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Strategic automotive marketing and measurement are getting more complicated with the increase in consumer channels and devices. This makes it harder for marketers to obtain a complete measurement picture. Measurement terminology is also evolving. Here's a look at some of today’s key definitions to familiarize you with the nuances and challenges it may already bring to your analytics. What is the open web? The open web is the web as a whole or the public side of the web with all the millions of sites that do not require a subscription or fee to use them. For example, in our industry, this would be an auto manufacturer’s website, a dealership’s website, or an online consumer shopping portal where you list your vehicles for sale – all of these are on the open web. These sites use open-source standards to deliver content to consumers without a separate app or company acting as gatekeepers. However, tracking approaches on the open web will shift as cookies will eventually disappear. What is a walled garden? A walled garden is a closed platform or ecosystem (e.g., Amazon, Apple, Facebook) wherein the platform provider controls the content, applications, and/or media and restricts access as it sees fit. The publisher offers consumer privacy and rich first-party data to advertisers, but the measurement is limited to activity within the ‘walls’ of the garden. From an advertising perspective, buyers can only access these platforms through their own buying tools; they do not give access to any independent platforms. The publisher (the Walled Garden) handles all the buying, serving, tracking, and reporting within their ecosystem. So, let’s say you are an automotive consumer checking out vehicles. If you’re reading your Facebook feed on your phone and you see an advertisement for a vehicle or a dealership, that OEM or dealership is advertising in a walled garden – in this case, the walled garden is Facebook. The challenge to an advertiser is that they can only measure activity that occurred within that ecosystem using the walled garden’s platform and measurement tools. What is a hedged garden? The “hedged garden” is a new industry concept. A hedged garden is when a network of publishers work together to activate first-party data sets in a privacy-compliant way across many partners at scale. These publishers run their businesses with large amounts of first-party consumer data. They often do not own or operate complete buying stacks. For example, companies like Target and Walmart let advertisers employ their data on shoppers for ad targeting, but brands can use their own buying tools. Other examples of a hedged garden might include Connected TV platforms such as Vizio’s or Samsung’s in-house ad businesses. If you’re sitting on your couch watching your Vizio-connected TV and you see an advertisement for a dealership or a manufacturer, they are advertised within that hedged garden. As an advertiser, the advantage is that you can use their buying tool when targeting shoppers for your advertising. How to fill in the gaps the walled garden may leave open The walled garden can challenge marketers who desire cross-channel activation and measurement. If you're a marketer working within a walled garden, we can work with the data you have to give you a complete picture of your audience’s digital journey. Our experience and vast databases, including vehicle, credit, and customer insights, allow us to continue building strong partnerships within the fast-growing (Hedged Garden) ecosystem. We can help. Our Subject Matter Expert, Laurel Malhotra will be happy to answer any questions you may have. Contact her today.
With low vehicle inventory and inflation continuing to affect the automotive industry, vehicle registrations have slowed down in 2022. According to Experian’s Automotive Market Trends Report: Q3 2022, new vehicle registrations were down 16.4%, going from 12.2 million through Q3 2021 to 10.2 million this quarter. Used vehicles experienced a 12.6% decline, coming in at 29.8 million through Q3 2022, from 34.1 million the previous year. Though vehicle registrations were down, there are still many insights to be gleaned from this data. Understanding which generations are still in-market currently and what vehicles are most popular can help automotive professionals better understand the landscape they’re operating in and set them up for continued success. Generational trends in new vehicle registrations Taking a deeper dive into who is buying the retail new vehicles, Gen X saw a slight year-over-year uptick in market share, increasing from 32.4% through Q3 2021 to 32.8% through Q3 2022. Millennials saw more significant year-over-year growth, as this group increased to 29.3% of new vehicle registrations this quarter, up from 27.9% this time last year—which resulted in the generation rebounding over Boomers, who decreased from 28.5% to 26.2% year-over-year. In addition to that, Gen Z continues to forge a path, capturing more market share. Gen Z went from 5.6% through Q3 2021 to 7.2% through Q3 2022. In comparison, the Silent generation declined to 4.4% through Q3 2022, from 5.6% this time last year. While national trends like these are informative for automotive professionals, focusing on local generational registration trends can bring even more insights for inventory acquisition and marketing strategies, among others. Additionally, it is critical for automotive professionals to not only understand who is currently searching for a vehicle, but the types of vehicles they are looking to get. Full-size pickup trucks take the lead in overall road market share When looking at what vehicles are most desired right now, full-size pickup trucks secured the number one spot in the top 20 vehicle segments on the road market share in both luxury and non-luxury for the first time in recent months. For instance, pickup trucks comprised 16.3% for luxury and 16.4% for non-luxury through Q3 2022, with midsize sedans not too far behind—coming in at 13.9% for luxury and 16.2% for non-luxury this quarter. Though, it’s noteworthy that pickup trucks have long been one of the top vehicle segments, popular for their functionality and cargo carrying capabilities. As the automotive industry continues to evolve, it’ll be important for professionals to analyze current registration trends as they prepare for the coming months to make more strategic decisions and remain successful in the shifting market. To learn more about vehicle registration trends, watch the full Automotive Market Trends Report: Q3 2022 presentation on demand.
In recent blog posts, we’ve discussed growing in a down market and getting ahead with a proactive outreach and engagement strategy. In this article, we’ll focus on audience segmentation and multichannel marketing. As the market has shifted, effective cost management is a top priority. Lenders who get the most bang for their buck tend to use data to create their audience, segment and message. Best practice #1: audience segmentation It’s hard to beat the combination of credit and property data for mortgage lenders. Obtaining a holistic consumer view and property details (if they’re a homeowner), can help lenders determine the best mortgage product and refine their messaging. Many of our partners have great success leveraging a combination of property and credit insights to identify consumers for a home equity line of credit (HELOC) or new first mortgages. Let’s look at HELOC as an example. From a process perspective, we use property data to identify borrowers with properties that qualify for the lender’s HELOC program – sufficient equity, owner occupied, no tax liens, not listed for sale, a value below their upper lending bound, etc. Once the initial population is identified, we further segment their target population by adding key credit insights, such as current score and outstanding unsecured debt. This allows the lender to identify borrowers who qualify for their HELOC program and do specific outreach for either debt consolidation or remodel. By performing the equity and credit analytics with a single vendor, the lender can increase their speed to market. The results? Lenders succeed by quickly reaching the right borrowers, with the right offer and message. Additionally, they don’t waste money on or disappoint applicants who don’t meet their program guidelines. Best practice #2: refining the message The next best practice I’d like to focus on is refining the message with relevant demographic and consumer behavior data. Experian studied the differences among consumers who recently purchased a home, those who recently secured a HELOC, and the general consumer population. Look at these four categories from our Mosaic Group and consider how you would adjust your messaging if you really know your prospect? Might you incorporate different imaging for a Power Elite homeowner in your HELOC campaign than a Flourishing Family to whom you are marketing a first mortgage? Or consider how different decision-making styles would impact the information you highlight in your outreach? Look at the difference between HELOC borrowers and first mortgage borrowers in terms of their decision-making style. Different messaging will appeal to a consumer who is a brand loyalist versus someone who is a savvy researcher. Best practice #3: omnichannel marketing strategy Finally, let’s focus on how best to reach the consumer. Not only is it important to meet consumers on their preferred channel, but a best practice is to execute an omnichannel strategy. We increasingly see lenders using emails in prescreen campaigns with invitations to apply, or ITAs, across multiple communication channels. Look at the overall research for email, text, and direct mail. Increasingly, savvy marketers are asking us for emails in their prescreen campaigns, and it’s no surprise. Based on the research, a tailored email campaign can be very effective. Perhaps most surprising is the level of mortgage borrower engagement in streaming TV! This is just the tip of the iceberg in terms of how data can be sliced and diced to drive your omnichannel engagement strategy. In short, when executing a mortgage marketing campaign, it’s important to leverage available data for audience segmentation. Once your audience is identified, you’ll want to refine your message to resonate with each segment. Lastly, instituting a multichannel marketing strategy is key to ensuring you’re getting in front of your audience in the channel they’re most likely to engage. By adopting these best practices, you’ll reach the right borrower, with the right message, in the right channel, which, in-turn, will help boost the ROI of your marketing program. To learn about Experian Mortgage solution offerings, click here. Learn more
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With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.
The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.
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