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Today's lenders use expanded data sources and advanced analytics to predict credit risk more accurately and optimize their lending and operations. The result may be a win-win for lenders and customers. What is credit risk? Credit risk is the possibility that a borrower will not repay a debt as agreed. Credit risk management encompasses the policies, tools and systems that lenders use to understand this risk. These can be important throughout the customer lifecycle, from marketing and sending preapproved offers to underwriting and portfolio management. Poor risk management can lead to unnecessary losses and missed opportunities, especially because risk departments need to manage risk with their organization's budgetary, technical and regulatory constraints in mind. How is it assessed?  Credit risk is often assessed with credit risk analytics — statistical modeling that predicts the risk involved with credit lending. Lenders may create and use credit risk models to help drive decisions. Additionally (or alternatively), they rely on generic or custom credit risk scores: Generic scores: Analytics companies create predictive models that rank order consumers based on the likelihood that a person will fall 90 or more days past due on any credit obligation in the next 24 months. Lenders can purchase these risk scores to help them evaluate risk. Custom scores: Custom credit risk modeling solutions help organizations tailor risk scores for particular products, markets, and customers. Custom scores can incorporate generic risk scores, traditional credit data, alternative credit data* (or expanded FCRA-regulated data), and a lender's proprietary data to increase their effectiveness. About 41 percent of consumer lending organizations use a model-first approach, and 55 percent use a score-first approach to credit decisioning.1 However, these aren't entirely exclusive groupings. For example, a credit score may be an input in a lender's credit risk model — almost every lender (99 percent) that uses credit risk models for decisioning also uses credit scores.2 Similarly, lenders that primarily rely on credit scores may also have business policies that affect their decisions. What are the current challenges? Risk departments and teams are facing several overarching challenges today: Staying flexible: Volatile market conditions and changing consumer preferences can lead to unexpected shifts in risk. Organizations need to actively monitor customer accounts and larger economic trends to understand when, if, and how they should adjust their risk policies. Digesting an overwhelming amount of data: More data can be beneficial, but only if it offers real insights and the organization has the resources to understand and use it efficiently. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are often important for turning raw data into actionable insights. Retaining IT talent: Many organizations are trying to figure out how to use vast amounts of data and AI/ML effectively. However, 82 percent of lenders have trouble hiring and retaining data scientists and analysts.3 Separating fraud and credit losses: Understanding a portfolio's credit losses can be important for improving credit risk models and performance. But some organizations struggle to properly distinguish between the two, particularly when synthetic identity fraud is involved. Best practices for credit risk management Leading financial institutions have moved on from legacy systems and outdated risk models or scores. And they're looking at the current challenges as an opportunity to pull away from the competition. Here's how they're doing it: Using additional data to gain a holistic picture: Lenders have an opportunity to access more data sources, including credit data from alternative financial services and consumer-permissioned data. When combined with traditional credit data, credit scores, and internal data, the outcome can be a more complete picture of a consumer's credit risk. Implementing AI/ML-driven models: Lenders can leverage AI/ML to analyze large amounts of data to improve organizational efficiency and credit risk assessments. 16 percent of consumer lending organizations expect to solely use ML algorithms for credit decisioning, while two-thirds expect to use both traditional and ML models going forward.4 Increasing model velocity: On average, it takes about 15 months to go from model development to deployment. But some organizations can do it in less than six.5 Increasing model velocity can help organizations quickly respond to changing consumer and economic conditions. Even if rapid model creation and deployment isn't an option, monitoring model health and recalibrating for drift is important. Nearly half (49 percent) of lenders check for model drift monthly or quarterly — one out of ten get automated alerts when their models start to drift.6 WATCH: Accelerating Model Velocity in Financial Institutions Improving automation and customer experience Lenders are using AI to automate their application, underwriting, and approval processes. Often, automation and ML-driven risk models go hand-in-hand. Lenders can use the models to measure the credit risk of consumers who don't qualify for traditional credit scores and automation to expedite the review process, leading to an improved customer experience. Learn more by exploring Experian's credit risk solutions. Learn more * When we refer to “Alternative Credit Data," this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA). Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data" may also apply in this instance and both can be used interchangeably. 1-6. Experian (2023). Accelerating Model Velocity in Financial Institutions

Sometimes logging into an account feels a bit like playing 20 questions. Security is vital for a positive customer experience, and engaging the right identity verification strategies is essential to proactive fraud prevention. For financial institutions and businesses, secure authentication is more important than ever. It is imperative for customer safety – which drives retention and loyalty – and your bottom line – as fraud has determinantal effects on and off the balance sheet. Information sharing has proliferated, as has the number of times consumers are prompted to provide access to sensitive information. While today’s consumer has grown accustomed to providing such information, there’s also a heightened demand for security. According to Experian’s 2023 U.S. Identity and Fraud Report, nearly two-thirds (64%) of consumers say they’re very or somewhat concerned with online safety, listing identity theft, stolen card information and online privacy as top concerns. Customers want to know who they are providing access to and whether that entity will have their safety in mind. From a business perspective, one way to ensure that only the right people can get in is by using (KBA). KBA takes traditional authentication methods, like passwords and Personal Identification Numbers (PINs), one step further by creating an additional layer of security through collecting private facts from each user. In this post, we'll look at how KBA works, what its benefits are as a form of identity verification, and how it can improve customer trust. Introducing Knowledge Based Authentication (KBA): What it is and how it works Knowledge Based Authentication can be part of a multifactor authentication solution and is one way to stay on top of privacy and security for your customers – existing and new. KBA is a feature designed to protect online accounts by verifying the account holder’s identity. It involves answering a series of personal questions, such as mother's maiden name or first pet's name, that only the account holder should know. This system has become increasingly popular due to its effectiveness in preventing fraud and identity theft. With KBA, businesses and individuals can have peace of mind that their information is protected by a reliable authentication system that is difficult for unauthorized users to breach. Benefits of implementing KBA and a multifactor authentication strategy By implementing KBA into your business, customers experience an additional layer of security by verifying the identity of users through personalized questions. This reduces the risk of fraud and enhances customer trust and confidence. Secondly, it improves the customer experience by making the authentication process faster and user-friendly. Lastly, KBA reduces costs by automating the authentication process and reducing the need for manual intervention. However, KBA is just one facet of an ideal strategy. Multifactor authentication provides confidence while reducing friction. Risk-based authentication tools allow organizations to assess risk to apply the appropriate level of security. Factors to consider adding to your authentication processes include: Generating unique one-time passwords (OTPs): By creating a new OTP for each transaction, you can increase the level of security. Confirm device ownership: A multifactored approach applies device intelligence checks to increase confidence that the message is reaching the correct user. Maintain low friction with secondary options: If the OTP fails or can’t be attempted by the user, working with a provider who allows an automatic default to another authentication service, such as a knowledge-based authentication solution, decreases end-user friction. Identifying potential security risks associated with KBA KBA relies on personal information that may easily be discovered via social media and other public records, which makes it vulnerable to fraud and identity theft. This highlights the need for a multilayered fraud and identity solution. The landscape of digital security is constantly changing, leveraging an arsenal of fraud and identity prevention strategies, like document verification, one-time passcode, and various identity authentication and verification measures, is critical for keeping your customers and business safe. Commonly used technologies for enhancing KBA security With the rising need for secure authentication, KBA systems have become increasingly popular. However, cyberthreats evolve at an alarming rate, making it imperative to stay current with the latest fraud schemes and how to enhance and supplement your security. Biometrics, like facial recognition and fingerprint scans, as a tactic is gaining traction, as evidenced by “85% of consumers report physical biometrics as the most trusted and secure authentication method they have recently encountered,” according to Experian’s 2023 U.S. Identity and Fraud Report. Additionally, machine learning algorithms detect patterns and anomalies in user behavior and flag any potential security breaches. Multi-factor authentication is another tool that adds an extra layer of security by requiring users to provide multiple forms of identification before logging in. Keeping up with these and other technological advancements can help ensure your KBA system stays one step ahead of potential cyberattacks. Interestingly, there’s a disconnect between the technologies consumers feel safe with and/or are prepared to use versus the technologies and strategies that organizations implement. According to the U.S. Identity and Fraud Report, biometrics are only currently used by 33% of businesses to detect and protect against fraud. An opportunity for business differentiation and driving customer loyalty through a better customer experience may be tapping into some of these lesser used – but sought after – technologies. Compliance with industry standards regarding KBA Ensuring that your system complies with industry standards regarding KBA is crucial for protecting sensitive information from unauthorized access. By implementing the following tips, you can stay ahead of the game and safeguard your organization's data. Analyze your system's current authentication methods and evaluate if they meet industry standards. Additionally, follow standard guidelines for data storage and encryption, limit access to only authorized personnel, and y current with regulations. Lastly, conduct frequent security audits and perform vulnerability tests to identify and address any potential threats. Knowledge-based authentication offers a robust security solution for businesses of all sizes, and incorporating KBA as part of a multifactor authentication strategy is a winning course of action. It provides an added layer of protection for personal data, encourages user accountability, and safeguards against unauthorized access. By leveraging appropriate KBA technologies and maintaining compliance with industry standards, it is possible to create a secure system for customers that gives you peace of mind for your business and bottom line. Experian can help you with knowledge-based authentication offerings, a multifactor authentication strategy and everything in between to enhance your existing authentication process without causing user fatigue. Increase your pass rates, confirm device ownership and add security to risky or high-value transactions, all while executing identity verification and fraud detection to protect your business from risk. The most important step is getting started. Learn more

While affordability concerns have remained top of mind over the past few years, the third quarter of 2023 showed positive signs for consumers in the market for a vehicle. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q3 2023, the average new vehicle loan amount decreased to $40,184, from $41,543 in Q3 2022 and the average used vehicle loan amount went from $28,684 to $27,167 year-over-year. This is an indicator that the market is continuing to stabilize, considering from Q3 2021 to Q3 2022 new vehicle loan amounts increased $3,698 and used vehicle loan amounts increased $2,379. Despite average loan amounts declining, data shows average monthly payments experienced a slight increase—potentially due to the rise in interest rates. For instance, the average monthly payment for a new vehicle came in at $726 in Q3 2023, from $701 last year and the average monthly payment for a used vehicle went up $4 year-over-year, reaching $533 this quarter. Additionally, the average interest rate for a new vehicle went from 5.26% in Q3 2022 to 7.03% in Q3 2023 and the average rate for a used vehicle increased from 9.38% to 11.35% in the same time frame. Consumers continue to choose shorter-term loans for new vehicles As a result of higher interest rates, consumers continued opting for shorter-term loans in the third quarter of 2023, particularly for new vehicles. In Q3 2023, new vehicles with up to 48-month loan terms increased to 13.40%, from 9.99% in Q3 2022. Additionally, new vehicle loans with 49- to 60-month terms went from 16.50% to 17.16% year-over-year and new vehicle loans with 61- to 72-month terms reached 38.65% this quarter, from 36.67% last year. On the contrary, new vehicle loans with 73- to 84-month terms decreased from 35.11% in Q3 2022 to 29.15% this quarter. It’s notable that loans up to 48 months offered an average interest rate of 4.03% in Q3 2023, while the average rate for 49- to 60-months was 5.67%, followed by 61- to 72-months at 7.24%, 73- to 84-months at 8.80%, and 85+ months at 8.81%. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q3 2023 presentation on demand.