come out of forbearance or deferral status, servicers are managing more calls to their inbound call centers, increasing the scope of the problem. Having tools to ensure data accuracy and correct consumer contact information can help reduce operating cost. Conclusion There certainly is a lot of pressure on servicers to optimize and be in a position to efficiently help homeowners in need as forbearance and foreclosure moratoriums end. But with the right data, insights and partners, mortgage servicers can navigate these challenges all while managing risk and enabling the business to grow safely. In our next blog, we highlight what forward-thinking lenders and servicers are focusing on now to navigate the upcoming months in mortgage servicing. Learn more


