All posts by Guest Contributor

Our clients are facing three primary issues when it comes to regulatory compliance: time resources knowledge Many are facing Matters Requiring Attention (MRA) and Matters Requiring Immediate Attention (MRIA) and don’t have the staff or the capacity to complete all of the work themselves within tight deadlines. They also want their limited resources to work on internal, proprietary initiatives to grow the business and maximize profit and return. These activities cannot be outsourced as easily as regulatory and compliance work, which is relatively easy to parse out and give to an external third party. Quite often, a level of independent oversight and effective challenge is also a requirement that can easily be solved through the use of an objective, external third party. A lot of the regulations are still relatively new, and there are still many issues and knowledge gaps our clients are facing. They have insight into their own organization only and quite often aren’t aware of or able to leverage industry best practice without the view of an external third party with broader industry knowledge and experience. In terms of best practice, it all really starts with the data, leading to the attributes used in models to create sound risk management strategies, manage capital adequacy, and ensure the safety and soundness of the overall U.S. and global financial system. The integrity of data reporting, dispute management and compliance with all applicable regulatory requirements need to be an enterprise-wide effort. In the area of attribute governance, there are three primary areas of focus: Attribution creation — definitions; logic, code and accuracy; and how to reduce implementation timelines. Monitoring and maintenance — looking for shifts in attributes and their potential impact and facilitating updates to attributes based upon changes in reporting and upgrades to newer versions of attributes as the credit environment changes, such as during the most recent mortgage crisis, where loan modification and associated attributes were created and took on increased importance. And last but definitely not least, documentation — We cannot say enough about the importance of documentation, especially to regulators. Documentation ensures accuracy and consistent application and must record all general conventions and limitations. For model risk management and governance, focus areas should follow the expanded Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Guidance from Bulletin 2011-12. This guidance includes expanded requirements for model validations including not just standard back testing, but also benchmarking, effective challenge, sensitivity analysis and stress testing. It also expands the guidance beyond just validation to model development and usage, implementation, governance and controls. In response to these OCC expanded guidance requirements, one of our clients was seeking an industry expert to serve as an independent third party to 1) conduct industry best practice and benchmarking in areas of reject inference methodologies and 2) validate production models used for risk underwriting, line assignment, pricing and targeting. After a full review and assessment, we provided the client with a clear road map to improve the process to conduct reject inference through knowledge transfer and best practices. We established a best-in-class approach to annual model validations on a model inventory consisting of retail, small business and wealth segment portfolios. We also delivered expedited results that also identified alternative methods of validation that assess variability in point estimates, as well as comply with OCC requirements for precision, ranking and population measurement statistics. Through our work, the client was able to leverage Experian to establish a global approach to reject inference methodologies, to augment existing staffing and to offshore resources in a cost-effective manner. There are three primary areas of loss forecasting, stress testing and capital adequacy planning: International —  Basel accord National — U.S. Dodd-Frank Act Stress Testing (DFAST), including Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) supervisory review Internal — Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses requirements Although there are similarities, there are also important differences among each of these three requirements and practices. For these reasons, most financial institutions in the United States are still providing and managing them separately. This obviously creates a strain on internal staff and resources. One of our clients had an initial compliance strategy in place but did not have the sufficient in-house staff and resources required to create, document and review its modeling and stress testing to satisfy regulators and internal auditors. The organization needed a consultant that could work closely with its in-house team to support sophisticated models that were tailored to meet its specific compliance obligations. We worked closely with the client’s team to provide extensive consulting support for a complex set of loss-forecasting models and other tools, applying industry best practices to fully document the models. Throughout the process, our consulting team discovered and identified content gaps to help ensure that all documentation was complete. We also provided ad hoc analytics to support the client’s model development effort and strategic and tactical guidance on stress testing model development for compliance. This enabled the client to develop primary and challenge models for DFAST’s CCAR requirements, as well as internal stress scenarios. It also provided the client with the following tangible business benefits: balance compliance with maximum profitability and revenue; provided knowledge sharing and best practices to help empower client employees; helped refine models based on feedback from internal and external governance organizations; supported models with academic research to help align the correct model to the correct processes; and provided assistance with model implementation and application. Click here for a recent video I did on how capital-adequacy positions are becoming crucial in analyst recommendations.

According to the latest Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report, mortgage originations for Q2 2015 increased 56% over Q2 2014 — $547 billion versus $350 billion.

According to a recent Experian analysis, millennials (ages 19–34) are now the largest segment of the U.S. population and are also the least credit savvy group.

Imagine the following scenario: an attacker acquires consumers’ login credentials through a data breach. They use these credentials to test account access and observe account activity to understand the ebbs and flows of normal cash movement – peering into private financial records – verifying the optimal time to strike for the most financial gain. Surveillance and fraud staging are the seemingly benign and often-transparent account activities that fraudsters undertake after an account has been compromised but before that compromise has been detected or money is moved. Activities include viewing balances, changing settings to more effectively cover tracks, and setting up account linkages to stage eventual fraudulent transfers. The unfortunate thing is that the actual theft is often the final event in a series of several fraudulent surveillance and staging activities that were not detected in time. It is the activity that occurs before theft that can severely undermine consumer trust and can devastate a brand’s reputation. Read more about surveillance, staging and the fraud lifecycle in this complimentary whitepaper.

According to VantageScore® Solutions' annual validation study, VantageScore 3.0 scores 36 million incremental consumers considered unscoreable by conventional credit scoring models.

According to the latest Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report, mortgage originations increased 25% year over year in Q1 2015 to $316 billion.

According to a recent Experian survey, 68% of vacationers spend more money than expected when traveling, often relying on credit cards to make up the difference. Millennials rank even higher when it comes to risky vacation spending. One-third report they have not been saving up in advance of vacation, 72% say they spend more than expected when traveling, and 50% plan to use their tax refund to pay for summer travel this year. Lenders can educate consumers about the impact of utilization on credit scores and reduce loss rates by offering According to a recent Experian survey, 68% of vacationers spend more money than expected when traveling, often relying on credit cards to make up the difference. Millennials rank even higher when it comes to risky vacation spending. One-third report they have not been saving up in advance of vacation, 72% say they spend more than expected when traveling, and 50% plan to use their tax refund to pay for summer travel this year. Lenders can educate consumers about the impact of utilization on credit scores and reduce loss rates by offering personalized credit-education services.personalized credit-education services. >> Infographic: Setting a budget for summer travel

A recent Experian survey found that while consumers are getting better about protecting their information on a regular basis, many do not take the same precautions when traveling. According to the survey, 1 in 5 consumers has had an item with sensitive information lost or stolen while traveling, and 39% have experienced identity theft while traveling or know someone who has. Organizations can protect themselves and customers by using innovative fraud-detection tools designed to reduce potential losses while preserving the customer experience. >> Video: The reputational impact of fraud and identity theft

Soaring in the solar energy utility market By: Mike Horrocks and Rod Everson The summer is a great time of the year - it kicks off summer and the time to enjoy the sunshine and explore! It is also for me the recognition that days now are only getting shorter and makes me think about my year goals and am I going to hit them. In this spirit of kicking off summer, I thought I would talk about three opportunities that the utility vertical could and should take advantage of. 1. The future of Solar Photovoltaics (PV) is just getting brighter A recent study called out an expected 25 percent jump in Solar PV installs over the previous year. This is jump is just another in a long line of solar install records. While the overall cost of these installs has dropped, one must ask whether the accessibility is there for everyone. The answer is not yet. A potential opportunity may come in the form of community solar as an advantage over rooftop solar. This scenario involves a utility installing an array of PV cells and then carving out a specific cell for an individual residential customer for lease, crediting his or her bill at a percentage of the cost. 2. Generations are bringing change Just as spring gives way to summer, summer will give way to fall. The same is true in the utility markets on many fronts. At a larger infrastructure scale, utilities have to think about the kind of plants and capital investments they want to make. Another report indicated that 60,000 megawatts of coal energy is going to be retired over the next four years. This obviously will change the capital decision making functions in the industry. At a more personal level, however, there are changes in the consumers and their behaviors as well. Are those changes being accounted for in your organization? Is the next generation of consumers and the products and services it will demand being formulated in your strategy? How will you identify those consumers and secure them as customers?  For example, while electrical energy consumption has been decreasing, what would be the impact if there was a revolution in battery technology? What if charging an electric automobile battery became as fast as filling a tank of gas? What if the battery gave you the same mileage range as a tank of gas and did it at a lower cost per mile? Would electric usage spike? 3. Blackouts happen; be prepared The best-laid plans sometimes still cannot account for those acts of God that cause disruptions to the grid. Blackouts happen, and if you don’t have flashlights with new batteries, you will be left in the dark. The same uncertainty is inevitable in the utility vertical. In the 2015 PwC Power and Utility Survey, 3 percent of the respondents said that there would be minor disruptions in business models, with the rest saying the disruptions would range from moderate to very disruptive. In fact, more than 47 percent of respondents said the changes would be very disruptive. What kind of flashlight-and-fresh-batteries strategy will you employ when the lights go out? Are your decision strategies and risk-management practices based on outdated solutions or approaches? Consider whether your business can take advantage of these situations. If you’re not sure, let’s set aside some time to discuss it, and I can share with you how Experian has helped others. There are still many sunny days ahead, but act now before the seasons change and you and your strategies are left out in the cold.

While an influx of small businesses opened during the height of the recession, a recent Experian study found that between 2010 and 2014, small-business start-ups decreased by nearly 45%.

According to a recent Experian analysis, bankcard balances increased 6% year over year to $629 billion in Q1 2015, while delinquencies remained low with 60–89 day-past-due delinquencies declining 8%.

As the summer home buying season kicks into high gear, a newly released survey shows the importance of understanding credit scores and their impact on homebuyer behavior.

According to the latest Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report, HELOC originations increased 21% year over year, moving from $25.6 billion in Q1 2014 to $31 billion in Q1 2015.

According to Experian’s latest State of the Automotive Finance Market report, auto loan balances reached an all-time high of $905 billion in the first quarter of 2015.

Utilities have continued to evolve and are making better, faster decisions about customers signing up for new services.  A combination of best practices with respect to data, analytics and technology is driving efficiency, lowering costs and ensuring all customers are treated equally.  We will discuss three main areas where utilities have made significant advances: • Customer pinning — loss reduction by using match logic to identify consumers across different systems and platforms who may have existing past due amounts • Scoring — using specific models for risk segmentation to assist in the deposit decision • Decisioning — choosing systems with capabilities for effectively managing their business at the relationship level and is capable of using “pins” to automatically identifying customers who have  past due amounts and using scores and other data to automate the deposit decision Customer Pinning Using customer pins in the account opening process is key to ensuring you are able to effectively identify consumers who are re-initiating service and may have unpaid balances. This enables you to identify the opportunity to consolidate past-due amounts before connecting new service for the consumer.  It may also be used in the determination as to whether or not a deposit may be required. Clients see advantages with this process most often when consumers move out of and then back into a particular service market.  Another case is when a customer changes their name as a result of marriage or divorce or is added to other existing billings. These customer pins or unique identifiers can be updated in batch in order to maintain the integrity of the account linking within your accounts receivable. Clients then ensure that with the account opening process the pin on the customer opening the account is retrieved from the consumer credit file system, then “matched” with a pin in the existing customer file that was obtained through the batch process.  It can then be determined whether that customer owes an unpaid balance from a prior account.  For optimal efficiency, this should be done by the same decisioning system that is performing the identity verification and deposit calculation for the account in a continuous workflow. Scoring and Deposits Increasingly, utilities are being authorized to use scores and credit data along with existing unpaid balances to determine if a deposit is warranted.  If a score is used, generally a simple cut-off is used and if a score falls below the cut off a deposit is required, otherwise it is not. There are many types of scores in the market, but some have been developed specifically for use by energy utilities and similar service providers for the purpose of deposit determination.  One of the characteristics to look for in a score for deposit determinations is the number of customers that can be scored.  Generally, the more customers that can be scored the better as there may be many customers with thin or virtually no credit files that would be unscoreable using a traditional scoring model. Specific bureau attributes may enhance this process when scores are near cut offs, especially if a score falls slightly below the cut off.  A decision engine may be able to use attributes to assist in supplying valuable data in a second review that may be requested by a customer who feels that they should not need to submit a deposit. Decisioning Platform Deploying new strategies to capture all the benefits of automating a fraud review, taking advantage of the custom pinning process, scoring and other attributes can be a challenge.  However, the market has continued to evolve to enable large and small utilities to gain access to new tools to more effectively manage their business. There are now new solutions available, like PowerCurve OnDemand, that provide hosted data integration, incorporation of your existing customer files including pin numbers, workflow, decisioning and a simple integration with your existing technologies at a low cost of entry.  Solutions like PowerCurve OnDemand combine ease of use, with powerful capabilities that are targeted to fit the needs of the utility industry. Learn more about how PowerCurve OnDemand can help your business.