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Driving growth in a down mortgage market can be tricky. It’s a mad scramble to obtain quality mortgage leads that convert into profitable loans. At Experian Mortgage, we have a front row seat into the efficacy of different lead generation strategies, and what we know for certain, is that data matters in both the audience creation and outreach approach. I’ve compiled several best practices for identifying qualified prospects early in the homebuying journey and using analytics to focus your outreach on those most likely to convert. Best practice #1: credit-based triggers First, let’s focus on borrower-behavior triggers, as they’re key for getting ahead of the competition. I occasionally hear skepticism about tried-and-true credit-based prospect triggers, but many find them indispensable. Credit triggers alert you when borrowers apply for credit and when other indicators meet your specific lending criteria, including credit scores, score trends, credit limits, utilization and much more.  They’re effective – and not just for big lenders. Our clients leverage credit-based triggers to quickly pursue “hot leads,” and have reported higher response rates, lower acquisition costs and revenue growth. Best practice #2: property listing triggers Another borrower behavior to watch is listing a property for sale, which can be done using property listing triggers. You can use listing triggers to monitor current customers – and with Experian, you can prospect for new customers outside your portfolio. One of our clients instituted property listing triggers and immediately identified 40,000 homeowners in their footprint who had recently listed a property for sale. Experian research shows that a homeowner lists their property for sale, on average, 35 days before applying for a new mortgage. This means this lender had over a month to reach those consumers with a tailored message. Now that’s getting a jump on the competition! But what about those homeowners who list a property for sale but don’t move? We hear anecdotally about more homeowners putting their homes on the market to see what offers they can get. According to recent data, a higher percentage of listings fail to sell today than last year. While property listing remains one of the most predictive behaviors for purchase, there’s room to optimize. Whether your prospect came to you via a property or credit trigger, there’s an opportunity to improve your ROI by identifying trigger leads most likely to convert. Best practice #3: in-the-market models A key best practice in audience segmentation is to incorporate in-the-market models (ITMM). A good model is based on sophisticated analytics across hundreds of data elements and millions of loan applications. Additionally, a good model is tailored to your product. A consumer in the market to buy their first house will “look” very different than a consumer in the market for a Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC). Experian clients are doing two impactful things with ITMM. First, they create their audience list by bundling ITMM with credit, income, and property data to identify qualified consumers likely to be in the market soon. Second, they optimize an existing marketing list. However, when it comes to a mortgage lead generation program, you can only optimize what you measure. Experian has been helping clients by analyzing their lost leads and lost loans. Several clients recently asked us to analyze their efficacy with marketing lists originating from digital mortgage lead aggregators (i.e., lists of consumers who sought information online about mortgages). I’ll focus here on the leads who did NOT originate a mortgage with our clients, but DID open a tradeline with someone else. My first observation is that prospects who opened a tradeline were significantly more likely to open a credit card than a mortgage. My second observation is when the prospect opened a mortgage loan with a different institution, 80% of the time that lender was a non-bank. This is higher than the current non-bank share of the market, which indicates non-banks are aggressive with their leads and poised to grow their share. Here’s where ITMM comes into play. By incorporating an ITMM specifically for your product – HELOC, purchase, refinance – you can focus attention on borrowers most likely to open a mortgage. In summary, instituting credit and property triggers is a critical best practice and will open the door to a plethora of prospects. If you want to level up your marketing strategy, incorporating an ITMM is key and will help you segment the trigger leads and home in on those that are most likely to convert. Be sure to check out the final blog post in this series, Lead Conversion Through Tailored Messaging and a Multichannel Mortgage Marketing Strategy. To learn about Experian Mortgage solution offerings, click here. Learn more

Reflections, New Predictions, and What to Expect by 2033.  Where We’ve Been: A Cybersecurity Recap It’s been a decade since Experian released its first forecast. At the time, hacker activity was heating up, and breach "fatigue" was setting in. The report highlighted the budding threat of healthcare incidents, started a conversation about the connection between the cloud, big data, and big international breaches, and was one of the first—if not the first preparedness and response organization to sound the alarm on the cyber insurance surge. Fast forward to 2023: Clever cybercriminals have not slowed, and data breaches are busier and livelier than ever, with cyberattacks costing organizations $2.9 million every minute1, with major businesses suffering losses of $25 per minute.2 Hold on to your keyboard if you’re wondering where the cybercriminals could go next. The Tenth Annual Experian Data Breach Industry Forecast findings offer a road map into the future. findings offer a road map into the future. Literally. It outlines how modern technology, cyber resilience, and cyber recovery will play a role in the next generation of attacks. With six predictions instead of five, this year’s report also candidly reflects on what we got right and where we missed the mark over the last nine years while homing in on what 2023 and 2033 could bring. Nearly 70% of business leaders feel their cybersecurity risks are increasing, and only 5% of companies2 data is probably protected.3 Where We Are: Reality. It’s Not Quite What It Seems With more than 80% of U.S.4 adults expressing some concern about the metaverse and deepfake-enabled attacks up 53% from 2021,5 2023 could see cyberattacks move into unprecedented and unchartered territory. Will keyboards and screens become easy gateways to widespread attacks in seen and unsuspected ways for corporate entities and consumers alike? What about the continued rise of remote work? Will its staying power reveal vulnerabilities? As technology evolves, so too can scams and increased risk. Are you prepared? Globally, cybercrime is on track to cost $10.5 trillion annually by 2025.6 Where We’re Headed: Today and 10 Years From Now The Tenth Annual Data Breach Industry Forecast isn’t a crystal ball, but it’s close. With now ten reports issued and over 18 years of experience servicing, researching, and tracking data breaches, I’ve encountered almost everything in the what-if world of preparedness drills and real-world live incident responses. I’ll end with this fact. Only time will tell what happens next. Until then, if you’re a CISO, cyber risk insurer, CFO, General Counsel, or other professional responsible for or connected to cybersecurity preparedness and response, I recommend you review the Tenth Annual Experian Data Breach Industry Forecast. Your company’s future could depend on it. Read the 2023 Experian Data Breach Industry Forecast 1-2 https://businessinsights.bitdefender.com/what-are-the-biggest-cyber-threats-of-the-future 3 https://www.accenture.com/_acnmedia/PDF-96/Accenture-2019-Cost-of-Cybercrime-Study-Final.pdf#zoom=50 4-5 https://www.varonis.com/ 6 Cybersecurity Ventures, Cybercrime Magazine

Financial institutions have gone through a whirlwind in the last few years, with the pandemic forcing many to undergo digital transformations. More recently, rising interest rates and economic uncertainty are leading to a pullback, highlighting the need for lenders to level up their marketing strategies to win new customers. To get started, here are a few key trends to look out for in the new year and fresh marketing ideas for lenders. Challenges and consumers expectations in 2023 It might be cliche to mention the impact that the pandemic had on digital transformations — but that doesn't make it any less true. Consumers now expect a straightforward online experience. And while they may be willing to endure a slightly more manual process for certain purchases in their life, that's not always necessary. Lenders are investing in front-end platforms and behind-the-scenes technology to offer borrowers faster and more intuitive services. For example, A McKinsey report from December 2021 highlighted the growth in nonbank mortgage lenders. It suggested nonbank lenders could hold onto and may continue taking market share as these tech-focused lenders create convenient, fast and transparent processes for borrowers.2 Marketers can take these new expectations to heart when discussing their products and services. To the extent you have one in place, highlight the digital experience that you can offer borrowers throughout the application, verifications, closing and loan servicing. You can also try to show rather than tell with interactive online content and videos. Build a data-driven mortgage lending marketing strategy The McKinsey report also highlighted a trend in major bank and nonbank lenders investing in proprietary and third-party technology and data to improve the customer experience.2 Marketers can similarly turn to a data-driven credit marketing strategy to help navigate shifting lending environments. Segment prospects with multidimensional data Successful marketers can incorporate the latest technological and multidimensional data sources to find, track and reach high-value prospects. By combining traditional credit data with marketing data and Fair Credit Report Act-compliant alternative credit data* (or expanded FCRA-regulated data), you can increase the likelihood of connecting with consumers who meet your credit criteria and will likely respond. For example, Experian's mortgage-specific In the Market Models predict a consumer's propensity to open a new mortgage within a one to four-month period based on various inputs, including trended credit data and Premier Attributes. You can use these propensity models as part of your prescreen criteria, to cross-sell current customers and to help retain customers who might be considering a new lender. But propensity models are only part of the equation, especially when you're trying to extend your marketing budget with hyper-segmented campaigns. Incorporating your internal CRM data and non-FCRA data can help you further distinguish look-alike populations and help you customize your messaging. LEARN MORE: Use this checklist to find and fix gaps in your prospecting strategy Maintain a single view of your borrowers An identity management platform can give you a single view of a consumer as they move through the customer journey. The persistent identity can also help you consistently reach consumers in a post-cookie world and contact them using their preferred channel. You can add to the persistent identity as you learn more about your prospects. However, you need to maintain data accuracy and integrity if you want to get a good ROI. Use triggers to guide your outreach You can also use data-backed credit triggers to implement your marketing plan. Experian's Prospect Triggers actively monitors a nationwide database to identify credit-active consumers who have new tradelines, inquiries or a loan nearing term. Lenders using Prospect Triggers can receive real-time or periodic updates and customize the results based on their screening strategy and criteria, such as score ranges and attributes. They can then make firm credit offers to the prospects who are most likely to respond, which can improve cross-selling opportunities along with originations. Benefit from our expertise Forward-thinking lenders should power their marketing strategies with a data-backed approach to incorporate the latest information from internal and external sources and reach the right customer at the right time and place. From list building to identity management and verification, you can turn to Experian to access the latest data and analytics tools. Learn about Experian credit prescreen and marketing solutions. Explore our credit prescreen solutions Learn about our marketing solutions 1Mortgage Bankers Association (October 2022). Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey 2McKinsey & Company (2021). Five trends reshaping the US home mortgage industry