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Published: August 11, 2025 by joseph.rodriguez@experian.com

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Report: State of the Economy, September 2024

This series will explore our monthly State of the Economy report, which provides a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for financial service professionals to proactively shape their business strategies. During their September meeting, the Federal Reserve made a highly-anticipated announcement to cut rates for the first time since 2020. Fed officials cut rates by 50bps, while also penciling in an additional 50bps of cuts for 2024 and 100bps of cuts in 2025 in their Summary of Economic Projections. While rates are coming down and inflation continues to cool, there were downward revisions to job creation made in August and declining job openings in July. Data highlights from this month’s report include: The Federal Reserve announced a 50bps rate cut during the September meeting. Annual headline inflation cooled from 2.9% to 2.5%, getting closer to the Fed’s 2% goal. Mortgage originations increased 7.0% in August. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in job creation, retail sales, and consumer sentiment. Download September's report As our economy continues to fluctuate, it's critical to stay updated on the latest developments. Subscribe to our new series, The Macro Moment, for economic commentary from Experian North America's Chief Economist, Joseph Mayans, and download our new Lending Conditions Chartbook for additional insights. For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

Sep 26,2024 by Josee Farmer

Understanding First-time Homebuyer Affordability in the State of New York

As a mortgage lender, understanding the intricacies of the New York housing market is crucial, especially when dealing with first-time homebuyers (FTHBs). While the housing market fluctuates nationwide, New York presents unique challenges and opportunities that require a nuanced approach. Distinguishing NYC from the rest of New York New York City's housing market, along with its suburbs, stands distinct from the rest of the state. With a high cost of living and unique lifestyle, NYC demands a tailored mortgage marketing strategy. This article will highlight key factors affecting affordability in New York, providing valuable insights for mortgage lenders working in this market. Overview of the New York FTHB market According to Experian Housing’s recent report on first-time homebuyers, the state of New York accounts for nearly 4.9% of all first-time homebuyers nationwide.1 More than half of first-time homebuyers are from Generation Y. When combined with Gen Z, these younger buyers make up just over 67% of the state's FTHBs, a figure slightly below the national average of 69%. Affordability metrics: The rent-to-mortgage ratio For many Americans, homeownership represents stability, security, and the future for family, community, and life. However, the decision to buy versus rent often hinges on affordability. Mortgage lenders must understand this dynamic to better assist their clients. Affordability can be defined in various ways. For the purposes of this study, Experian Housing defined affordability by comparing rental and mortgage payments, known as the rent-to-mortgage ratio (RTM ratio). A higher ratio indicates that buying a home is more economically attractive. Again, this metric does not consider incomes and debt levels, but simply housing rental prices and mortgage costs. Based solely on the RTM ratio, the transition from renting to homeownership may be more attractive in New York City, Syracuse, and Oyster Bay, while the transition may be more difficult in Cheektowaga, Amherst, and Hempstead. For mortgage lenders, understanding local markets and buyer profiles is essential. Building trust through personalized service, such as educating buyers on relevant loan programs and showcasing geographic expertise, can set you apart. With this knowledge, you can help buyers make informed decisions about affordability, whether they prefer living in the city or the suburbs. In some areas, the suburbs may offer more affordable options, while in others, the city center might be more cost-effective. Additional factors: Income, debt, and down payments Affordability extends beyond just rent and mortgage payments. Prospective homebuyers must consider their income, monthly expenses, and access to funds for a down payment. Mortgage lenders need to account for these factors when advising first-time homebuyers. Debt-to-income Average DTI across the 14 cities observed was 25.6%. The chart below highlights those at the higher and lower end of the spectrum. Down payments Down payments varied greatly, but the median across the cities observed was 16.5%. The chart below highlights an example at the high, mid, and low point. Sale prices and income Experian Housing analyzed median sales prices and incomes across the U.S., with New York serving as a prime example of the importance of this comparison in assessing affordability. This correlation is crucial; while sales prices may be high, understanding how they align with local incomes helps lenders accurately gauge market dynamics and guide buyers more effectively. In conclusion, having a deep understanding of the New York housing market is invaluable for mortgage lenders aiming to support first-time homebuyers. By leveraging insights into market dynamics, affordability metrics, and borrower profiles, lenders can offer tailored advice that meets the specific needs of their clients. This not only helps buyers navigate the complexities of homeownership but also builds lasting trust and loyalty. Equipped with these insights, you, as a lender, can play a pivotal role in making the dream of homeownership a reality for first-time buyers in New York. Let's continue to empower our clients with the knowledge and guidance they need to make informed and confident decisions in their homebuying journey. For more insights, check out our recent studies on the Florida and Texas markets and download our first-time homebuyer whitepaper. Download white paper Learn more

Sep 25,2024 by Scott Hamlin

How to Create an Effective Credit Union Collection Strategy

Effective collection strategies are critical for the financial health of credit unions. Unlike traditional banks, credit unions often emphasize member relationships and community values, making the collection process more tactful. Crafting a strategy that balances the need for financial stability with member-centric values is essential.  Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to create an effective credit union collection strategy. 1. Understand your members The foundation of an effective credit union collection strategy is understanding your members. Credit unions often serve specific communities or groups, and members may face unique financial challenges. By analyzing member demographics, financial behavior, and common reasons for delinquency, you can tailor your approach to be more vigilant and effective. Segment members: Group members based on factors like loan type, payment history, and financial behavior. This allows for targeted communications and outreach strategies. Member communication preferences: Determine how your members prefer to be contacted—whether by phone, email, or in person. This can increase engagement and responsiveness. 2. Prioritize compliance Compliance with regulations is non-negotiable in the collections process. Ensure that your strategy adheres to all relevant laws and guidelines. Fair Debt Collection Practices Act (FDCPA): Ensure that your team is fully trained on the FDCPA and that your practices comply with its requirements. State and local regulations: Be aware of any state or local regulations that may impact your collections process. This could include restrictions on contact methods or times. Internal audits: Regularly conduct internal audits to ensure compliance and identify any areas of risk. 3. Leverage technology for efficiency Technology can streamline the collection process, making it more efficient and a better member experience. Automated reminders: Use automated systems to send reminders before and after payment due dates. This reduces the likelihood of missed payments due to forgetfulness. Data analytics: Use data analytics to identify trends in member behavior, establish a collections prioritization strategy, and predict potential delinquencies. This allows your team to be proactive rather than reactive. Digital communication channels: Implement digital communication options, such as text messages or chatbots to make it easier for members to interact with the credit union. 4. Establish clear communication protocols Early and frequent communication is key to preventing delinquency and managing it when it occurs. Create clear protocols for member communication that prioritize empathy and treatment plans over demands. Early intervention: Reach out to members as soon as they miss a payment. Early intervention can prevent minor issues from escalating. Consistent communication: Ensure that your communication is consistent across all channels. Whether a member receives a call, an email, or a letter, the message should be clear and aligned with the credit union’s values. Human understanding: Train your collections team to use a compassionate tone. Members are more likely to respond positively when they feel understood and respected. 5. Offer flexible payment solutions Flexibility is crucial when working with members who are struggling financially. Offering a range of payment solutions can help members stay on track and reduce the likelihood of default. Customized treatment plans: Offer customizable payment plans that fit the member’s financial situation. This could include lower payments over a longer term or temporary payment deferrals. Loan modifications: In some cases, modifying the terms of the loan—such as extending the repayment period or lowering the interest rate—may be necessary to help the member succeed. Debt consolidation options: If a member has multiple loans, consider offering debt consolidation to simplify their payments and reduce their overall financial burden. 6. Train your collection team Your collection team is the frontline of your strategy. Providing them with the right training and tools is essential for success. Ongoing training: Regularly update your team on the latest regulations, best practices, and communication techniques. This keeps them informed and prepared to handle various situations. Better decision making: Empower your team to make decisions that align with the credit union’s values. This could include offering payment extensions or waiving late fees in certain situations. Regular support: Working in collections can be complex. Provide resources and support to help your team manage stress and maintain a positive attitude. 7. Monitor and adjust your strategy A successful credit union collection strategy is dynamic. Regularly monitor its performance and adjust as needed. Key performance indicators (KPIs): Track KPIs such as delinquency rates, recovery rates, roll-rates and member satisfaction to gauge the effectiveness of your strategy. Member feedback: Survey members who have gone through the collections process. Their insights can help you identify areas for improvement. Continuous improvement: Use data and feedback to continuously refine your strategy. What worked last year may not be as effective today, so staying adaptable is key. Creating an effective credit union collections strategy requires a balance of empathy, effective communication, and compliance. By understanding your members, communicating clearly, offering flexible solutions, leveraging technology, and continuously improving your approach, you can develop a strategy that not only reduces delinquency but also strengthens member relationships. In today’s fiercely competitive landscape, where efficiency and efficacy stand paramount, working with the right partner equipped with innovative credit union solutions can dramatically transform your outcomes. Choosing us for your debt collection needs signifies an investment in premier analytics, advanced debt recovery tools, and unmatched support.  Learn more Watch credit union collection chat This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

Sep 24,2024 by Laura Burrows

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Mar 01,2025 by Jon Mostajo, test user

Used Car Special Report: Millennials Maintain Lead in the Used Vehicle Market

With the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show set to kickoff later this week, it seemed fitting to explore how the shifting dynamics of the used vehicle market might impact dealers and buyers over the coming year. Shedding light on some of the registration and finance trends, as well as purchasing behaviors, can help dealers and manufacturers stay ahead of the curve. And just like that, the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report was born. As I was sifting through the data, one of the trends that stood out to me was the neck-and-neck race between Millennials and Gen X for supremacy in the used vehicle market. Five years ago, in 2019, Millennials were responsible for 33.3% of used retail registrations, followed by Gen X (29.5%) and Baby Boomers (26.8%). Since then, Baby Boomers have gradually fallen off, and Gen X continues to close the already minuscule gap. Through October 2024, Millennials accounted for 31.6%, while Gen X accounted for 30.4%. But trends can turn on a dime if the last year offers any indication. Over the last rolling 12 months (October 2023-October 2024), Gen X (31.4%) accounted for the majority of used vehicle registrations compared to Millennials (30.9%). Of course, the data is still close, and what 2025 holds is anyone’s guess, but understanding even the smallest changes in market share and consumer purchasing behaviors can help dealers and manufacturers adapt and navigate the road ahead. Although there are similarities between Millennials and Gen X, there are drastic differences, including motivations and preferences. Dealers and manufacturers should engage them on a generational level. What are they buying? Some of the data might not come as a surprise but it’s a good reminder that consumers are in different phases of life, meaning priorities change. Over the last rolling 12 months, Millennials over-indexed on used vans, accounting for more than one-third of registrations. Meanwhile, Gen X over-indexed on used trucks, making up nearly one-third of registrations, and Gen Z over-indexed on cars (accounting for 17.1% of used car registrations compared to 14.6% of overall used vehicle registrations). This isn’t surprising. Many Millennials have young families and may need extra space and functionality, while Gen Xers might prefer the versatility of the pickup truck—the ability to use it for work and personal use. On the other hand, Gen Zers are still early in their careers and gravitate towards the affordability and efficiency of smaller cars. Interestingly, although used electric vehicles only make up a small portion of used retail registrations (less than 1%), Millennials made up nearly 40% over the last rolling 12 months, followed by Gen X (32.2%) and Baby Boomers (15.8%). The market at a bird’s eye view Pulling back a bit on the used vehicle landscape, over the last rolling 12 months, CUVs/SUVs (38.9%) and cars (36.6%) accounted for the majority of used retail registrations. And nearly nine-in-ten used registrations were non-luxury vehicles. What’s more, ICE vehicles made up 88.5% of used retail registrations over the same period, while alternative-fuel vehicles (not including BEVs) made up 10.7% and electric vehicles made up 0.8%. At the finance level, we’re seeing the market shift ever so slightly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, one of the constant narratives in the industry has been the rising cost of owning a vehicle, both new and used. And while the average loan amount for a used non-luxury vehicle has gone up over the past five years, we’re seeing a gradual decline since 2022. In 2019, the average loan amount was $22,636 and spiked $29,983 in 2022. In 2024, the average loan amount reached $28,895. Much of the decline in average loan amounts can be attributed to the resurgence of new vehicle inventory, which has resulted in lower used values. With new leasing climbing over the past several quarters, we may see more late-model used inventory hit the market in the next few years, which will most certainly impact used financing. The used market moving forward Relying on historical data and trends can help dealers and manufacturers prepare and navigate the road ahead. Used vehicles will always fit the need for shoppers looking for their next vehicle; understanding some market trends will help ensure dealers and manufacturers can be at the forefront of helping those shoppers. For more information on the Special Report: Automotive Consumer Trends Report, visit Experian booth #627 at the NADA Show in New Orleans, January 23-26.

Jan 21,2025 by Kirsten Von Busch

Special Report: Inside the Used Vehicle Finance Market

The automotive industry is constantly changing. Shifting consumer demands and preferences, as well as dynamic economic factors, make the need for data-driven insights more important than ever. As we head into the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) Show this week, we wanted to explore some of the trends in the used vehicle market in our Special Report: State of the Automotive Finance Market Report. Packed with valuable insights and the latest trends, we’ll take a deep dive into the multi-faceted used vehicle market and better understand how consumers are financing used vehicles. 9+ model years grow Although late-model vehicles tend to represent much of the used vehicle finance market, we were surprised by the gradual growth of 9+ model year (MY) vehicles. In 2019, 9+MY vehicles accounted for 26.6% of the used vehicle sales. Since then, we’ve seen year-over-year growth, culminating with 9+MY vehicles making up a little more than 30% of used vehicle sales in 2024. Perhaps more interesting though, is who is financing these vehicles. Five years ago, prime and super prime borrowers represented 42.5% of 9+MY vehicles, however, in 2024, those consumers accounted for nearly 54% of 9+MY originations. Among the more popular 9+MY segments, CUVs and SUVs comprised 36.9% of sales in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, while cars went from 44.3% to 42.9% year-over-year and pickup trucks decreased from 15.9% to 15.6%. 2024 highlights by used vehicle age group To get a better sense of the overall used market, the segments were broken down into three age groups—9+MY, 4-8MY, and current +3MY—and to no surprise, the finance attributes vary widely. While we’ve seen the return of new vehicle inventory drive used vehicle values lower, it could be a sign that consumers are continuing to seek out affordable options that fit their lifestyle. In fact, the average loan amount for a 9+MY vehicle was $19,376 in 2024, compared to $24,198 for a vehicle between 4-8 years old and $32,381 for +3MY vehicle. Plus, more than 55% of 9+MY vehicles have monthly payments under $400. That’s not an insignificant number for people shopping with the monthly payment in mind. In 2024, the average monthly payment for a used vehicle that falls under current+3MY was $608. Meanwhile, 4-8MY vehicles came in at an average monthly payment of $498, and 9+MY vehicles had a $431 monthly payment. Taking a deeper dive into average loan amounts based on specific vehicle types—as of 2024, current +3MY cars came in at $28,721, followed by CUVs/SUVs ($31,589) and pickup trucks ($40,618). As for 4-8MY vehicles, cars came in with a loan amount of $22,013, CUVs/SUVs were at $23,133, and pickup trucks at $31,114. Used 9+MY cars had a loan amount of $19,506, CUVs/SUVs came in at $17,350, and pickup trucks at $22,369. With interest rates remaining top of mind for most consumers as we’ve seen them increase in recent years, understanding the growth from 2019-2024 can give a holistic picture of how the market has shifted over time. For instance, the average interest rate for a used current+3MY vehicle was 8.0% in 2019 and grew to 10.2% in 2024, the average rate for a 4-8MY vehicle went from 10.3% to 12.9%, and the average rate for a 9+MY vehicle increased from 11.4% to 13.8% in the same time frame. Looking ahead to the used vehicle market It’s important for automotive professionals to understand and leverage the data of the used market as it can provide valuable insights into trending consumer behavior and pricing patterns. While we don’t exactly know where the market will stand in a few years—adapting strategies based on historical data and anticipating shifts can help professionals better prepare for both challenges and opportunities in the future. As used vehicles remain a staple piece of the automotive industry, making informed decisions and optimizing inventory management will ensure agility as the market continues to shift. For more information, visit us at the Experian booth (#627) during the NADA Show in New Orleans from January 23-26.

Jan 21,2025 by Melinda Zabritski

In this article…

typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.