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In a previous blog, we shared ideas for expanding the “gain” to create a successful ROI to adopt new fraud best practices to improve. In this post, we’ll look more closely at the “cost” side of the ROI equation. The cost of the investment- The costs of fraud analytics and tools that support fraud best practices go beyond the fees charged by the solution provider. While the marketplace is aware of these costs, they often aren’t considered by the solution providers. Achieving consensus on an ROI to move forward with new technology requires both parties to account for these costs. A more robust ROI should these areas: • Labor costs- If a tool increases fraud referral rates, those costs must be taken into account. • Integration costs- Many organizations have strict requirements for recovering integration costs. This can place an additional burden on a successful ROI. • Contractual obligations- As customers look to reduce the cost of other tools, they must be mindful of any obligations to use those tools. • Opportunity costs- Organizations do need to account for the potential impact of their fraud best practices on good customers. Barring a true champion/challenger evaluation, a good way to do this is to remain as neutral as possible with respect to the total number of fraud alerts that are generated using new fraud tools compared to the legacy process As you can see, the challenge of creating a compelling ROI can be much more complicated than the basic equation suggests. It is critical in many industries to begin exploring ways to augment the ROI equation. This will ensure that our industries evolve and thrive without becoming complacent or unable to stay on top of dynamic fraud trends.

By: Wendy Greenawalt Given the current volatile market conditions and rising unemployment rates, no industry is immune from delinquent accounts. However, recent reports have shown a shift in consumer trends and attitudes related to cellular phones. For many consumers, a cell phone is an essential tool for business and personal use, and staying connected is a very high priority. Given this, many consumers pay their cellular bill before other obligations, even if facing a poor bank credit risk. Even with this trend, cellular providers are not immune from delinquent accounts and determining the right course of action to take to improve collection rates. By applying optimization, technology for account collection decisions, cellular providers can ensure that all variables are considered given the multiple contact options available. Unlike other types of services, cellular providers have numerous options available in an attempt to collect on outstanding accounts. This, however, poses other challenges because collectors must determine the ideal method and timing to attempt to collect while retaining the consumers that will be profitable in the long term. Optimizing decisions can consider all contact methods such as text, inbound/outbound calls, disconnect, service limitation, timing and diversion of calls. At the same time, providers are considering constraints such as likelihood of curing, historical consumer behavior, such as credit score trends, and resource costs/limitations. Since the cellular industry is one of the most competitive businesses, it is imperative that it takes advantage of every tool that can improve optimizing decisions to drive revenue and retention. An optimized strategy tree can be easily implemented into current collection processes and provide significant improvement over current processes.

A recent article in the Boston Globe talked about the lack of incentive for banks to perform wide-scale real estate loan modifications due to the lack of profitability for lenders in the current government-led program structure. The article cited a recent study by the Boston Federal Reserve that noted up to 45 percent of borrowers who receive loan modifications end up in arrears again afterwards. On the other hand, around 30 percent of borrowers cured without any external support from lenders – leading them to believe that the cost and effort required modifying delinquent loans is not a profitable or not required proposition. Adding to this, one of the study’s authors was quoted as saying “a lot of people you give assistance to would default either way or won’t default either way.” The problem that lenders face is that although they have the knowledge that certain borrowers are prone to re-default, or cure without much assistance – there has been little information available to distinguish these consumers from each other. Segmenting these customers is the key to creating a profitable process for loan modifications, since identification of the consumer in advance will allow lenders to treat each borrower in the most efficient and profitable manner. In considering possible solutions, the opportunity exists to leverage the power of credit data, and credit attributes to create models that can profile the behaviors that lenders need to isolate. Although the rapid changes in the economy have left many lenders without a precedent behavior in which to model, the recent trend of consumers that re-default is beginning to provide lenders with correlated credit attributes to include in their models. Credit attributes were used in a recent study on strategic defaulters by the Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Reports, and these attributes created defined segments that can assist lenders with implementing profitable loan modification policies and decisioning strategies.


