Financial Solutions
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If you’re a manager at a business that lends to consumers or otherwise extends credit, you certainly are aware that 10-15% of your current customers and prospective future customers are among the approximately 27 million consumers who are now – or will soon be -- fitting another bill into their monthly budgets. Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, the government issued a pause on federal student loan payments and interest. Now that the payment pause has expired, millions of Americans face a new bill averaging more than $200. Will they pay you first? If this is your concern, you aren’t alone: Experian recently held a webinar that discussed how the end of the student loan pause might affect businesses. When we surveyed the webinar attendees, nearly 3 out of 4 responses included Risk Management as a main concerns now. Another top concern is about credit scores. Lenders and investors use credit scores – bureau scores such FICO® or VantageScore® credit score or custom credit scores proprietary to their institution – to predict credit default risk. The risk managers at those companies want to know to what extent they can continue to rely on those scores as Federal student loan payments come due and consumers experience payment shock. I’ve analyzed a large and statistically meaningful sample (10% of the US consumer population in Experian’s Ascend Sandbox) to shed some light on that question. As background information, the average consumer with student loans had lower scores before the pandemic than the average of the general population. One of my Experian colleagues has explored some of the reasons at https://www.experian.com/blogs/ask-experian/research/average-student-loan-payments). Here are some of the things we can learn from comparing the credit data of the two groups of people. I looked at a period from 2019 and from 2023 to see how things have changed: Average credit scores increased during the pandemic, continuing a long-term trend during which more Americans have been willing and able to meet all their obligations. During the COVID Public Health Emergency, consumers with student loans brought up their scores by an average of 25 points; that was 7 points more than consumers without student loans. Another way to look at it: in 2019, consumers with student loans had credit scores 23 points lower than consumers without. By 2023, that difference had shrunk to 16 points. Experian research shows that there will be little immediate impact on credit scores when the new bills come due. Time will tell whether these increased credit scores accurately reflect a reduction in the risk that consumers will default on other bills such as auto loans or bankcards soon, even as some people fit student loan bills into their budgets. It is well-known that many people saved money during the public health emergency. Since then, the personal savings rate has fallen from a pandemic high of 32% to levels between 3% and 5% this year – lower than at any point since the 2009 recession. In an October 2023 Experian survey, only 36% of borrowers said they either set aside funds or they planned using other financial strategies specifically for the resumption of their student loan payments. Additional findings from that study can be found here. Furthermore, there are changes in the way your customers have used their credit cards over the last four years: Consumers’ credit card balances have increased over the last four years. Consumers with student loans have balances that are on average $282 (4%) more now than in 2019. That is a significantly smaller increase than for consumers without student loans, whose total credit card debt increased by an average of $1,932 (26%). Although their balances increased, the ratio of consumers’ total revolving debt balances to their credit limits (utilization) changed by less than 1% for both consumers with student loans and consumers without. In 2019, the utilization ratio was 9.8 percentage points lower for consumers with student loans than consumers without. Four years later, the difference is nearly the same (9.6 points). We can conclude that many student loan borrowers have been very responsible with credit during the Public Health Emergency. They may have been more mindful of their credit situation, and some may have planned for the day when their student loan payments will be due. As the student loan pause come to an end, there are a few things that lenders and other businesses should be doing to be ready: Even if you are not a student loan lender, it is important to stay on top of the rapidly evolving student loan environment. It affects many of your customers, and your business with them needs to adapt. Anticipate that fraudsters and abusers of credit will be creative now: periods of change create opportunities for them and you should be one step ahead. Build optimized strategies in marketing, account opening, and servicing. Consider using machine learning to make more accurate predictions. Those strategies should reflect trends in payments, balances, and utilization; older credit scores look at a single point in time. Continually refresh data about your customers—including their credit scores and important attributes related to payments, balances, and utilization patterns. Look for alternative data that will give you a leg up on the competition. In the coming weeks and months, Experian’s data scientists will monitor measures of performance of the scores and attributes that you depend on in your data-driven strategies — particularly focusing on the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) statistics that will show changes in the predictive power of each score and attribute. (If you are a data-driven business, your data science team or a trusted partner should be doing the same thing with a more specific look at your customer base and business strategies.) In future reports and blog posts, we’ll shed light on the impact student loans are having on your customers and on your business. In the meantime, for more information about how to use data and advanced analytics to grow while controlling costs and risks, all while staying in compliance and providing a good customer experience, visit our website.
Our State of Alternative Data Report provides insight into the alternative lending market, new data sources and growth opportunities.
The gig economy — also called the sharing economy or access economy — is an activity where people earn income by providing on-demand work, services, or goods. Often, it is through a digital platform like an application (app) or website. The gig economy seamlessly connects individuals with a diverse range of services, whether it be a skilled handyman for those long-awaited office shelves, or an experienced chauffeur to quickly drive you to the airport to not miss your flight. However, there are instances when these arrangements fall short of expectations. The hired handyman may send a substitute who’s ill-equipped for the task, or the experienced driver takes the wrong shortcut leaving you scrambling to make your flight on time. On the flip side, there are numerous risks faced by those working in the gig/sharing economy, from irritable customers to dangerous situations. In such cases, trust takes a hit. The gig economy has witnessed a surge in recent years, as individuals gravitate towards flexible, freelance, and contract work instead of traditional full-time employment. This shift has unlocked a multitude of opportunities for both workers and businesses. Nevertheless, it has also ushered in challenges pertaining to security and trust. One such challenge revolves around the escalating significance of digital identity verification within the gig economy. Digital identity verification and the gig economy Digital identity verification encompasses validating a person's identity through digital means, such as biometric data, facial recognition, or document verification. Within the gig economy, this process has high importance, as it establishes trust between businesses and their pool of freelance or contract workers. With the escalating number of remote workers and the proliferation of online platforms connecting businesses with gig workers, verifying the identities of these individuals has become more vital than ever before. Protecting gig users and improving the customer experience One primary rationale behind the mounting importance of digital identity verification in the gig economy is its role in curbing fraud. As the gig economy gains traction, the risk of individuals misrepresenting themselves or their qualifications to secure work burgeons. This scenario can lead businesses to hire unqualified or even fraudulent workers, thereby posing severe repercussions for both the company and its customers. By adopting digital identity verification processes, businesses can ensure the legitimacy and competence of their workforce, subsequently decreasing the risk of fraudulent activities. In the digital age, trust and safety are crucial for businesses to succeed. Consumers prioritize brands they can trust, and broken trust can lead to loss of customers.According to Experian's 2023 Fraud and Identity Report, over 52% of US consumers feel they’re more of a target for online fraud than they were a year ago. As such, online security continues to be a real concern for most consumers. Nearly 64% of consumers say that they are very or somewhat concerned with online security, with 32% saying they are very concerned. Establishing trust and safety measures not only protects your brand but also enhances the user experience, fosters loyalty, and boosts your business. Role of a dedicated Trust and safety team Trust and safety are the set of business practices for online platforms to follow to reduce the risk of users being exposed to harm, fraud, or other behaviors outside community guidelines. This is becoming an increasingly important function as online platforms look to protect their users while improving customer acquisition, engagement, and retention. That team also safeguards organizations from security threats and scams. They verify customers' identities, evaluate actions and intentions, and ensure a safe environment for all platform users. This enables both organizations and customers to trust each other and have confidence in the platform. Their role has evolved from fraud prevention to encompass broader areas, such as user-generated content and the metaverse. With the rise of user-generated content, platforms face challenges like fake accounts, imitations, malicious links, and inappropriate content. As a result, trust and safety teams have expanded their focus and are involved in product engineering and customer journey design. Another noteworthy factor contributing to the growing emphasis on digital identity verification for trust and safety teams stems from the necessity to adhere to diverse regulations and laws. Many countries have implemented stringent regulations to safeguard workers and ensure the legal and ethical operations of businesses. In the United States, for instance, businesses must verify the identities and work eligibility of all employees, including freelancers and contractors, as part of the Form I-9 process. By leveraging digital identity verification tools, businesses can streamline these procedures and guarantee compliance with prevailing regulations. Mitigating risk in online marketplaces To mitigate risks in online marketplaces, businesses can take several steps, including creating a clear set of user guidelines, implementing identity verification during onboarding, enforcing multi-factor authentication for all accounts, leveraging reverification during high-risk moments, performing link analysis on the user base, and applying automation. Online identity verification plays a pivotal role in safeguarding gig workers themselves. With the surge of online platforms connecting businesses with freelancers and contractors, there comes an augmented risk of workers falling prey to scams or identity theft. By mandating digital identity verification as an integral part of the onboarding process, these platforms can shield workers and ensure they only engage with bona fide businesses. While automation can be a powerful tool for fraud detection and mitigation, it is not a cure-all solution. Automated identity verification has its strengths, but it also has its weaknesses. While automation can spot risk signals that a human might miss, a human might spot risk signals that automation would have skipped. Therefore, for many companies, the goal should not be full automation but achieving the right ratio of automation to manual review. Manual review takes time, but it's necessary to ensure that all potential risks are identified and addressed. The more efficient these processes can be, the better, as it allows for a quicker response to potential threats. As the number of individuals embracing freelance and contract work surges, and businesses increasingly rely on these workers to carry out vital responsibilities, ensuring the security and trustworthiness of these individuals becomes paramount. By integrating digital identity verification processes, businesses can shield themselves against fraud, comply with regulations, and cultivate trust with their gig workers. Finding the right partner While trust and safety are concerns for all online marketplaces, there’s no universal solution that will apply to all businesses and in all cases. Your trust and safety policies need to be tailored to the realities of your business. The industries you serve, regions you operate in, regulations you are subject to, and expectations of your users should all inform your processes. Experian’s comprehensive suite of customizable identity verification solutions can help you solve the problem of trust and safety once and for all. Learn more *This article leverages/includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.
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Managing digital identities is a necessity, responsibility and privilege. When done right, digital identity management solutions can help consumers feel recognized and safe. In turn, companies can build strong and personalized relationships with their customers while complying with regulatory requirements and combating hydra-like fraud attacks. What is digital identity? The concept and definition of a digital identity have expanded as everyday interactions increasingly happen in digital realms. Today, a digital identity is more than an online account. Identities can be created and depend on all the digital information associated with a unique entity, which may be a person, business or device. A person's digital identity often includes online and offline attributes that fall into one of three categories: Something a user knows, such as a username, password or PIN. Something a user has, such as a mobile phone or security token. Something that's part of the user, such as a fingerprint, iris, voice pattern, behavior or preferences. People are increasingly open to sharing this type of personal information if it serves a purpose. Our Global Identity and Fraud Report found that 57 percent of consumers are willing to share data if it ensures greater security or prevents fraud, and 63 percent of consumers think sharing data is beneficial (up from 51 percent in 2021).1 People can also use these identifiers to verify their identity at a later point. But digital identity verification tools should rely on more than user-provided verification alone. A person may have hundreds or thousands of digital interactions every day, and these can leave digital footprints that you can use to create or expand digital identities. These types of identifiers — such as search queries, geotags, behaviors and device information — can also help you authenticate a user and offer a more customized and seamless experience. However, when focusing on consumers' digital identities, it's important to remember that their identity is more than the sum of data points. A person's digital identity is unique and personal, and it should be managed accordingly. The business side's challenges A discussion of what makes up an identity can quickly turn philosophical. For instance, you can't authenticate identical twins based on a face scan or DNA test, so what is it that makes them unique? In some ways, the example gets to the heart of businesses' challenges today. To create a safe and enjoyable online identity verification experience, you need to be able to distinguish between a real person and an imitator, even when the two look nearly identical. Access to more information can make this easier, but you then need to ensure that you can keep this information secure. It can be a tricky balance, but if you get it right, your efforts will be rewarded. People want to be recognized as they move across channels and devices, and organizations want to be able to quickly and accurately identify users with a friction-right experience that also helps prevent fraud. However, while 84 percent of businesses say recognizing customers is "very" or "extremely" important, only about 33 percent of consumers are confident that they'll be repeatedly recognized online.1 There's a clear gap — and an opportunity to better meet customers' desires. Organizations across industries know they need a customer recognition strategy and 82% already have one in place.2 Some businesses address this challenge with identity platforms that are standardized and interoperable. Standardization allows the platform to gather and store the growing influx of data that it can use as part of a digital identity strategy. Interoperability allows the platform to match different types of data, including physical data, with a person to verify their digital identity and avoid the creation of duplicate identities. In short, the platforms can make sense of increasingly large amounts of internal and external data and easily incorporate new data sources as they become available. Regulatory compliance and digital identity Navigating the regulatory landscape is a significant challenge for organizations dealing with digital identities. Compliance is not only necessary for legal reasons but also critical to maintaining customer trust and safeguarding institutional reputation. Organizations must stay informed about the regulatory frameworks that affect digital identity, such as the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) in the European Union, the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA), and other pertinent laws in jurisdictions they operate. These regulations dictate how personal data can be collected, stored, used and shared. Staying ahead of regulatory changes: Regulatory landscapes are dynamic, particularly concerning digital data. Organizations should engage with policymakers and participate in industry forums to stay ahead of changes. By proactively managing compliance, organizations can avoid costly penalties, operational disruptions and reputational damage. The consumer's perspective Some organizations are adopting a consumer-centric approach to digital identity that puts consumers' needs and desires first. These can broadly be broken into four categories: Security: While people want a seamless and personalized experience, security and privacy are listed as top concerns year after year.1 That might not be surprising given that data breaches continually make headlines and there are growing concerns over identity theft. Privacy: Security is related to privacy, but privacy means more than keeping consumers' information safe from hackers. Our April 2022 Global Insight Report found that 90 percent of consumers want some or complete control over how their personal data is used. 3 Recognition: People want to be continually recognized once they share and verify their identity, even if they move between devices or channels. And nearly 70 percent of consumers say it's important for businesses to recognize them across multiple visits.1 Inclusion: Consumers may have varying levels of access to technology, comfort with technology and access to physical identifiers. Creating digital identity solutions for these potential barriers can also increase financial inclusion. While these are all areas of focus, organizations also need to find the right fit for each person and interaction. For instance, consumers may expect and even appreciate a robust verification process when they're opening a new financial account. But they could quickly be turned off by a similar process if they're making a small purchase or trying to play a new online game. What to look for in a digital identity partner Digital identity solutions and services have grown increasingly sophisticated to meet today's challenges. Identity hubs and data orchestration engines can connect with multiple services to help create, resolve, verify and authenticate identities. By moving away from a siloed approach, businesses can offer customers a better experience while minimizing their risk throughout the customer journey. When comparing potential partners, look for a company that: Has a customer-first approach: If your business is customer-first, then you need a partner who has a similar view. Uses multidimensional data: The partner should be able to offer and use offline and digital data sources to resolve, verify and authenticate digital identities. Its capabilities may become increasingly important as new data sources emerge. Isn't afraid to innovate: Look into how the partner is testing and using the latest advancements, such as artificial intelligence, in its digital identity solutions. Protects your brand: Understand how the partner helps detect and prevent fraud while creating a seamless experience for your customers and protecting their data. The right partner can increase your bottom line, help you build trust and improve your brand's reputation. Learn more about Experian Identity, an integrated approach to digital identity that builds on Experian's decades of experience managing and securing identifying information. Learn more 1“2022 Global Identity and Fraud Report: Building digital consumer trust amidst rising fraud activity and concerns," Experian, June 2022 2“2021 Global Identity and Fraud Report: Protecting and enabling customer engagements in the new digital era," Experian, April 2021. https://www.experian.com/content/dam/marketing/na/global-da/pdfs/GIDFR_2022.pdf https://www.experian.co.th/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Experian-Global-Identity-Fraud-Report-2021.pdf 3"Global Insights Report: April 2022," Experian, April 2022. https://www.experian.com/blogs/global-insights/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/WaveReportApril2022.pdf *This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.