This is the third in a series of blog posts highlighting optimization, artificial intelligence, predictive analytics, and decisioning for lending operations in times of extreme uncertainty. The first post dealt with optimization under uncertainty and the second with predicting consumer payment behavior. In this post I will discuss how well credit scores will work for consumer lenders during and after the COVID-19 crisis and offer some recommendations for what lenders can be doing to measure and manage that model risk in a time like this. Perhaps no analytics innovation has created opportunity for more individuals than the credit score has. The first commercially available credit score was developed by MDS (now part of Experian) in 1987. Soon afterwards FICO® popularized the use of scores that evaluate the risk that a consumer would default on a loan. Prior to that, lending decisions were made by loan officers largely on the basis on their personal familiarity with credit applicants. Using data and analytics to assess risk not only created economic opportunity for millions of borrowers, but it also greatly improved the financial soundness of lending institutions worldwide. Predictive models such as credit scores have become the most critical tools for consumer lending businesses. They determine, among other things, who gets a loan and at what price and how an account such as a credit line is managed through its life cycle. Predictive models are in many cases critical for calculating loan and loss reserves, for stress testing, and for complying with accounting standards. Nearly all lenders rely on generic scores such as the FICO score and VantageScore®. Most larger companies also have a portfolio of custom scorecards that better predict particular aspects of payment behavior for the customers of interest. So how well are these scorecards likely to perform during and after the current pandemic? The models need to predict consumer credit risk even as: Nearly all consumers change their behaviors in response to the health crisis, Millions of people—in America and internationally—find their income suddenly reduced, and Consumers receive large numbers of accommodations from creditors, who have in turn temporarily changed some of their credit reporting practices in response to guidelines in the federal CARES Act. In an earlier post, I pointed out that there is good reason to believe that credit scores will tend to continue to rank order consumers from most likely to least likely to repay their debts even as we move from the longest economic expansion in history to a period of unforeseen and unexpected challenges. But the interpretation of the score (for example, the log odds or the bad rate) may need to be adjusted. Furthermore, that assumes that the model was working well on a lender’s population before this crisis started. If it has been a long time since a scorecard was validated, that assumption needs to be questioned. Because experts are considering several different scenarios regarding both the immediate and long-term economic impacts of COVID-19, it’s important to have a plan for ongoing monitoring as long as necessary. Some lenders have strong Model Risk Management (MRM) teams complying with requirements from the Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). Those resources are now stretched thin. Other institutions, with fewer resources for MRM, are now discovering gaps in their model inventories as they implement operational changes. In either case, now’s the time to reassess how well scorecards are working. Good model validation practices are especially critical now if lenders are to continue to make the sound data-driven decisions that promote fairness for consumers and financial soundness for the institution. If you’re a credit risk manager responsible for the generic or custom models driving your lending, servicing, or capital allocation policies, there are several things you can do--starting now--to be sure that your organization can continue to make fair and sound lending decisions throughout this volatile period: Assess your model inventory. Do you have good documentation showing when each of the models in your organization was built? When was it last validated? Assign a level of criticality to each model in use. Starting with your most critical models, perform a baseline validation to determine how the model was performing prior to the global health crisis. It may be prudent to conduct not only your routine validation (verifying that the model was continuing to perform at the beginning of the period) but also a baseline validation with a shortened performance window (such as 6-12 months). That baseline validation will be useful if the downturn becomes a protracted one—in which case your scorecard models should be validated more frequently than usual. A shorter outcome window will allow a timelier assessment of the relationship between the score and the bad rate—which will help you update your lending and servicing policies to prevent losses. Determine if any of your scorecards had deteriorated even before the global pandemic. Consider recalibrating or rebuilding those scorecards. (Use metrics such as the Population Stability Index, the K-S statistic and the Gini Coefficient to help with that decision.) Many lenders chose not to prioritize rebuilding their behavioral scorecards for account management or collections during the longest period of economic growth in memory. Those models may soon be among the most critical models in your organization as you work to maintain the trust of your accountholders while also maintaining your institution’s financial soundness. Once the CARES accommodation period has expired, it will be important to revalidate your models more frequently than in the past—for as long as it takes until consumer behavior normalizes and the economy finds its footing. When you find it appropriate to rebuild a scorecard model, consider whether now is the time to implement ethical and explainable AI. Some of our clients are finding that Machine Learned models are more predictive than traditional scorecards. Early Experian research using data from the last recession indicates this will continue to be true for the foreseeable future. Furthermore, Experian has invested in Research and Development to help these clients deliver FCRA-compliant Adverse Action reasons to their consumers and to make the models explainable and transparent for model risk governance and compliance purposes. The sudden economic volatility that has resulted from this global health crisis has been a shock to all organizations. It is important for lenders to take the pulse of their predictive models now and throughout the downturn. They are especially critical tools for making sound data-driven business decisions until the economy is less volatile. Experian is committed to helping your organization during times of uncertainty. For more resources, visit our Look Ahead 2020 Hub. Learn more
Today’s lending market has seen a significant increase in alternative business lending, with companies utilizing new data assets and technology. As the lending landscape becomes increasingly competitive, consumers have more choices than ever when it comes to lending products. To drive profitable growth, lenders must find new ways to help applicants gain access to the loans they need. How Spring EQ is leveraging Experian BoostTM Home equity lender Spring EQ turned to Experian’s first-of-its-kind financial tool that empowers consumers to add positive payments directly into their credit file to assist applicants with attaining the best loan opportunities and rates. By using Experian BoostTM, which captures the value of consumer’s utility and telecom trade lines, in their current lending process, Spring EQ can help applicants near approval or risk thresholds move to higher risk tiers and qualify for better loan terms and conditions. Driving growth with consumer-permissioned data Over 40 million consumers in the U.S. either have no credit file or have insufficient information in their files to generate a traditional credit score. Consumer-permissioned data empowers these individuals to leverage their online financial data and payment histories to gain better access to loans and other financial services while providing lenders with a more comprehensive view of their creditworthiness. According to Experian research, 70% of consumers see the benefits of sharing additional financial information and contributing positive payment history to their credit file if it increases their odds of approval and helps them access more favorable credit terms. Read our case study for more insight on using Experian Boost to: Make better lending decisions Offer or underwrite credit to more people Promote the right credit products Increase conversion and utilization rates Read case study Learn more about Experian Boost
In today’s rapidly changing economic environment, the looming question of how to reduce portfolio volatility while still meeting consumers\' needs is on every lender’s mind. So, how can you better asses risk for unbanked consumers and prime borrowers? Look no further than alternative credit data. In the face of severe financial stress, when borrowers are increasingly being shut out of traditional credit offerings, the adoption of alternative credit data allows lenders to more closely evaluate consumer’s creditworthiness and reduce their credit risk exposure without unnecessarily impacting insensitive or more “resilient” consumers. What is alternative credit data? Millions of consumers lack credit history or have difficulty obtaining credit from mainstream financial institutions. To ease access to credit for “invisible” and subprime consumers, financial institutions have sought ways to both extend and improve the methods by which they evaluate borrowers’ risk. This initiative to effectively score more consumers has involved the use of alternative credit data.1 Alternative credit data is FCRA-regulated data that is typically not included in a traditional credit report and helps lenders paint a fuller picture of a consumer, so borrowers can get better access to the financial services they need and deserve. How can it help during a downturn? The economic environment impacts consumers’ financial behavior. And with more than 100 million consumers already restricted by the traditional scoring methods used today, lenders need to look beyond traditional credit information to make more informed decisions. By pulling in alternative credit data, such as consumer-permissioned data, rental payments and full-file public records, lenders can gain a holistic view of current and future customers. These insights help them expand their credit universe, identify potential fraud and determine an applicant’s ability to pay all while mitigating risk. Plus, many consumers are happy to share additional financial information. According to Experian research, 58% say that having the ability to contribute positive payment history to their credit files makes them feel more empowered. Likewise, many lenders are already expanding their sources for insights, with 65% using information beyond traditional credit report data in their current lending processes to make better decisions. By better assessing risk at the onset of the loan decisioning process, lenders can minimize credit losses while driving greater access to credit for consumers. Learn more 1When we refer to “Alternative Credit Data,” this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions, as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act. Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data” may also apply in this instance and both can be used interchangeably.
Originally posted by Experian Global News blog At Experian, we have an unwavering commitment to helping consumers and clients manage through this unprecedented period. We are actively working with consumers, lenders, lawmakers and regulators to help mitigate the potential impact on credit scores during times of financial hardship. In response to the urgent and rapid changes associated with COVID-19, we are accelerating and enhancing our financial education programming to help consumers maintain good credit and gain access to the financial services they need. This is in addition to processes and tools the industry has in place to help lenders accommodate situations where consumers are affected by circumstances beyond their control. These processes will be extended to those experiencing financial hardship as a result of COVID-19. As the Consumer’s Credit Bureau, our commitment at Experian is to inform, guide and protect our consumers and customers during uncertain times. With expected delays in bill payments, unprecedented layoffs, hiring freezes and related hardships, we are here to help consumers in understanding how the credit reporting system and personal finance overall will move forward in this landscape. One way we’re doing this is inviting everyone to join our special eight-week series of #CreditChat conversations surrounding COVID-19 on Wednesdays at 3 p.m. ET on Twitter. Our weekly #CreditChat program started in 2012 to help the community learn about credit and important personal finance topics (e.g. saving money, paying down debt, improving credit scores). The next several #CreditChats will be dedicated to discussing ways to manage finances and credit during the pandemic. Topics of these #CreditChats will include methods and strategies for bill repayment, paying down debt, emergency financial assistance and preparing for retirement during COVID-19. “As the consumer’s credit bureau, we are committed to working with consumers, lenders and the financial community during and following the impacts of COVID-19,” says Craig Boundy, Chief Executive Officer of Experian North America. “As part of our nation’s new reality, we are planning for options to help mitigate the potential impact on credit scores due to financial hardships seen nationwide. Our #CreditChat series and supporting resources serve as one of several informational touchpoints with consumers moving forward.” Being fully committed to helping consumers and lenders during this unprecedented period, we’ve created a dedicated blog page, “COVID-19 and Your Credit Report,” with ongoing and updated information on how COVID-19 may impact consumers’ creditworthiness and – ultimately – what people should do to preserve it. The blog will be updated with relevant news as we announce new solutions and tactics. Additionally, our “Ask Experian” blog invites consumers to explore immediate and evolving resources on our COVID-19 Updates page. In addition to this guidance, and with consumer confidence in the economy expected to decline, we will be listening closely to the expert voices in our Consumer Council, a group of leaders from organizations committed to helping consumers on their financial journey. We established a Consumer Council in 2009 to strengthen our relationships and to initiate a dialogue among Experian and consumer advocacy groups, industry experts, academics and other key stakeholders. This is in addition to ongoing collaboration with our regulators. Additionally, our Experian Education Ambassador program enables hundreds of employee volunteers to serve as ambassadors sharing helpful information with consumers, community groups and others. The goal is to help the communities we serve across North America, providing the knowledge consumers need to better manage their credit, protect themselves from fraud and identity theft and lead more successful, financially healthy lives. COVID-19 has impacted all industries and individuals from all walks of life. We want our community to know we are right there with you. Learn more about our weekly #CreditChat and upcoming schedule here. Learn more
There are more than 100 million people in the United States who don’t have a fair chance at access to credit. These people are forced to rely on high-interest credit cards and loans for things most of us take for granted, like financing a family car or getting an apartment. At Experian, we have a fundamental mission to be a champion for the consumer. Our commitment to increasing financial inclusion and helping consumers gain access to the financial services they need is one of the reasons we have been selected as a Fintech Breakthrough Award winner for the third consecutive year. The Fintech Breakthrough Awards is the premier awards program founded to recognize the fintech innovators, leaders and visionaries from around the world. The 2020 Fintech Breakthrough Award program attracted more than 3,750 nominations from across the globe. Last year, Experian took home the award for Best Overall Analytics Platform for our Ascend Analytical Sandbox™, a first-to-market analytics environment that promised to move companies beyond just business intelligence and data visualization to data insights and answers they could use. The year prior, Experian won the Consumer Lending Innovation Award for our Text for Credit™ solution, a powerful tool for providing consumers the convenience to securely bypass the standard-length ‘pen & paper’ or keystroke intensive credit application process while helping lenders make smart, fraud protected lending decisions. This year, we are excited to announce that Experian has been selected once again as a winner in the Consumer Lending Innovation category for Experian Boost™. Experian Boost – with direct, active consumer consent – scans eligible accounts for ‘boostable’ positive payment data (e.g., utility and telecom payments) and provides the means for consumers to add that data to their Experian credit reports. Now, for the very first time, millions of consumers benefit from payments they’ve been making for years but were never reflected on their credit reports. Since launching in March 2019, cumulatively, more than 18 million points have been added to FICO® Scores via Experian Boost. Two-thirds of consumers who completed the Experian Boost process increased their FICO Score and among these, the average score increase has been more than 13 points, and 12% have moved up in credit score category. “Like many fintechs, our goal is to help more consumers gain access to the financial services they need,” said Alex Lintner, Group President of Experian Consumer Information Services. “Experian Boost is an example of our mission brought to life. It is the first and only service to truly put consumers in control of their credit. We’re proud of this recognition from Fintech Breakthrough and the momentum we’ve seen with Experian Boost to date.” Contributing consumer payment history to an Experian credit file allows fintech lenders to make more informed decisions when examining prospective borrowers. Only positive payment histories are aggregated through the platform and consumers can remove the new data at any time. There is no limit to how many times one can use Experian Boost to contribute new data. For more information, visit Experian.com/Boost.
It’s been over 10 years since the first rumblings of Great Recession started in 2008. Today, Americans are experiencing high levels of consumer confidence, marked by high employment rates and increasing credit balances over last year. What have we learned over the last decade? And how do we compare to our behaviors then? Experian released the 9th annual state of credit report, which provides a comprehensive look at the credit performance of consumers across America by highlighting consumer credit scores and borrowing behaviors. Who’s faring the best since the recession? According to the data, younger consumers. “We’re continuing to see the positive effects of economic recovery, especially among younger consumers,” said Michele Raneri, Vice President of Analytics and Business Development at Experian. “Since the recession, responsible credit card behaviors and lower debt among younger consumers is driving an upward trend in average credit scores across the nation. Over the last ten years, those 18 – 21 increased their credit scores by 23 points on average compared to those 18-21 ten years ago.” As a whole, 2018 was a year marked by financial reform, consumer protection and the return of volatility for the financial markets. A large portion of the analytics from this year’s report took a close look at the credit behaviors of today and compared them to 2008, the year the US headed into the worst recession in 80 years. 10-Year Lookback 2008 2017 2018 Average number of credit cards 3.40 3.06 3.04 Average credit card balances $7,101 $6,354 $6,506 Average number of retail credit cards 3.03 2.48 2.59 Average retail credit card balances $1,759 $1,841 $1,901 Average VantageScore[1,2] 685 675 680 Average revolving utilization 28% 30% 30% Average non-mortgage debt $23,929 $24,706 $25,104 Average mortgage debt $191,357 $201,811 $208,180 Average 30 days past due delinquency rates 5.4% 4.0% 3.9% Average 60 days past due delinquency rates 2.9% 1.9% 1.9% Average 90+ days past due delinquency rates 7.1% 7.3% 6.7% In regards to credit scores, the average VantageScore increased 5 points from last year, reaching 680 , while still down from 2008. Segmented by state and gender, Minnesota had the highest credit scores for both men and women. Data also showed that women had higher credit scores than men, consistent with 2017 and 2008. The past year has been flooded with headlines illustrating increased spending for American consumers. How do the numbers compare with 2008 data? In comparison with 10 years ago, the number of retail trades since 2008 are down, while average balance is up, according to Experian’s State of Credit Report. Additionally, the number of credit cards is down for all age groups, and balance is also down for consumers 22-71 years of age. Average revolving utilization has creeped up in the past decade, but only two percentage points from 28% to 30%, while both average non-mortgage and mortgage debt has increased 5% and 9% respectively. Not surprisingly, the report reflects that delinquency rates have also increased over 20% since 2008, though down from last year. In conclusion, there’s a lot to learn from both 2008 and 2018. One of the most important and resonating takeaways might be that while fortune may not seem to favor the young, younger consumers are exhibiting responsible behaviors and higher credit scores, setting a precedence for consistent and better financial health in the future. Learn more Experian Boost can help consumers instantly improve their credit score by incorporating their positive payment history from utility and phone bills, among other consumer-permissioned data. [1] VantageScore is a registered trademark of VantageScore Solutions, LLC. [2] VantageScore range is 300-850 VantageScore Calculated on the VantageScore 3.0 model. Your VantageScore 3.0 from Experian indicates your credit risk level and is not used by all lenders, so don’t be surprised if your lender uses a score that’s different from your VantageScore 3.0.
Day 2 at this year’s Vision conference was fueled with new technology and inspiration. The morning session opened with Robert Boxberger, Experian President, Decision Analytics, and also featured two live demos, one on Experian’s solution for the upcoming CECL compliance deadline and the second for mobile credit, including two use cases on instant issuance and lead generation, which has resulted in a 28% conversion rate of hot leads for one of Experian’s marquee clients. Keynote Speaker: Aimée Mullins \"Get comfortable with the uncomfortable\" was just one of the mantras shared on Tuesday morning by Aimée Mullins, an actor, Olympian, TEDTalk speaker, and one of the youngest honorees to be inducted into the National Women’s Hall of Fame, among many other accomplishments. “It is our uniqueness that’s our greatest asset that we can leverage for our greatest strength,” said Mullins during her keynote centered on achieving the “impossible.” As a bi-lateral amputee (or “double BK” also known as double below-the-knee amputee, as she referenced), Mullins had doctors and experts tell her and her parents what she would not be able to do. Instead, she encouraged Tuesday’s audience to never stop thinking like a child, to use their curiosity to find new ways where you want to go, and to practice curiosity like a sport to keep from getting comfortable, and therefore static. “It made my not knowing what I can do so much more powerful than an expert\'s presumption of what he thought I could do,” she said. Session Highlights – Day 2 Consumer Trust What engenders trust as consumers? And what does it take to build online trust? With 51% of new account fraud victims personally knowing the perpetrator and 3.4 billion total losses from fraudulent account openings (Javelin Feb 2019), there are five key components to building trust: digital adoption, transparency, fraud management, recognition and authentication. Today’s consumers want to use the digital channel, have both security and ease of access, be recognized, know how their personal information is being used, and engage and trust with biometrics. Artificial Intelligence – Chat Bots and Beyond According to Gartner, “\'Conversational AI-first\' will supersede ‘cloud-first,’ ‘mobile first’ as the most important high-level imperative for the next 10 years.” As evidenced by Google Duplex’s realistic conversations with humans, including the use of “uh” and “um,” conversational AI is positioned to redefine the next generation of human interface, aimed at achieving better customer satisfaction and elevate the customer relationship. Marketing Analytics The marketing analytics landscape is changing. Today’s marketing problems – including the always limited budget and need to produce greater ROI – require tactical strategies to target the right consumers. Enter Experian’s AscendTM marketing platform. Leveraging this tool, including its neural networks that were demonstrated Monday morning, helps gain new insights into consumer behavior. Fraud in the Digital Wild West A panel discussion featuring representatives from Merchant Risk Council, USAA and Alliance Data compared fighting fraud to herding cats. Challenges discussed included the ongoing struggle to find balance between limiting friction during the authentication process, while also protecting customers, as well as fraudsters’ tendencies to tap into victims’ emotions and curiosity (think phishing schemes). As one of the panelists offered as a piece of advice, “Fraudsters share best practices, so should we.” Visibility for the Invisibles People are more than the sum of their parts. The traditional credit score may show a consumer’s reputation, but layering trended and alternative data sets adds their character. Not only can trended data and alternative credit data – including leveraging education attributes – make invisible consumers visible, they can also reveal that a consumer with a presumably superlative credit score is actually a “credit zombie.” These data sets enable the opportunity to create first chances, drive second chances and re-evaluate risk, while also driving a strong growth strategy. CECL After reviewing the basics of CECL and the upcoming deadlines (ranging from Q1 2020 to Q1 2022), a review of CECL compliance challenges and potential product changes preceded a modeling techniques case study and a list of key impacts to businesses. Those impacts include: product profitability, loss forecasting methodology, data management and processes and capital ratios. Experian’s CECL forecasting solution leverages Experian’s extensive historical data and Ascend Analytical Sandbox. Using a best practice modeling pipeline to improve efficiency and reduce operational risks, the solution combines advanced machine learning, traditional model techniques and modeling experience to improve performance and reduce risk of overfitting. Keynote Speaker: Kobe Bryant Kobe Bryant closed out the day with stories from his highly-decorated 20-year career with the Los Angeles Lakers, some tips on trash talk and lessons in leadership. “I had to figure out how to be undeniable,” Bryant said, on competing for minutes at the start of his career. In addition to his basketball legacy, including wining five NBA championships, being named an NBA MVP, a two-time NBA Finals MVP and winning two Olympic gold medals, Bryant also launched the Kobe and Vanessa Bryant Family Foundation, hosts the Kobe Academy and has formed Kobe Inc. He’s a storyteller, an Oscar winner, and his name has become synonymous with standing for uncompromising excellence. How to be successful? “Make sure you have the right people on the team,” Bryant said. “Passionate. Borderline obsessive.” One of his key takeaways from his basketball career that translates to his leadership on and off the court happened when his pre-game and game time thinking shifted from internal to external. “You have to put yourself 2nd, 3rd, 4th…you have to put the team first,” Bryant said. For more coverage, follow #ExperianVision on Twitter or check the Experian Insights LinkedIn page.
Your consumers’ credit score plays an important role in how lenders and financial institutions measure their creditworthiness and risk. With a good credit score, which is generally defined as a score of 700 or above, they can quickly be approved for credit cards, qualify for a mortgage, and have easier access to loans with lower interest rates. In the spirit of Financial Literacy Month, we’ve rounded up what it takes for consumers to have a good credit score, in addition to some alternative considerations. Pay on Time Life gets busy and sometimes your consumers miss the “credit card payment due” note on their calendar squished between their work meetings and doctor’s appointment. However, payment history is one of the top factors in most credit scoring models and accounts for 35% of their credit score. As the primary objective of your consumers’ credit score is to illustrate to lenders just how likely they are to repay their debts, even one missed payment can be viewed negatively when reviewing their credit history. However, if there is a missed payment, consider checking their alternative financial services payments. They may have additional payment histories that will skew their creditworthiness more so than just their record according to traditional credit lines alone. Limit Credit Cards When your consumers apply for a new loan or credit card, lenders “pull” their credit report(s) to review their profile and weigh the risk of granting them credit or loan approval. The record of the access to their credit reports is known as a “hard” inquiry and has the potential to impact their credit score for up to 12 months. Plus, if they’re already having trouble using their card responsibly, taking on potential new revolving credit could impact their balance-to-limit ratio. For your customers that may be looking for new cards, Experian TAPSSM can be used to accurately estimate your consumers spend on all general-purpose credit and charge cards, so you can identify where there is additional wallet share and assign their credit lines based on actual spending need. Have a Lengthy Credit History The longer your consumers’ credit history, the more time they’ve spent successfully managing their credit obligations. When considering credit age, which makes up 21% of their credit score, credit scoring models evaluate the ages of your consumers’ oldest and newest accounts, along with the average age of all their accounts. Every time they open new credit cards or close an old account, the average age of their credit history is impacted. If your consumer’s score is being negatively affected by their credit history, consider adding information from alternative credit data sources for a more complete view. Manage Debt Wisely While some types of debt, such as a mortgage, can help build financial health, too much debt may lead to significant financial problems. By planning, budgeting, only borrowing when it makes sense, and setting themselves up for unexpected financial expenses, your consumers will be on the path to effective debt management. To get a better view of your consumers spending, consider Experian’s Trended3DTM, a trended attribute set that helps lenders unlock valuable insights hidden within their consumers’ credit scores. By using Trended3DTM data attributes, you’ll be able to see how much of your consumers’ credit line they typically utilize, whether they tend to revolve or transact, and if they are likely to transfer a balance. By adopting these habits and making smart financial decisions, your consumers will quickly realize that it’s never too late to rebuild their credit score. For example, they can potentially instantly improve their score with Experian Boost, an online tool that scans their bank account transactions to identify mobile phone and utility payments. The positive payments are then added to their Experian credit file and increase their FICO® Score in real time. Learn More About Experian Boost Learn More About Experian TAPS
So often a microscope is set on examining millennials and their behaviors – especially when it comes to their priorities and finances. But there’s a new generation entering the economy, with an entirely new set of preferences, behaviors and approach to money. Enter Gen Z. According to Bloomberg, this year, Generation Z becomes the biggest consumer cohort globally, “displacing millennials as a top obsession for investors.” This generation (falling between the ages of seven and 22) is 61 million strong and has a spending power of $143 billion in the U.S. alone. While much of the population that makes up Generation Z may still be in school, they are already creating their reputation as conscientious consumers. And lenders and financial institutions need to get in front of them if they want a chance at these meaningful investments. Because this generation has grown up in a world where the internet has always existed, everything can be ordered and delivered on demand, and communications occur over mobile platforms like Instagram and Snapchat, they view the world – and finances – through a different lens. Bloomberg suggests the following Gen Z broad trends; which investors should consider if they want this growing generation in their portfolios: They can be influenced. According to a recent Bloomberg survey, 52% of Gen Zers said they primarily find out about new products from social media. And they are 3 times more likely to purchase a product recommended by one of their favorite influencers than by a television or film celebrity. They have different vices – beyond just their smartphone addictions. As they are growing up in a world where screen time is eminent and cannabis is becoming legal (already legal in 10 U.S. states), they live with a different world view than many of the other generations. They don’t have to go to stores. Gen Z shops via clicks, not bricks. They choose their brand loyalties carefully. This generation is interested in environmental issues and ethical shopping, which drives their consumer activities, meaning it’s time for new considerations when it comes to marketing. They eat differently. Less likely to eat meat, we’re already seeing the shift that fast-food restaurants and packaged-food distributors are taking. What does this mean for financial institutions? You don’t have to be a social media influencer to get Gen Z in your portfolio – but it wouldn’t hurt. Many reports indicate that by 2020, Gen Z will command nearly 40% of all consumer shopping. With shopping driven by scrolling and purpose-driven purchases facilitated primarily by online transactions, gaining an understanding of these young consumers’ credit and charge card habits means you can better understand bankcard wallet share and target them as they start joining the workforce and beyond. In the not-too-distant future, there will be a need to examine high spend to increase interchange income. Trended data solutions can gain insight into these consumers as well as help you target and offer new lines of credit as they purchase with purpose – fueling them with credit to fund the ventures that matter to them most. Learn More
Smartphones connect us to the world of digital information while on the go. With just a few touches, you can browse the internet, get directions, video chat with friends, and even secure a last-minute date. So why not use your phone to apply for and secure credit? The number of unique mobile phone users reached 5.135 billion in 2018, according to HootSuite. That’s two-thirds of the world’s population! With mobile usage at an all-time high, embracing this channel for credit marketing only makes sense. With Text for CreditTM, lenders can invite consumers to explore personalized financial offers on their mobile devices. How AutoNation is Transforming the Car Buying Experience While car shopping should be exciting, it’s often a stressful and drawn-out experience, specifically when it comes to securing financing. AutoNation, an automotive retailer with over 300 retail outlets, saw an opportunity to leverage Text for Credit to enhance the consumer experience and speed up the car-buying process. What is Text for Credit? The consumer can initiate the prequalification or instant credit process simply by texting a keyword or short code. Our industry-first identification technology then recognizes the consumer’s device credentials, eliminating unnecessary data entry and bypassing the need to fill out a lengthy credit application. AutoNation wanted to generate prospects by offering consumers the opportunity to prequalify for an auto loan and shop for cars within their budget on their mobile devices. The retailer further nurtured consumers with an email campaign series leading them to schedule appointments and test drive vehicles. Marketing is a critical component to generating traffic, which helps initiate the Text for Credit process. A variety of channels and creative were tested to determine which was the highest performing, including paid Facebook and Instagram ads along with the AutoNation homepage. The results? Attribution conversion and overall conversion from top to bottom of funnel increased, as did social and website traffic. Text for Credit is just one product offering in Experian’s overall digital story. Our vision is to ultimately enable an ecosystem of services and capabilities through a mobile toolkit that grants consumers instant access to credit in a seamless manner. Read our case study for more insight on using Text for Credit to: Improve customer experience Drive site traffic Increase conversion rates Lower cost per acquisition Read the Case Study
Perhaps the most reliable mailbox tenant, thick envelopes splashed with “limited time offer” or other flashy designations offering various card and credit products – otherwise known as prescreen offers – are a mainstay in many households. What is prescreen? Prescreen is a process that happens behind-the-scenes where a lender screens a consumer’s credit to determine whether to extend a firm offer of credit. The process takes place without the consumer’s knowledge and without any negative impact to their credit score. For lenders and financial institutions, a prescreen is a way to pick and choose the criteria of the consumers you want to target for a particular offer – often in the form of better terms, interest rates or incentives. Typically, a list of consumers meeting specific credit criteria is compiled by a Credit Reporting Agency, like Experian, and then provided to the requesting lending institutions or their mailing service. In other words? Increase response rates and conversion by targeting the right consumers and eliminating unqualified prospects. Additionally, prescreening consumers also reduces high-risk accounts, targeting the best prospects in order to reach them at the right time with the right offer for their needs. Important to note: a prescreen is not the same thing as a prequalification. Gone are the days of batch-and-blasting. It’s expensive and a challenge for constantly limited marketing budgets. Prescreen decreases acquisition and mailing costs by segmenting a lender’s prospect list. In one case, a lender experienced a 10% lift in its overall conversion rate with a single campaign by targeting individuals who were most likely to respond to their over. Governed by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA), lenders initiating prescreen campaigns for credit products must also adhere to certain rules. What qualifies one of these campaigns? A firm offer of credit An inquiry posting is required (though it is a “soft” inquiry) Consumers also have the option to opt out of preapproved and prescreen credit offer lists In addition to acquisitions via direct mail, there are various types of prescreen tailored to the multiple channels where marketing takes place in today’s world. For example, Instant Prescreen can increase new account acquisitions by performing the preapproval process in seconds, while the customer is on your website, on the phone with you or at your business. Similar to how you might screen calls on your cell phone by letting them go to your voicemail inbox or screen candidates’ resumes before inviting them for an interview for an open position at your company, a prescreened credit offer is not much different. Focusing on your audience that is most likely to respond to your offers is an easy way to increase your ROI and should be considered a best practice when it comes to your marketing efforts. Learn More About Prescreen
Last Updated: January 2019 Traditional credit data has long been the end-all-be-all ruling the financial services space. Like the staple black suit or that little black dress in your closet, it’s been the quintessential go-to for decades. Sure, the financial industry has some seasonality, but traditional credit data has reigned supreme as the reliable pillar. It’s dependable. And for a long time, it’s all there was to the equation. But as with finance, fashion and all things – evolution has occurred. Specifically, how consumers are managing their money has evolved, which calls for deeper insights that are still defensible and disputable. Alternative credit data is the new black. Alternative credit data is increasingly integrated in credit talks for lenders across the country. Much like that LBD, it is becoming a lending staple – that closet (or portfolio) must-have – to leverage for better decisioning when determining credit worthiness. So, what is alternative credit data? In our data-driven industry, “alternative” data as a whole may best be summed up as FCRA-compliant credit data that is not typically included in traditional credit reports. For traditional data, think loan and inquiry data on bankcards, auto, mortgage and personal loans; typically trades with a term of 12 months or greater. Some examples of alternative credit data include alternative financial services data, rental data, full-file public records and account aggregation. These insights can ultimately improve credit access and decisioning for millions of consumers who may otherwise be overlooked. Alternative or not, every bit of information counts – and consumers are willing to share this data. An Experian survey revealed that 70% of consumers are willing to provide additional financial information to a lender if it increases their chance for approval or improves their interest rate for a mortgage or car loan. In addition, the data also revealed that 71% of lenders believe consumers will increasingly allow access to their data for lending decisions if they are empowered to turn it on and off. FCRA-compliant, user permissioned data allows lenders to easily verify assets and income electronically without consumer permission, thereby giving lenders more confidence in their decision and allowing consumers to gain access to lower-cost financing. From a risk management perspective, alternative credit data can also help identify riskier consumers, by identifying information like the number of payday loans acquired within a year, number of first-payment defaults, number of inquiries within the past 30-90 days and overall stability of an applicant. Alternative credit data can give supplemental insight into a consumer’s stability, ability and willingness to repay that is not available on a traditional credit report that can help lenders avoid risk or price accordingly. From closet finds that refresh your look to that LBD, alternative credit data gives lenders more transparency into their consumers, and gives consumers seeking credit a greater foundation to help their case for creditworthiness. It really is this season’s – and every season’s – must-have. Get Started Today
With credit card openings and usage increasing, now is the time to make sure your financial institution is optimizing its credit card portfolio. Here are some insights on credit card trends: 51% of consumers obtained a credit card application via a digital channel. 42% of credit card applications were completed on a mobile device. The top incentives when selecting a rewards card are cash back (81%), gas rewards (74%) and retail gift cards (71%). Understanding and having a full view of your customers’ activity, behaviors and preferences can help maximize your wallet share. More credit card insight>
25% of U.S. consumers are considered “thin file” because they have fewer than 5 items in their traditional credit histories. By adding information from alternative data sources, such as on-time rental data, 23% may move from thin file to thick file status. Consider these 3 credit data types as you work with emerging consumers. Alternative financial services, such as payday and short-term installment loans. Rental data provides insight on some 20 million consumers. Account aggregation offers real-time data collection of financial information from a single location. Alternative credit data can help you expand your approval population while maintaining loss expectations by identifying opportunities to underwrite emerging consumers, like millennials. Other alternative data>
According to our recent research for the State of Alternative Credit Data, more lenders are using alternative credit data to determine if a consumer is a good or bad credit risk. In fact, when it comes to making decisions: More than 50% of lenders verify income, employment and assets as well as check public records before making a credit decision. 78% of lenders believe factoring in alternative data allows them to extend credit to consumers who otherwise would be declined. 70% of consumers are willing to provide additional financial information to a lender if it increases their chance for approval or improves their interest rate. The alternative financial services space continues to grow with products like payday loans, rent-to-own products, short-term loans and more. By including alternative financial data, all types of lenders can explore both universe expansion and risk mitigation. State of Alternative Credit Data