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of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry’s standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum
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Many desktop publishing packages and web page editors now use Lorem Ipsum as their default model text, and a search for ‘lorem ipsum’ will uncover many web sites still in their infancy.
Even before the COVID-19 pandemic, many Americans lacked equal access to financial products and services — from tapping into affordable banking services to credit cards to financing a home purchase. The global pandemic likely exacerbated those existing issues and inequalities. That reality makes financial inclusion — a concerted effort to make financial products and services affordable and accessible to all consumers — more crucial than ever. The playing field wasn't level before the pandemic The Federal Reserve reported that in 2019, Black and Hispanic/Latino families had median wealth that was just 13 to 19 percent of that of White families — $24,100 and $36,100, respectively, compared to $188,200 for White families. That inequity is also reflected in credit score disparities. While credit scores, income, and wealth aren't synonymous, the traditional credit scoring system leads marginalized communities to be disproportionately labeled unscoreable or credit invisible, and face challenges in accessing credit. New research from Experian shows that in over 200 cities, there can be more than a 100-point difference in credit scores between neighborhoods — often within just a few miles from each other. Marginalized communities bore the financial brunt Minority communities were also disproportionately impacted by COVID-19 in terms of infections, job losses, and financial hardship. In mid-2020, the Economic Policy Institute (EPI) reported Black and Hispanic/Latino workers were more likely than White workers to have lost their jobs or to be classified as essential workers — leading to economic or health insecurity. Government initiatives — including the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) and the American Rescue Plan — created expanded unemployment benefits, paused loan payments, eviction moratoriums, and direct cash payments. These helped consumers' immediate financial well-being. The National Bureau of Economic Research found that, on average, U.S. households spent approximately 40 percent of their first two stimulus checks, with about 30 percent used for savings and another 30 percent used to pay down debt. In some communities highly affected by COVID-19, consumers were able to pay down nearly 40 percent of their credit card balances and close more than 9 percent of their bank card accounts, according to recent data. Stimulus payments have been credited with reducing childhood poverty and helping families save for financial emergencies. That being said, people on the upper end of the income scale were able to improve their financial situation even more. Their wealth grew at a much faster pace than people at the bottom end of the income distribution scale, according to data from the Federal Reserve. How the pandemic deepened financial exclusion Although hiring has picked up in low-wage industries, research indicates that low-wage jobs have been the slowest to return. According to a survey by the Pew Research Center, among respondents who said their financial situation worsened during the pandemic, 44 percent believe it will take three years or more to get back to where they were a year ago. About 10 percent don't think their finances will ever recover. Recent Experian data shows that consumers in certain communities that were already struggling to pay their debts fell into an even bigger hole. These consumers missed payments on 56 percent more accounts in the period between spring 2019 to spring 2020 compared to the year prior. Credit scores in these neighborhoods fell by an average of over 20 points during the first 18 months of COVID-19. That being said, U.S. consumers overall increased their median credit scores by an average of 21 points from the end of 2019 to the end of 2021. When consumers with deteriorating credit encounter financial stresses, often their only recourse is to pile on additional debt. Even worse, those who can't access traditional credit often turn to alternative credit arrangements, such as short-term loans, which may charge significantly higher interest rates. READ MORE: More Than a Score: The Case for Financial Inclusion What can the financial sector do? Without access to affordable financial services and products, subprime or credit invisible consumers may not get approved for a mortgage or car loan — things that might come much easier for consumers with better scores. This is just one reason why financial inclusion is so important — and why financial services companies have a big role to play in driving it. One place to start is by taking a broader view of what makes a creditworthy consumer. In addition to traditional credit scoring models, new tools can leverage artificial intelligence and machine learning, along with alternative data, to analyze the creditworthiness of consumers. By qualifying for credit, more consumers can access affordable mortgages, car loans, business loans and insurance – freeing up money for other expenses and allowing them to grow their wealth.. READ MORE: What Is Alternative and Non-Traditional Data? Last word Marginalized communities were already struggling economically before the pandemic, and the impact of COVID-19 has made the wealth disparities worse. With the pandemic waning, now is the time for financial institutions to take action on financial inclusion. Not only does it help improve your customers' lives and make them better prepared for the next crisis, but it also fuels your business's growth and bottom line.
Across all levels of government, we are seeing a surge in digital modernization — transforming the delivery of traditional services into a contactless, digital environment. Whether it is with the Social Security Administration’s digital modernization effort, the state of California’s Vision 2023, or even at the local level with counties modernizing digital access to records for their citizens. This comes at a time when identity fraud in government services is growing at an alarming rate, with an increase of over 2,900 percent related to government benefits or document fraud in 2020 according to the FTC. A key challenge for any agency planning digital modernization is balancing access with security. This is particularly critical in an environment where over 1 billion records were exposed over a recent five-year span. Given the U.S. population is currently about 330 million, that means each citizen had an average of three breach exposures. Therefore, identity proofing must be a critical part of any agency modernization effort. National Institute of Standards and Technology Special Publication (NIST SP) 800-63 revision 3 lays out a risk assessment to help organizations determine the appropriate level of security to apply based on six areas of impact. However, identity proofing a new citizen through digital channels requires significant friction at levels above Identity Assurance Level 1 (IAL1). The stringent requirement for a biometric match in this standard at IAL2 presents a real challenge to the balance mentioned above, which has led agencies to seek alternatives that both combat the risk of fraud and identity theft and are operationally sound. Experian has been supporting the private sector in this endeavor for years, helping them effectively manage identity theft and fraud concerns while allowing seamless access to services for the vast majority of their consumers. This risk-based approach through our CrossCore® platform and multitude of options to identify and combat fraud allows agencies to deliver the security and accessibility expected by their citizens. CrossCore allows agencies to verify and identify citizens using multiple data points: Traditional personally identifiable information (name, address, Social Security number, date of birth) Email Phone number Device identification Biometrics CrossCore can instantly take the risk information from these risk signals above and initiate additional verification where there is a higher risk of identity theft or fraud, including knowledge-based verification (KBV), one-time passcode (OTP) to a trusted phone number linked to the identity being presented, or even remotely verifying identity documents (e.g., driver’s license, passport, etc.) through our new CrossCore Doc Capture solution. Just recently, Experian helped a state lottery agency implement an efficient identity proofing system to enable digital redemption of winning tickets, saving both the government and the citizens time and money. Experian’s identity, verification, and fraud solutions can help government agencies of all sizes on their journey to digital modernization. To learn more about the options available to your agency, visit us or request a call. CrossCore Doc Capture
Whether a consumer has a brand-new or used vehicle, it’s inevitably going to need regular maintenance and require repairs. Fortunately for aftermarket professionals, the aftermarket “sweet spot” is continuously growing—a trend that should be watched closely. Vehicles in the sweet spot are typically between six- to 12-model-years-old and have aged out of general OEM manufacturer warranties for any repairs. Knowing the model year and type of vehicles that are in operation will be important for aftermarket professionals to determine what parts may be needed, and anticipate potential consumer needs. According to Experian’s Automotive Market Trends Report: Q1 2022, 35.8% of vehicles in operation (VIO) now fall within the aftermarket sweet spot, a 6.5% year-over-year increase. It is important to note that the aftermarket sweet spot max volume record of 104 million is expected to be broken over the next 12-18 months, considering the sweet spot volume was 100.3 million through Q1 2022 and the last time it exceeded that number was nine years ago. The increase will create more opportunities for aftermarket professionals as more vehicles will potentially need maintenance. Aftermarket “sweet spot” will continue to grow Right now, the aftermarket sweet spot consists of model years between 2011 and 2017. There were 10.5 million 2011 model year vehicles on the road through Q1 2022, this low volume will transition into the post-sweet spot next year. At the same time, there will be 16.5 million 2018 model year vehicles entering the sweet spot. Furthermore, an estimated 16.7 million vehicles in operation with a 2019 model year and almost 14.3 million vehicles in operation with a 2020 model year will be transitioning into the sweet spot in the next two years. When these model year vehicles enter the sweet spot, the current 12 million vehicles with a 2012 model year and an estimated 13.7 million 2013 model year vehicles will transition into the post-sweet spot, resulting in a notable increase. Watching this data closely will allow aftermarket professionals to continue assisting with maintenance and repairs for these vehicles that are currently on the road, as well as prepare for what’s to come to the aftermarket industry in approaching years. To learn more about other vehicle registration trends, watch the full Automotive Market Trends Report: Q1 2022 presentation on demand.
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With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.
The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.
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