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Personal loans have been booming for the past couple of years with double-digit growth year-over-year. But the party can’t last forever, right? In a recent Experian webinar, experts noted they have seen originations leveling off. In fact, numbers indicate it’s gone from leveled off to a slight year-over-year decline. They projected the first quarter of calendar year 2017 may also be down, but then we’ll see a peak again in the second quarter, which is typical with the seasonality often associated with personal loans. The landscape is changing. A recent data pull revealed a 9-point shift in the average VantageScore® credit score for originations from Q3 to Q4 of 2016. Lenders are digging deeper in order to keep their loan volumes up, and it is definitely a more competitive marketplace. The days where lenders were once able to grow their personal loan business with little effort are gone. Kelley Motley, Experian’s director of analytics, noted some of the personal loan origination volume shifts may be due to the rebound in the housing market and increased housing values, enabling super-prime and prime consumers to now also consider home equity loans and lines of credit, in lieu of personal loans. Still, the personal loan market is healthy. Lenders just need to be smart about their marketing efforts and utilize data to improve their response rates, expand their risk criteria to identify consumers trending upward in the credit ranks, and then retain them as their cash-flow and financial situations evolve. In the presentation, experts revealed a few interesting stats: 67% of those that open a personal installment loan had a revolving trade with a balance >$0 5% of consumer that close a personal loan reopen another within a few months of the original loan closure 68% of consumers that re-open a new personal loan within a short timeframe of closing another personal loan do so with the same company Together, these stats illustrate that individuals are largely leveraging personal loans to consolidate debt or perhaps fund an expense like a vacation or an unexpected event. Once the consumer comes into cash, they’ll pay off the loan, but consider revisiting a personal loan again if their financial situation warrants it. The calendar year Q2 peak has been consistent since the Great Recession. For many consumers, after racking up holiday debt and end-of-year expenses, the bills start coming in during the first quarter. With the high APRs often attached to revolving cards, there is a sense of urgency to consolidate and lock in a more reasonable rate. Others utilize the personal loan to fund weddings, vacations and home improvement projects. Kyle Matthies, a senior product manager for Experian, reminded participants that most people don’t need your product, so it’s essential to leverage data find those that do. Utilizing propensity score and attributes, as well as tools to dig into ability-to-pay metrics and offer alignment can really fine-tune both an organization’s marketing and retention strategies. To learn more about the current state of personal loans, access our free webinar How lenders can capitalize on the growth in personal loans.

The consumer economy has evolved dramatically over the past few years — in large part due to technology and access to large amounts of data. Credit data, especially, can be a powerful asset for financial institutions in this new environment. More than 88 million U.S. consumers use their smartphone to do some form of banking. 67% of consumers made purchases across multiple channels in the last six months. With the help of data scientists, financial institutions can build models that crunch huge volumes of data and append their own customer data to drive portfolio management, customer acquisition and collections decisions across digital and mobile channels. Learn more>

Big changes for the new year 2017 is expected to bring some big changes. But what do those changes mean for the financial services space? Here are 3 trends and twists Experian expects to occur over the next 12 months: Trump and the Republican-controlled Congress will move forward with a deregulatory agenda. Recognizing and scoring more previously invisible consumers through alternative data sources will be emphasized. Personalized credit offers delivered via multiple digital channels in a sequenced, trackable manner. What are your predictions for 2017? Only time will tell, but we’re certain that regulations and advancements in digital will be huuuge. >>More 2017 trends


