Automotive Lending
If there is one word to describe the automotive finance market in Q4 2019, it’s stable. By nearly every measure, the automotive finance market continued to move along at a good pace.
In the past 10 years, consumers begin purchasing convertibles as early as March.
Update: After closely monitoring updates from the WHO, CDC, and other relevant sources related to COVID-19, we have decided to cancel our 2020 Vision Conference. If you had the chance to experience tomorrow, today, would you take it? What if it meant you could get a glimpse into the future technology and trends that would take your organization to the next level? If you’re looking for a competitive edge – this is it. For more than 38 years, Experian’s premier conference has connected business leaders to data-driven ideas and solutions, fueling them to target new markets, grow existing customer bases, improve response rates, reduce fraud and increase profits. What’s in it for you? Everything to gain and nothing to lose. Are you a marketer? These sessions were made to drive your conversion rates to new heights: Know your customers via omnichannel marketing: Your customers are everywhere, but can you reach them? Learn how to drive business-expansion strategy, brand affinity and customer engagement across multiple channels. Plus, gain insight into connecting with customers via one-to-one messaging. By invitation only, the future of ITA marketing: An evolving landscape means marketers face new challenges in effectively targeting consumers while staying compliant. In this session, we’ll explore how you can leverage fair lending-friendly marketing data for targeting, analysis and measurement. Want the latest in technology trends? Dive into discussions to transform your customer experience: Credit in the age of technology transformation: Machine learning and artificial intelligence are the current darlings of big data, but the platform that drives the success of any big data endeavor is crucial. This session will dive into what happens behind the curtain. Put away your plastic – next-generation identity: An industry panel of experts discusses the newest digital identity and authentication capabilities – those in use today and also exciting solutions on the horizon. How about for the self-proclaimed data geeks? Analyze these: Alternative data: Listen in on an in-depth conversation about creative and impactful examples of using emerging data assets, such as alternative and consumer-permissioned data, for improved consumer inclusion, risk assessment and verification services. The next wave in open data: Experian will share their views on the potential of advanced data and models and how they benefit the global value chain – from consumer scores to business opportunities – regardless of local regulations. And the risk masters? Join us as we kick fraud to the curb: Understanding and tackling synthetic ID fraud: Synthetic IDs present a serious challenge for our entire industry. This expert panel will explore the current landscape – what’s working and what’s not, the expected impact of the next generation SSA eCBSV service, and best practice prevention methods. You are your ID – the new reality of biometrics: Consumers are becoming increasingly comfortable with biometrics. Just as CLEAR has transformed how we use our biometric identity to move through airports, sports venues and more, financial transactions can also be made friction-free. The point is, there’s something for everyone at Vision 2020. It’s not just another conference. Trade in stuffy tradeshow halls and another tri-fold brochure for the insights and connections you need to take your career and organization to the next level. Like technology itself, Vision 2020 promises to connect us, unify us and enable us all to create a better tomorrow. Join us for unique networking opportunities, one-on-one conversations with subject-matter experts and more than 50 breakout sessions with the industry’s most sought-after thought leaders.
According to Experian’s Q3 2019 State of the Automotive Finance Market report, used vehicle financing increased across all credit tiers.
The average new vehicle loan hit $32,119 in Q2 2019. Average used vehicle loan amounts reached $20,156 in Q2 2019.
Introducing the newly designed AutoCheck Score™ Quickly compare and select used vehicles As an auto industry professional, you use vehicle history reports every day. But they’re long, complex — easily misinterpreted. You always aim to conduct a thorough inspection. But what if you’re at a busy auction house or browsing online, where there’s simply not enough time or context? The tool you use every day to make critical decisions about used vehicles should be accurate and easy to understand — built for streamlined evaluation. So we made one. New look, same impact We’ve revamped the AutoCheck score with a modern look and feel that’s easier than ever to read. And it’s still invaluable for quickly comparing and selecting used vehicles. What, exactly, is it? Experian® analyzes the detailed records in an AutoCheck® vehicle history report to generate the AutoCheck Score. Like a credit score or gas mileage rating for new vehicles, it’s a single number on a standardized scale. The new gauge shows the score range (from 1 - 100) for vehicles of similar age in the same class. If a car is above average in its range, you can feel confident that it’s a solid investment. The score makes it much simpler to assess how a used vehicle measures up, estimating its: Overall roadworthiness Reliability compared to other vehicles in its class Likelihood of being on the road in five years It is invaluable for making informed decisions, managing inventory, mitigating risk and instilling confidence in customers. Bigger, better You can depend on the AutoCheck Score to deliver a high-quality, more accurate assessment. That’s because it’s derived from Experian’s world-class, continually updated database, which leverages reliable information from extensive sources, including: Tens of thousands of distinct accident sources, many exclusive to Experian 95% of U.S. auction houses — most providing structural damage, salvage-and-junk and export-data announcements exclusively to Experian Important OEM safety and open recall data State departments of motor vehicles and departments of public safety, insurance companies and other independent sources Police department/state agency accident information from all 50 states and Washington D.C. Federal sources, like import records That’s a lot of data. And some complex statistical modeling. Don’t worry; we’ll take care of the heavy lifting. All you have to do is keep score. Why you need it Whether you’re a dealer, lender, manufacturer certified pre-owned program or consumer portal, the score will transform the way you do business to boost your bottom line. Dealers: Use the score to mitigate risk, manage and market your inventory, close sales faster and build customer loyalty. Lenders/Credit Unions: Use the score to more accurately estimate a vehicle’s value at every stage of the loan life cycle, from origination to portfolio review, account management and asset collection. Manufacturer Certified Pre-Owned Programs: Use the AutoCheck report for vehicle certification. Consumer Portals: Increase customer satisfaction — and traffic — by allowing OEMs and dealers to post the score with their listings and make online car shopping a breeze. Count on the AutoCheck Score To learn more about the score — or how to wield its power to maximal effect — find its secrets in this treasure trove of a white paper or call 1 888 675 5596. What are you waiting for? Redesign your business with the redesigned score.
Experian Boost provides a unique opportunity to help dealers build loyalty while helping consumers.
Pickups are the most common vehicle in operation at 20% share today and hold 16.5% of new vehicle registrations in the market in Q1 2019.
Vehicle affordability has been a main topic of conversation in the auto industry for some time, and based on the data, it’s not going unnoticed by consumers. The average new vehicle loan in Q1 2019 reached $32,187, while the average new vehicle monthly loan payment hit $554. How are car shoppers reacting? Perhaps the biggest shift in Q1 2019 was the growth of prime and super prime customers opting for used vehicles. The percentage of prime (61.88 percent) and super-prime (44.78 percent) consumers choosing used vehicles reached an all-time high in Q1 2019, according to Experian data. Not only are we seeing new payment amounts increase, but used loan amounts and payments are on the rise as well, though the delta between the two can be one of the reason we’re seeing more prime and super prime opt for used. The average used vehicle loan was slightly above $20,000 in Q1 2019, while the average used vehicle payment was $391. We know that consumers often shop based on the monthly payment amount, and given the $163 difference between average monthly payments for new and used, it’s not surprising to see more people opt for used vehicles. Another way that consumers can look to have a smaller payment amount is through leasing. We’re continuing to see that the top vehicles leased are more expensive CUVs, trucks and SUVs, which are pricier vehicles to purchase. But with the average lease payment being $457 per month, there’s an average difference of $97 compared to loan payments. In Q1 2019, leasing was down slightly year-over-year, but still accounted for 29.07 percent of all vehicle financing. On the other side of the affordability equation, beyond cost of vehicles, is concern around delinquencies: will consumers be able to make their payments in a timely manner? So far, so good. In Q1 2019, 30-day delinquencies saw an increase to 1.98 percent, up from 1.9 percent a year ago. That said, banks, credit unions and finance companies all saw slight decreases in 30-day delinquency rates, and 60-day delinquencies remained relatively stable at 0.68 percent year-over-year. It’s important to keep in mind that the 30-day delinquency rate is still well-below the high-water mark in Q1 2009 (2.81 percent). The vehicle finance market appears to remain strong overall, despite rising vehicle costs, loan amounts and monthly payments. Expect consumers to continue to find ways to minimize monthly payments. This could continue the shift into used vehicles. Overall, as long as delinquencies stay flat and vehicle sales don’t taper too badly, the auto finance market should stay on a positive course. To watch the full Q1 2019 State of the Automotive Finance Market webinar, click here.
Consumer credit trends are continuously changing, making it imperative to keep up with the latest developments in originations, delinquencies on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans. By monitoring consumer behavior and market trends over time, you can predict and prepare for potential issues within each market. In this 30-minute webinar, our featured speakers, Gavin Harding, Experian Senior Business Consultant, and Alan Ikemura, Experian Data Analytics Senior Product Manager, reveal Q1 2019 market intelligence data and explore recent advances in consumer credit trends. Watch our on-demand webinar
Consumer credit trends and markets are constantly evolving, particularly when it comes to originations and delinquencies on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans. According to Experian research, over 2.7 million out of 89 million active automotive loans and leases are either 30 or 60 days delinquent. Triggers that signal a greater likelihood of consumers falling delinquent on loans, mortgages and credit card payments, include high-interest rates, a high utilization rate and recent derogatory trades. By tracking and forecasting consumer trends over time, you can more easily predict consumer behavior and better prepare for potential issues within each market. Join Gavin Harding, Experian Senior Business Consultant, and Alan Ikemura, Experian Data Analytics Senior Product Manager, during our live Quarterly Credit Trends webinar on May 30 at 2:00 p.m. ET. Our expert speakers will provide a view of the real estate market and share insights on the latest consumer credit trends. Highlights include: 2019 economic drivers Q1 2019 origination and delinquency trends Mortgage Home equity Bankcard Auto Register now
Smartphones connect us to the world of digital information while on the go. With just a few touches, you can browse the internet, get directions, video chat with friends, and even secure a last-minute date. So why not use your phone to apply for and secure credit? The number of unique mobile phone users reached 5.135 billion in 2018, according to HootSuite. That’s two-thirds of the world’s population! With mobile usage at an all-time high, embracing this channel for credit marketing only makes sense. With Text for CreditTM, lenders can invite consumers to explore personalized financial offers on their mobile devices. How AutoNation is Transforming the Car Buying Experience While car shopping should be exciting, it’s often a stressful and drawn-out experience, specifically when it comes to securing financing. AutoNation, an automotive retailer with over 300 retail outlets, saw an opportunity to leverage Text for Credit to enhance the consumer experience and speed up the car-buying process. What is Text for Credit? The consumer can initiate the prequalification or instant credit process simply by texting a keyword or short code. Our industry-first identification technology then recognizes the consumer’s device credentials, eliminating unnecessary data entry and bypassing the need to fill out a lengthy credit application. AutoNation wanted to generate prospects by offering consumers the opportunity to prequalify for an auto loan and shop for cars within their budget on their mobile devices. The retailer further nurtured consumers with an email campaign series leading them to schedule appointments and test drive vehicles. Marketing is a critical component to generating traffic, which helps initiate the Text for Credit process. A variety of channels and creative were tested to determine which was the highest performing, including paid Facebook and Instagram ads along with the AutoNation homepage. The results? Attribution conversion and overall conversion from top to bottom of funnel increased, as did social and website traffic. Text for Credit is just one product offering in Experian’s overall digital story. Our vision is to ultimately enable an ecosystem of services and capabilities through a mobile toolkit that grants consumers instant access to credit in a seamless manner. Read our case study for more insight on using Text for Credit to: Improve customer experience Drive site traffic Increase conversion rates Lower cost per acquisition Read the Case Study
There’s recently been a significant amount of discussion about the stability of the automotive finance industry. Many fear the increase in the volume of delinquent U.S. automotive loans may be an early stage harbinger of the downfall of the automotive industry. But, the fact is, that’s not entirely true. While we certainly want to keep a close eye on the volume of delinquent loans, it’s important to put these trends into context. We’ve seen a steady increase in the volume of outstanding loan balances for the past several years – though the growth has slowed the past few quarters. And while much of the increase is driven by higher loan amounts, it also means there’s been an overall higher volume of vehicle buyers leaning on automotive lenders to finance vehicles. In fact, findings from our Q4 2018 State of the Automotive Finance Market Report show 85.1 percent of all new vehicle purchases were financed in Q4 2018 – compare that to 81.4 percent in Q4 2010 and 78.2 percent in Q4 2006. Suffice it to say, more financed vehicles will undoubtedly lead to more delinquent loans. But that also means, there is a high volume of car buyers who continue to pay their automotive loans in a timely manner. Through Q4 2018, there were nearly 86 million automotive loans and leases that were in good standing. With a higher volume of automotive loans than in the past, we should pay close attention to the percentage of delinquent loans compared to the overall market and compare that to previous years. And when we examine findings from our report, the percentage of automotive loans and leases that were 30-days past due dropped from 2.36 percent to 2.32 percent compared to a year ago. When we look at loans and leases that were 60-days past due, the percentages are relatively stable (up slightly from 0.76 percent to 0.78 percent compared to a year ago). It’s worth noting, these percentages are well below the high-water mark set during Q4 2009 when 3.30 percent of loans were 30-days delinquent and 0.94 percent of loans were 60-days delinquent. But, while the rate of delinquency is down and/or relatively stable year-over-year, it has trended upward since Q4 2015 – we’ll want to stay close to these trends. That said, much of the increase in the percentage of 60-day delinquent automotive loans is a result of a higher percentage of deep subprime loans from previous years – high-risk originations that become delinquent often occur more than 16 months after the origination. Additionally, the percentage of deep subprime originations has steadily decreased over the past two years, which could lead to a positive impact on the percentage of delinquent automotive loans. Despite rising automotive loan amounts and monthly payments, the data shows consumers appear to be making their payments on-time – an encouraging sign for automotive lenders. That said, lenders will want to continue to keep a close eye on all facets of car buyers’ payment performance moving forward – but it is important to put it into context. A clear understanding of these trends will better position lenders to make the right decisions when analyzing risk and provide consumers with comprehensive automotive financing options. To learn more about the State of the Automotive Finance Market report, or to watch the webinar, click here.
Experian Boost gives consumers greater control over their credit profiles by allowing them to add non-traditional credit information to their Experian credit file.
Subprime originations hit the lowest overall share of the market seen in 11 years, but does that mean people are being locked out car ownership? Not necessarily, according to the Q3 State of the Automotive Finance Market report.To gain accurate insights from the vast amount of data available, it’s important to look at the entire picture that is created by the data. The decrease in subprime originations is due to many factors, one of which being that credit scores are increasing across the board (average is now 717 for new and 661 for used), which naturally shifts more consumers into the higher credit tiers. Loan origination market share are just one of the trends seen in this quarter’s report. Ultimately, examining the data can help inform lenders and help them make the right lending decisions. Exploring options for affordability While consumers analyze different possibilities to ensure their monthly payments are affordable, leasing is one of the more reasonable options in terms of monthly payments. In fact, the difference between the average new lease payment and new car payment usually averages more $100—and sometimes well over—which is a significant amount for the average American budget. In fact, leases of new vehicles are hovering around 30 percent, which is one of the factors that is aiding in new car sales. In turn, this then helps the used-vehicle market, as the high number of leases create a larger supply of quality use vehicles when they come off-lease and make their way back into the market. On-time payments continue to improve As consumer preferences continue to trend towards more expensive vehicles, such as crossovers, SUVs, and pickups, affordability will continue to be a topic of discussion. But consumers appear to be managing the higher prices, as in addition to the tactics mentioned above, 30- and 60-day delinquency rates declined since Q3 2017, from 2.39 percent to 2.23 percent and 0.76 percent to 0.72 percent, respectively. The automotive finance market is one where the old saying “no news is good news” continues to remain true. While there aren’t significant changes in the numbers quarter over quarter, this signals that the market is at a good place in its cycle. To learn more about the State of the Automotive Finance Market report, or to watch the webinar, click here.
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